Forecast Discussions mentioning any of
"HRRR" "RAP" "RUC13" "RUC" "RR" received at GSD on 04/20/25
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1042 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Widespread rainfall moves into the area Sunday afternoon and
continues through Monday morning. Rainfall amounts of around
1" are likely. Locally higher rainfall amounts 1.5" or more
may occur (15-20% chance) and would suggest low-end chances
(10% chance or less) to reach minor flood stage in some area
rivers.
- Milder temperatures are expected for Tuesday and beyond with
highs generally in the 60s. Additional rain chances linger
throughout much of the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 245 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Rest of Today - Monday: Widespread Rainfall Moves In Sunday Afternoon
GOES-19 water vapor imagery and 19.15z RAP 500mb heights shows
a slightly southwesterly mid-level flow pattern with a
pronounced 500mb trough over portions of the Four Corners region
this afternoon. As we head through the overnight and into the
day tomorrow, this trough will pivot quickly northward in the
southwesterly flow pattern along with a deepening surface low
pressure center. Overall the general idea will be an initial
round of precipitation will move in for Sunday afternoon
associated with a warm advective wing out ahead of the main
deformation zone. By evening, the surface low will approach the
area and the warm conveyor processes will be overhead with a
strengthening deformation area and TROWAL aloft. What may be
tricky is the exact placement of heavier rainfall amounts as the
19.15z RAP has a piece of low-level frontogenesis on the
gradient of the deformation zone which may locally enhanced
rainfall rates in the northwestern half of the local area.
Across portions of northeast IA and southwest WI, a sharp axis
of 850mb moisture transports will advect some, but very minimal
(up to 100-200 J/kg of MUCAPE), instability into the
southwestern WI. However, this would seem more embedded thunder
within the broader rain shield. With the low pressure center
moving fairly quickly through the area overnight and into
Monday, expecting much of the precipitation to be through the
area by afternoon on Monday. Cannot rule out some snow mixing in
across portions of north- central WI with sounding profiles in
the HRRR at Medford, WI showing near-surface cooling to around
the freezing mark. However, little accumulations would likely
take place.
As far as rainfall amounts are concerned, consensus in both the
19.12z HREF and NBM precipitation means have a general swath of
around 0.75" to 1" of QPF through the local area. Noting some
differences in the exact placement of the deformation zone amongst
the CAMs which pretty much spans the range of the local area. As a
result, thinking that the broad brushed mean QPF values in the HREF
are a function of the uncertainty and in reality there will be an
axis of slightly higher amounts depending on where the gradient of
the deformation zone sets up as much of the individuals CAMs suggest
higher rainfall amounts in the axis of heaviest rain. Regardless,
some river responses are likely with sites along the Black and Cedar
Rivers forecast to reach action stage. If the some locations see the
HREF maximum values for QPF over their respective basins, could not
rule out some sites reaching minor flood stage however the
probability for this remains low (5-10% chance) at this time.
Tuesday - Friday: Milder Temperatures with Periodic Rain Chances
Looking beyond this Sunday and Monday system, the 19.12z GFS/NAM/EC
generally agree on pushing some shortwave ridging within a zonal mid-
level flow pattern for Monday evening. As a result, temperatures
will likely moderate for some on Tuesday. However, another round of
showers is in the cards (40-70% chance) as the warm return flow will
aid for instigation of some showers overnight Monday and into
Tuesday along the axis of an 850mb moisture transport axis. Cannot
rule out some rumbles of thunder with these, however the fairly
pronounced warm nose in 17.12z NAM soundings keep MUCAPE values to a
minimum (under 100 J/kg).
As we head into the second half of the upcoming work week,
temperatures continue to trend mild with highs in the national blend
in the 60s to lower 70s through Friday with a zonal synoptic flow
pattern in place. Some uncertainty with precipitation chances for
Thursday and Friday as there are some pretty notable differences
between the 19.00z EC and 19.12z GFS. THe GFS solution has a
pronounced shortwave through that pushes southeastward out of
southern Canada and thus increasing our precipitation chances.
However, with dewpoints progged in the 40s to lower 50s, instability
in this solution remains minimal. This is contrasted by the EC
solution which has some southern flow and a moisture transport
surge which would help instigate some convection. However, with
no profound source of shear in this solution, the potential for
severe weather would appear low. This is seconded by the FengWu
and Pangu AI convective hazard forecasts which show no organized
severe potential across our area over the next 8 days.
Regardless, still seems like we will get some precipitation
across the area Thursday/Friday with high probabilities (60-80%)
in the grand ensemble (GEFS/EC/Canadian ensemble) for at least
some measurable precipitation in the region.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1033 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Primary concern remains impending rain Sunday afternoon and
associated reductions to MVFR and IFR and timing of said
reductions. Still looking on track to see MVFR by mid-afternoon
with IFR during the evening, but did adjust onset a bit later
for each. Otherwise, still highly confident winds will tend to
become mainly easterly by midday Sunday.
&&
.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Naylor
AVIATION...Ferguson
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
719 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
...New Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Strong to severe thunderstorms are developing this evening
across our west and northwest counties. Very large hail and a
few tornadoes are the main threat. Heavy rainfall may cause
flash flooding tonight.
- The active weather pattern will persist through next week with
additional storm chances Tuesday night through Friday.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /Issued 121 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/
/This Afternoon through Sunday Night/
Visible satellite imagery shows some fairly substantial breaks in
the cloud cover across North Texas this afternoon. With
temperatures climbing into the mid 70s and dewpoints in the mid
60s, the atmosphere is steadily recovering in the wake of morning
convection. This is supported by RAP objective analysis which has
an axis of 1500 J/kg of SBCAPE slowly spreading back to the north
and west. At the surface, our slow moving frontal boundary is
draped across our far northwest counties from Abilene to Graham
and into south-central Oklahoma. Moisture convergence along this
boundary is locally maximized across Young County and this is the
area where we`ll watch for vigorous convective development later
this afternoon. Initial thunderstorm development should be intense
with all modes of severe weather possible including very large
hail and a few tornadoes, but quick upscale growth into linear
segments along the front is expected into the late evening hours.
Low level winds will likely remain backed into intermittent waves
of lower pressure along the frontal boundary through the late
evening. This may periodically enhance the tornado threat into
tonight, although there`s really no preferred area for this to
occur other than broadly across our northwest counties. Low level
winds have backed substantially over the last hour, so we`ll
continue to monitor this through the afternoon as initial storms
would be discrete and most likely to produce a tornado. During
the overnight hours, the line of thunderstorms will be slow to
move eastward, allowing for training thunderstorms across our
northwest counties. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches is likely in
this area with isolated totals approaching 6 inches. The current
Flood Watch will remain unchanged for this forecast.
The complex of storms will approach the I-35 corridor by morning,
but will quickly be in a weakening state as the main upper trough
pulls off to the northeast. Most areas will pick up some rainfall
through mid morning on Sunday, but areas to the south and east of
the Metroplex will see lesser totals. This whole area of rain will
quickly move east through the morning with clearing occurring
through the afternoon hours. All precipitation should end across
our far eastern counties by evening with mostly clear and drier
conditions expected Sunday night.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM... /Issued 121 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025/
/Monday through Saturday/
A lull in the activity is expected Monday into Tuesday as our
frontal boundary remains draped across Southeast Texas. We`ll see
generally mostly sunny skies with near normal temperatures Monday
and Tuesday, but moisture will quickly start to return Tuesday
afternoon as southerly winds become re-established. Several fast
moving disturbances will spread through the Southern Plains
Tuesday through Friday and we`ll continue to see a period of
active weather including the threat for severe storms.
Thunderstorms should develop along a dryline Tuesday afternoon to
our west and near the retreating warm front across our Central TX
counties. Activity will become more widespread Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning. We`ll have high PoPs on Wednesday, but if an
organized complex of storms does move through Tuesday night, then
these will likely be too high. A stronger disturbance is expected
to move through on Thursday with additional chances for severe
thunderstorms and heavy rainfall. This activity should move east
of the area on Friday. The active pattern looks to continue beyond
next weekend.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/00Z TAFs/
VFR ceilings prevail across the terminals ahead of a frontal
boundary that remains stalled east of KSPS to KABI. Scattered
strong to severe thunderstorms will continue developing along and
north of the front this evening, generally staying northwest of
the Metroplex. With weak scattered convection developing out ahead
of the loosely organizing line, VCTS will be maintained through
03Z for the North Texas TAF sites. The better potential for direct
terminal impacts will still be associated with the more
widespread storms arriving early Sunday morning as the front
finally marches east. There will also be a westward wind shift
(250-270) as the storms weaken and exit the area. Flight
conditions should quickly improve in the wake of this activity
with VFR expected through the end of the period as winds become
light and northwesterly.
12
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Limited spotter activation may be requested northwest of the DFW
Metroplex. Even if activation is not locally requested, any
reports of hazardous weather to the National Weather Service are
appreciated.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 62 76 55 81 59 / 90 60 0 0 0
Waco 62 80 52 82 59 / 50 60 5 0 0
Paris 64 74 50 77 54 / 50 80 10 0 0
Denton 57 73 48 79 54 / 80 50 0 0 0
McKinney 62 74 50 79 56 / 60 60 0 0 0
Dallas 63 77 55 80 59 / 80 60 0 0 0
Terrell 64 76 51 80 58 / 50 70 5 0 0
Corsicana 67 79 55 82 61 / 40 70 10 0 0
Temple 63 80 53 85 61 / 50 60 5 0 0
Mineral Wells 56 74 49 82 54 / 90 20 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Sunday morning for TXZ091>093-100>102.
Tornado Watch until midnight CDT tonight for TXZ091>093-101>103-
116-117.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10 PM CDT this evening for
TXZ100-115-129-130-141-142.
&&
$$
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
717 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Rain returns to the forecast Sunday evening through Monday
morning. 0.75-1" of rain possible across southeast MN & western WI.
- Additional rain showers possible Tuesday and Thursday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 241 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Not a bad afternoon for mid-April across the Upper Midwest, despite
cooler than normal temperatures in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
Visible satellite reveals an expansive diurnal Cu field, owing to
mixing up to 6-7k feet. In response to the efficient mixing, surface
winds have run on the hotter side of guidance, producing peak gusts
between 20-30 mph. RAP bufkit data displays breezy winds persisting
through late afternoon, before significantly diminishing by early
evening. We anticipate the scattered Cu will erode by early evening
as well. A quiet night of weather is on deck, with clear skies and
light winds turning out of the southeast.
The forecast trends dry for much of Sunday, prior to the arrival of
the next chance for widespread precipitation. High clouds will
thicken from south to north through the afternoon. Breezy
southeasterly flow will assist in warming temperatures into the
upper 50s/lower 60s for afternoon highs. It should be another good
day to get some fresh air, prior to the arrival of late evening
rain. Guidance remains in solid agreement with the track of a
surface cyclone moving out of the eastern Great Plains into the
northern Great Lakes Sunday into Monday. Though small variations in
the surface low track exist amongst the ensemble suite, the
consensus track continues to project a track from Dubuque, IA
towards Green Bay, WI. Would not be surprised to see a slight delay
in the onset of precipitation (as compared to the latest consensus
solution) given the dry antecedent conditions. However, an extended
fetch of Gulf moisture and isentropic ascent will promote saturation
and the arrival of a broad rainfall shield moving north into the
region tomorrow evening. The deformation zone will be positioned
from roughly south central MN into western WI, which will result in
multiple hours of rain (and 90+ PoPs) through early Monday morning.
Conversely, the NBM has continued to tighten up the expected sharp
cut-off on the western extent of the precipitation. It`s looking
more and more likely that little, if any precipitation will be
measured across western MN. When it`s all said and done, rainfall
amounts above 0.5" are favored along and east of a line from
Fairmont to Chisago City. Higher amounts, near an inch, are forecast
east of the aforementioned line. The other moving piece to the
forecast is with a possible transition to a frozen p-type within the
deformation band Monday morning. This idea is continually displayed
within the operational GFS, though given the marginal thermal
scenario it is not too surprising that there is little ensemble
support. At this point, it appears that the best chance for any
snowflakes to fly will be across western WI where no more than a
dusting of snow is expected.
A brief break in the wet weather will follow for the second half of
Monday. Renewed precipitation chances arrive Tuesday, as a compact
surface low lifts through the Dakotas. Warm advective precipitation
in the form of scattered showers (and perhaps a rumble of thunder or
two) is reflected by PoPs between 40-60% on Tuesday. It does not
look like a washout, as the showers will be tied to the
northeastward advance of a warm front. Behind the front,
temperatures will warm nicely, say into the upper 60s and perhaps
low 70s across southwestern MN. Temperatures will run cooler
(50s/low 60s) across eastern MN/western WI given the showers/clouds
in association with the front. The warm air will spread east on
Wednesday, with highs forecast to flirt with 70 degrees across much
of southern MN/western WI. The active pattern aims to send another
round of April showers across the Upper Midwest Thursday. Dry
weather is then expected to return for the start of next weekend,
with highs in the 60s.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 716 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Clear skies and light winds tonight will become southeast by
Sunday morning. Increasing clouds through the day with rain
advancing north in the afternoon and evening. VFR conditions
will likely accompany the rain for the first few hours, then
conditions will deteriorate to MVFR levels after the period.
KMSP...Light and variable winds will shift to the southeast
during the next couple hours.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
MON...MVFR and -RA early, chance IFR. VFR late. Wind N 10-15
kts.
TUE...Chance MVFR/-SHRA. Wind SE 10-15 kts.
WED...VFR. Wind W 5-10 kts.
&&
.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Strus
AVIATION...Borghoff
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
901 PM MDT Sat Apr 19 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Snow decreasing the rest of this afternoon.
- Could be some low clouds/fog early tomorrow morning in areas.
- COLD TONIGHT - folks who turned on sprinkler systems may want
to cover any exposed pipes!!
- Warming and drying trend into early next week.
- Increasing chances for thunderstorms starting Wednesday.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 845 PM MDT Sat Apr 19 2025
The forecast has been updated to add patchy fog and areas of
fog to the San Luis Valley. The recent precipitation that fell
throughout today in this localized area has increased moisture,
and this combined with clearing skies and light and variable
winds is expected to allow for fog development tonight.
Visibility is expected to drop to 1-3 SM in any areas of fog
that materialize, though localized areas of 1/4-1/2 SM of
visibility or less will be possible. Those traveling within the
San Luis Valley should be prepared for possible sudden
reductions in visibility and take extra care when traveling in
any fog.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 201 PM MDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Currently...
Upper low which brought all the beneficial precip to a good part of
the region was located over northwest New Mexico and was moving east-
southeast. the brunt of the precip shield with this low was over
central NM and extended north into the San Luis Valley. Nearly all
of the fcst area was cloudy. Temps were cool at 2 pm with 30s along
the I-25 corridor, 40s far eastern plains and 20s and 30s over the
mtns and valleys.
Rest of today...
Have cancelled the winter storm warning for the lower elevations of
the southern I-25 corridor as guidance shows little in the way of
additional precip over the lower elevations with this system. However
HRRR wants to keep showers ongoing over the mtns and valleys the
rest of the afternoon and plan to keep hightlights "as is" for now
and let incoming shift modify hightlights at necessary. Overall best
chance of accumulations will be over the contdvd and northern
Sangres. Snow will occur over the San Luis valley but most of it
will likely not accumulate given temps in the mid 30s across the
valley at this time.
Tonight...
Main concern is will get cold tonight. There is a high probability
it will clear out most areas tonight we should radiate with the
clear skies and snow over the grassy areas. Temps will fall into the
lower to mid 20s over the populated areas tonight and frozen
sprinkler systems/swamp cooler systems will be a real possibility as
the night progresses. Over the far eastern plains it will be warmer
as clouds will hang around longer and expect lows in the U20s to
around 30F. Mtns and valleys will be in the 10s.
Tomorrow...
Some patchy early morning fog will be possible. Surface flow tonight
will be light all areas and with plenty of low level moisture over
the region will allow for low T/Td spreads and cant rule out some
patchy fog any area tonight. The overall best chance will likely be
in the San Luis Valley. Otherwise tomorrow will be much nicer than
today as mostly sunny skies should prevail by mid to late morning
lasting into the afternoon time period. Expect mostly 60s tomorrow
afternoon across the plains with 50s larger valleys. /Hodanish
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 201 PM MDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Sunday night through Tuesday...More zonal westerly flow aloft
settles in across the region through Tuesday, producing a warming
and, for the most part, a drying trend into the work week. An upper
disturbance crossing the northern Rockies will produce some isolated
shower activity over the higher terrain both days, as well as
enhanced surface winds for the plains on Monday. There will be some
very spotty critical fire weather conditions for portions of the
plains Mon afternoon, but no highlights are warranted at this time.
Look for highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s for the high valleys, and
upper 60s to near 80F for the plains.
Wednesday...Wed will be a tricky day as long range models are in
slight disagreement with a potential shortwave to the north. If this
feature does cross MT and WY early Wed, then there will likely be a
cold front that pushes south across the eastern CO plains through
the day. If the shortwave lags back to the west for the day, then
frontal passage will be delayed a day. Regardless, the extended
procedure leaned towards the solution with earlier movement of the
shortwave, affecting forecasted weather into the weekend. Another
very warm day ahead of frontal passage, with high temps very similar
to those on Mon and Tue, so highs in the 60s for the high valleys,
and upper 60s to near 80F for the plains. Isolated to low-end
scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms can be
expected across the eastern plains.
Thursday through Saturday...Slightly cooler temps are forecast for
Thu and Fri due to post frontal easterly surface flow, then warming
back up to around 10 degrees above normal on Sat as southerly
surface winds begin to pick up across all of the forecast area.
There will be a daily chance for afternoon and evening convection,
with Thu having the best chance for more widespread shower and
thunderstorm activity. Dryline interaction will become more of a
player starting Friday. Moore
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 530 PM MDT Sat Apr 19 2025
KALS: MFR to IFR conditions are expected for at least half of this
TAF period, either due to low ceilings and/or low visibility. Snow
showers will persist within the San Luis Valley into mid to late
evening. If the terminal site was impacted by one of these showers,
visibility and ceilings would be expected to drop. Clouds will
remain low through tomorrow morning, with fog development likely
this evening as winds lessen and skies clear. It is possible
widespread dense fog develops within the San Luis Valley and could
drop the terminal site to LIFR conditions. VFR conditions return mid
to late tomorrow mornings as any lingering low level clouds
dissipate. Otherwise winds will remain light through this TAF period.
KCOS and KPUB: MVFR conditions are expected for both TAF sites
through early to mid evening given low ceilings. VFR conditions are
expected to return overnight as clouds slowly lift and dissipate
late evening to early overnight. With that said, MVFR, to possibly
IFR, conditions will be possible again late overnight to early
tomorrow morning given possible fog development. Otherwise, dry
conditions are anticipated to prevail, with winds remaining
relatively light through tomorrow afternoon.
&&
.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...SIMCOE
SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...SIMCOE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
606 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Slight risk for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms south
of Interstate 44 tonight with 60 mph winds and quarter size
hail the primary risks.
-There remains an Enhanced Risk Sunday across much of the
area. Tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds are all
possible with this system.
- A Flood Watch is in effect tonight through the weekend.
Additional rainfall between 1-3 inches is expected across
most of the area due to multiple rounds of heavy rainfall.
This will cause an increase in creek and river levels.
Flooding of low water crossings is likely.
- Additional rain chances (40-70%) return Tuesday through
Thursday night of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 131 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Rain continued across the region this morning and into this
afternoon. Rainfall totals through midday across much of the
area since midnight was from 2 to 4 inches which had produced
some areas of minor flooding. This has kept cloud cover over the
region with only a few peaks of sun so far. Where the rain
continued and clouds remained, temperatures have stayed in the
upper 40s to middle 50s. For areas in south central Missouri
where rain ended earlier and some sun has made it through
temperatures were in the lower 60s.
Rainfall continues to fall this afternoon for most of the area
and will continue into tonight as moisture pools along the 850mb
to surface front region located generally along and slightly
north of I-44 into northern Arkansas. As a 40-50kt low level jet
begins to nose into the region late tonight, this will help to
enhance rainfall rates and coverage along the I-44 corridor.
Current expectations are for from 1 to 3 inches of additional
rainfall to occur overnight which may lead to additional
flooding.
The storms early today shunted most of the instability south of
the area closer to where the surface frontal boundary looks to
be across northern Arkansas. This is expected to suppress the
severe storm potential this afternoon and evening. If
instability can recover, low confidence, an isolated strong
storm or two may occur. If a storm does become severe, the main
concern will be up to 1 inch hail and 60mph winds.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 131 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Enhanced severe risk for Sunday continues for most of the CWA.
Models continue to show a shortwave and resulting surface low
moving to the northeast from the plains and across the
northwestern half of Missouri during the afternoon and evening.
Models are still showing limits in how warm and unstable we
get with synoptic models along with the RFFS and HRRR all
indicating SBCAPE from 400 to 1000j/kg in the warm sector.
HREF probabilities were higher with >1,000 J/kg of SBCAPE
around 50% over most of the area. Shear magnitudes and profiles
will not be a limiting factor given the strength of the system
and negative tilting of the shortwave. SSE surface winds with
long, arcing hodographs are likely.
HREF probabilities of >60 kts of 0-6km shear was still around
70-100%. At this time, a linear storm mode with embedded
supercells remains most likely with the storms moving west to
east through the area from around 2pm to 10pm. Hail to golf
ball size hail remains expected, which may need to be adjusted
if instability increases/decreases with the latest model runs.
Thunderstorm winds up to 70 mph are possible given strong wind
fields. Even non-thunderstorm winds are expected to gust to
35-45 mph, or possibly higher. Tornadoes will also be possible.
SPC has a 10% tornado probability across much of the area.
Additional rainfall during the day Sunday will not be as much of
an issue since training is less likely. Still, it won`t take
much rainfall on our saturated soils to cause problems.
Next Week: Ensemble data continues to be consistent in bringing
additional shortwaves into and through the area from the
west/southwest Tuesday through Thursday night. NBM rainfall
probs continue to increase, especially Thursday and Friday and
we will need to monitor where this rainfall sets up given the
heavy rainfall from this weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 605 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Unsettled weather continues to move through the area this TAF
period. IFR flight conditions will accompany showers and
thunderstorms overnight into Sunday morning, with reduced
visibilities around 2 to 4 miles and ceilings around 500 to 900
feet. A few instances of LIFR may occur. Conditions briefly
improve through mid Sunday morning, before the next round of
thunderstorms are progged to move through the region along a
cold front.
Winds will be at 5 to 10 knots out of the east tonight, turning
to the south into Sunday morning. Wind gusts approach 25 to 30
knots on Sunday afternoon ahead of the frontal passage, before
turning out of the west.
&&
.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch through Sunday evening for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Flood Watch through Sunday evening for MOZ055>058-066>071-
077>083-088>098-101>106.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...Perez