Forecast Discussions mentioning any of
"HRRR" "RAP" "RUC13" "RUC" "RR" received at GSD on 04/04/24
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
438 PM CDT Wed Apr 3 2024
...Updated Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm and dry through the end of the work week.
- Strong weather system will affect the central plains on
Saturday, but a eastward trend and weak moisture cast
considerable doubt on degree of severe potential for our area.
- Higher confidence in widespread precipitation exists with the
next storm system early next week, but uncertainty remains
with this system as well.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 200 PM CDT Wed Apr 3 2024
Little change to the short term forecast this cycle as southwest
KS sits between a powerful upper level longwave trough over the
eastern CONUS, and a ridge over the western CONUS as per latest
water vapor satellite imagery and RAP upper air analysis. At the
surface, a ~988-mb low is centered near the southern tip of Lake
Michigan, with its influence extending all the way west into the
central plains. This cyclone is responsible for another day of
breezy north winds, especially across the eastern zones,
resulting in afternoon highs staying in the low 60s east to low
70s west. Overnight, the surface low will finally pull far
enough away for the pressure gradient to relax over southwest
KS, allowing winds to become light and variable. This along with
clear skies will support temperatures dropping into the low 30s
northeast to the upper 30s southwest.
Daytime Thursday, short range guidance agrees the upper level
ridge will slide east and begin to emerge onto the High Plains
as another significant trough moves over the west coast. In
response, lee cyclogenesis will begin across eastern MT/WY/CO
fostering winds to flip to southerly. Latest ECMWF and GFS both
show 850-mb temperatures will warm by 5-7C, which will translate
to afternoon highs in the mid 60s northeast to mid 70s
southwest.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 200 PM CDT Wed Apr 3 2024
Medium range ensembles are in agreement the upper level ridge
axis will pass overhead Thursday night into Friday morning as
the next powerful trough continues eastward. A broad lee cyclone
across portions of MT/WY/CO will deepen ahead of this feature,
resulting in southerly winds becoming sustained in the 25-35 mph
range with gusts of 45-50 mph by early afternoon Friday. This
along with afternoon highs reaching the low 70s northeast to
near 80 southwest will foster fire weather conditions for at
least our western three counties (Hamilton, Stanton, and
Morton), and perhaps another tier of counties to the east.
Focus then shifts to a pair of significant upper level trough
ejections Saturday and early next week. Medium range ensembles
all bring a strong, negatively-tilted trough from the central
Rockies into the central plains daytime Saturday. It appears
ensembles have trended a bit faster with this wave compared to
yesterday, pushing the dryling farther east along with any
associated thunderstorm development, but it remains to be seen
if this trend will hold. Either way, the good news is moisture
return ahead of this wave continues to be weak as NBM
probability of SBCAPE reaching 500 J/Kg is less than 35%,
otherwise this is the type of system that is typically
accompanied by high-end severe weather potential. That said,
severe convection cannot be completely ruled out for roughly the
eastern third of our CWA. Behind the dryline, strong
southwesterly winds along with warm temperatures will foster
another day of fire weather conditions favoring the southwest
zones.
The second noteworthy trough ejection will occur near the end of
the long term period, currently expected sometime during the day
Tuesday. Both the ECMWF EPS and GEFS indicate this trough will
take a much farther south track as it approaches, suggesting
this wave will be able to tap into Gulf of Mexico moisture more
effectively, but these ensemble forecast systems show quite
different mean precipitation forecasts across our area. Mean
precipitation from the ECMWF EPS shows 0.5-0.75" of QPF across
our entire area, while the GEFS only shows 0.1-0.3". Mean
precipitation from the NBM aligns more with the ECMWF EPS, with
0.5-0.8" across our area to go along with widespread likely pops
(55-74%). To summarize, a significant precipitation event (by
southwest KS standards) appears possible on Tuesday, but this
could also be a rather disappointing event if the current GEFS
solution verifies, so trends will need to be monitored.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 438 PM CDT Wed Apr 3 2024
Excellent flying weather is expected through this TAF cycle,
with VFR/SKC and light winds less than 12 kts.
&&
.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday
evening for KSZ061-074-084.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Springer
LONG TERM...Springer
AVIATION...Turner
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
857 PM CDT Wed Apr 3 2024
...New UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 839 PM CDT Wed Apr 3 2024
Clouds associated with an upper level low over the Ohio Valley
continue to rotate across eastern Missouri into West Tennessee.
Additionally, a tight but weakening pressure gradient continues to
result in gusty northwest winds across the Midsouth ushering a
cool airmass across the region. These conditions are not optimal
for plummeting temperatures tonight. Current readings are mostly
around 50 degrees across the region with morning lows expected to
be in the upper 30s to low 40s. As a result frost is not expected.
Thursday, winds should relax a bit and further weaken more
tomorrow night. Clouds should also lift out of the area as the
upper level low tracks off to the east. We should see our coldest
temperatures of the next 7 days Friday morning when much of the
region is expected to dip into the lower to middle 30s. Frost is
likely Friday morning. Temperatures will trend warmer through the
weekend with highs in the low to middle 70s by Sunday. Our next
chance of showers and thunderstorms should move into the Midsouth
Saturday night and continue Sunday.
Eclipse viewing conditions still look questionable Monday, but
most of the heavier rain should shift off to our east.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 653 PM CDT Wed Apr 3 2024
Updated to end the Wind Advisory.
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 209 PM CDT Wed Apr 3 2024
Cool and windy conditions will prevail for the next few days as an
upper level low pressure system churns over the OH River Valley. A
Wind Advisory remains in effect for the northwestern part of the
area until 7PM tonight. Rain chances increase to 50-60% starting
Sunday as a series of fronts move through. Another active and
unsettled pattern begins to set up early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Tuesday)
Issued at 209 PM CDT Wed Apr 3 2024
Current KNQA radar depicts a broad swath of showers rotating
around the back side of an upper level low pressure system
centered over Chicago. HRRR and RAP13 soundings for West Tennessee
early this afternoon are showing extremely steep low level lapse
rates up to 850mb, nearing 9 degC/km. This very cold air filtering
in aloft is allowing the ice crystals to collect supercooled
water droplets on their way down, materializing at the surface as
graupel. This type of vertical profile will likely remain in
place for the next several hours; any more robust showers may
actually precipitate graupel more than rain for the rest of the
afternoon.
Over the next few days, the pressure gradient associated with the
upper low will remain fairly tight. The Wind Advisory for extreme
northeast AR and the MO Bootheel remains in effect until 7PM
tonight for sustained winds above 25 MPH and gusts up to 40 MPH.
Though today looks to be the most windy, the pressure gradient associated
with the upper low will remain fairly tight for the next few days.
Continuous CAA and intermittent post-frontal stratus will keep
afternoon high temperatures 5-10 degrees below normal through at
least Friday. Expect cool, mostly dry, and breezy conditions
through the end of the week.
The next noteworthy pattern shift begins on Sunday morning as a
warm front lifts north over the area, bringing a swath of WAA
showers and thunderstorms. This convection should peak in the late
afternoon hours as the cold front finally catches up and pushes
through overnight into Monday. The eclipse cloud cover forecast
remains finicky since we will be in between two systems on Monday
afternoon. The cold front from Sunday night may actually stall
out just to our northwest, holding a boundary of warm, moist air
(i.e., cloud cover) over the path of totality in our CWA.
The early to midweek pattern looks generally wet and unsettled.
Another cold front will approach on Tuesday, attached to a more
robust surface low ejecting from the southern Plains. Expect
several rounds of showers and thunderstorms throughout the week as
multiple fronts and systems interact with each other and take
turns stalling out. The most likely period for the heaviest rain
will be Wednesday morning and afternoon. PoPs are in the 60-70%
range all day before and during FROPA. In addition, ensemble
guidance suggests ample instability for widespread showers and
thunderstorms that could produce upwards of 2 inches of rain in
this short period from Tuesday night through Wednesday.
CAD
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 547 PM CDT Wed Apr 3 2024
VFR conditions expected through the period. NW winds will weaken
to 7-10 kts tonight then increase again late Thursday morning.
CJC
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&
$$
PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS
AVIATION...CJC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1140 PM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
Deepening low pressure over the Delmarva region will track slowly
northeast this evening, passing just south of Long Island
overnight. The low will then track northeast along the New England
coast on Thursday, remain over or near eastern New England on
Friday, then move slowly east out into the Atlantic Saturday
into Sunday. High pressure will return on Monday. A back door
cold front may approach from the northeast Tuesday into
Wednesday as a weakening frontal system approaches from
the west.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Per reports of very strong winds along the shores of western
Long Island Sound and latest HRRR showing strongest winds
persisting well into the night right along the coast out east,
have extended the wind headlines until 09Z for interior S CT,
also for coastal SE CT and the forks of Long Island.
A large upper low over centered over Indiana/Ohio will send a
deepening secondary low just off the Delaware coast northeast,
passing just south of Long Island overnight. Strong dynamics and
thermal forcing along with elevated instability continue to
produce moderate to occasionally heavy rain. Max rainfall rates
with heavier showers/tstms should be on the order of 1/4 to 1/2
inch per hour.
A flood watch remains up for NE NJ, NYC, and Long Island as
bands of showers/tstms continue to ride up from the south.
In addition, a strong pressure gradient to the north of the
low, featuring a 50-55 kt easterly LLJ at the base of the
inversion, has the potential to bring high winds to coastal
locations. Coastal areas remain under a High Wind Warning for
the potential of sustained winds exceeding 40 mph and gusts up
to 60 mph. Just inland, there is a complementing wind advisory
for slightly weaker winds, except for Orange County NY and
western Passaic County NJ.
Once the low passes farther to the east overnight, winds will
back around to a more northerly direction and weaken, drawing
some colder air into the area. Inland areas, especially the
higher elevations of Orange and Putnam counties in NY may see
some wet snow. This could even get into interior portions of SW
CT. Little to no snow accumulation is expected with surface
temperatures above freezing. In addition, mid level drying may
hinder snow growth.
The threat of showers will linger into Thursday afternoon.
Much of the guidance shows a more organized area of showers
passing just to the south and west of the NYC metro Thursday
afternoon. This will need to be watched as a subtle shift of the
upper low to the north could bring this into the forecast area.
Winds on Thursday will be out of the NW with a few gusts up to
20 mph possible.
Lows tonight will show a small diurnal change, remaining in the
upper 30s inland to around 40 at the coast. Highs Thursday are
expected in the mid 40s inland to the upper 40s/around 50 at the
coast. This is a few degrees above normal for lows and a few
degrees above for the highs.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The upper low slowly departs to the east Thursday night with a
slight chance of rain and/or snow showers. Lows will mainly be
in the 30s. W-NW winds continue during this time.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Not too much change from earlier forecast reasoning for this
time frame, with an omega block over North America translating
slowly east and influencing local wx for the most part.
Friday looks mainly dry and brisk, with mostly cloudy skies via
cyclonic flow around the low as it spins over or just E of the
ern New England coast. As the associated upper low starts to
move southward on Sat, with a leading spoke of mid level
vorticity moving across late Fri night, chances for light
rain/snow showers should increase inland Fri evening, and mainly
E of NYC late Fri night into Sat. Precip chances should end by
Sat night, and Sunday looks dry with partly sunny skies across
S CT/Long Island and mostly sunny skies to the west.
Noticeably milder wx arrives on Mon with high pressure sfc and
aloft building in, with high temps mostly in the lower/mid
60s, except upper 50s across ern Long Island and along south
facing shorelines. Model fcsts also continue to show a mid level
shortwave trough to the west riding atop the upper ridge axis
Mon afternoon, which could produce a fair amt of high clouds
during the time of the solar eclipse.
Fcst details become more uncertain beyond Mon night as guidance
shows the upper ridge strengthening a little, while a closed low
drops SE across the Canadian Maritimes, which should send a
back door cold front toward the area from New England, and an
upper low either approaches the western Great Lakes or gets
shunted into central Canada. Splitting the difference between
the GFS and ECMWF on timing of any back door cold fropa, with
Tue on the mild side (a few deg warmer than Mon) and somewhat
cooler temps for Wed, also slight chance PoP from Tue night into
Wed.
&&
.AVIATION /04Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH IMPACT AVIATION EVENT INTO TONIGHT
Low pressure deepens south of the terminals this evening and
tracks up the coast tonight and into early Thursday.
Periods of rain continue tonight. TSRA can`t be entirely ruled
out through 6Z for KJFK, KISP, KLGA. Rain gradually tapers off
after 6Z, with much of the SHRA activity ending around 12Z.
Some SN may mix into KSWF late tonight or early Thursday. SHRA
then become possible again after 18Z, mainly for terminals to
the south (KJFK, KLGA, KEWR, KTEB, KISP).
Generally IFR/low-end MVFR tonight with cigs 700-1500 feet.
Cigs/vis gradually improve during the morning on Thursday with
VFR conditions possible after 18Z. Any SHRA in the afternoon
may lower categories back to MVFR at least briefly.
Strong E/ENE winds are peaking now through about 5-6Z with
gusts along the coast upwards of 40-50 kt. Winds then back as
the low passes near or over the region. Speeds weaken a bit as
they back, with a possible lull in the vicinity of the low
center. N to NW winds on the backside of the low, but gusts
peaking at around 30 kt.
Winds of 50-55 kt at 2kft for the coastal terminals through
this evening.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Amendments likely through the TAF period for changing and possible
fluctuations in flight categories.
Low chance of TSRA remains through 6Z.
OUTLOOK FOR 03Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR though MVFR possible at times,
especially early.
Friday: Mainly VFR. Possible rain and/or snow shwrs with pockets of
MVFR. NW flow with gusts 20-25kt.
Saturday: Mainly VFR. Northerly gusts around 20 kt.
Sunday: VFR with northerly gusts near 20 kt.
Monday: VFR with light winds.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
&&
.MARINE...
Deepening low pressure will pass in close proximity to the
ocean waters overnight. A strong pressure gradient north of the
low will drive a strengthening easterly wind, producing a period
of 50-kt wind gusts. Significant wave heights on the ocean seas
reach 13-16 ft on the ocean and 9-11 ft on the Sound, with max
seas even higher.
Storm Warnings remain in effect for all waters through the first
half of tonight, and have been extended until 5 AM for the ern
ocean waters/Sound/Peconic & Gardiners Bay. Winds will quickly
fall off behind the low for the second half of the night on the
other waters, and any period of gales will be short-lived.
SCA conditions will linger on the ocean waters Thu into Thu
night due to elevated seas.
Longer term, SCA cond should persist on the ocean from Fri into
Sat morning as low pressure remains nearly stationary over or
just E of the ern New England coast, with NW flow gusting to 25
kt and seas 5-7 ft. Some gusts up to 25 kt are also possible on
the non ocean waters Fri afternoon/evening. SCA cond also
possible in N flow on the ern ocean waters late Sat night into
Sunday morning as low pressure finally pulls away to the east.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
An additional 1/4 to 1/2 inch of rain expected overnight, with
some locally higher totals just over 1/2 inch possible, except
1/2 to 1 inch in heavier showers/tstms across parts of Long
Island and SE CT.
Flood watch remains in effect for any poor drainage/nuisance
flooding occurring with this activity. Smaller streams in NE NJ
have mostly peaked at action stage but could experience
secondary rises overnight with this activity.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Around 2.5-3 ft of surge is needed for minor coastal flooding
this eve and around 3.5-4 ft for moderate coastal flooding.
With E winds ramping up to storm force during the time of high
tide, as well as building wave action, widespread moderate
coastal flood thresholds are likely to be eclipsed along the
southern and eastern bays of Long Island and along the western
Sound. Elsewhere widespread minor coastal flooding likely. In
addition, the combination of heavy rain and elevated water
levels this afternoon and evening may enhance the localized
flash flood threat along some shoreline roads and properties.
Easterly winds gradually subside late tonight as low pressure
moves over the area, and then switch to NW gales behind the low
Thu AM. High easterly swells will likely inhibit drainage,
particularly bay areas, bringing potential for widespread
moderate flooding (locally major for the southern and eastern
bays of Long Island) late tonight into early Thu morning. The
coverage and areas of greatest coastal flood impact will be
highly dependent on track of the low, and timing of the wind
shift from easterly SCA/Gales to northwest gales. Forecast is
based on a 75th percentile of Stevens, blended with ETSS, STOFS
guidance, which applies a bit of margin for safety. This will be
refined over the next 24 hours.
Along the oceanfront, breaking waves of 6-10 ft into Thursday
morning, along with elevated water levels, will result in
widespread beach flooding and erosion. Scattered areas of dune
erosion with localized overwashes are likely during the times of
high tide Wed afternoon into Thursday morning.
Along Long Island Sound, breaking waves of 3-7 ft this evening,
along with elevated water levels, will result in beach erosion
with damage to shoreline structures possible. Wave splashover
over bulkheads and seawalls will likely exacerbate flooding of
shoreline roadways and properties. A similar threat exists for
the twin forks, with breaking waves of 4-8 ft this evening and
Thursday morning.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Wind Advisory until 5 AM EDT Thursday for CTZ005>008.
Coastal Flood Warning until 10 AM EDT Thursday for CTZ009-010.
High Wind Warning until 5 AM EDT Thursday for CTZ011-012.
Coastal Flood Warning from 4 AM to 10 AM EDT Thursday for
CTZ011-012.
NY...Coastal Flood Warning until 10 AM EDT Thursday for NYZ071-073-
078-176-177.
High Wind Warning until 5 AM EDT Thursday for NYZ079-081.
Flood Watch until 1 AM EDT Thursday for NYZ072>075-078>081-
176>179.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM EDT Thursday for NYZ072-074-
075.
Wind Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for NYZ068-070.
Coastal Flood Warning until noon EDT Thursday for NYZ079-081.
Coastal Flood Warning until noon EDT Thursday for NYZ080-179.
Coastal Flood Warning from 3 AM to 7 AM EDT Thursday for
NYZ178.
NJ...Flood Watch until 1 AM EDT Thursday for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM EDT Thursday for NJZ006-104-
106-108.
MARINE...Storm Warning until 5 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ331-332-340-350.
Storm Warning until 2 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ335-338-345-353-
355.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Goodman/DW
NEAR TERM...Goodman/DW
SHORT TERM...DW
LONG TERM...Goodman
AVIATION...MW
MARINE...Goodman/DW
HYDROLOGY...Goodman/DW
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1057 PM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024
...New AVIATION...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 902 PM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024
Only minor tweaks were made to sky cover and temperature trends,
but no significant changes were made to the forecast package.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Through Thursday)
Issued at 405 PM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024
A cold front is pushing through the region this afternoon, taking
the last of the rain with it. Drier air is filtering in behind the
front and will push the clouds out of the area this evening. High
pressure across the western Gulf of Mexico and low pressure over the
northeast will keep a tight pressure gradient overhead through
Thursday afternoon, so winds will remain somewhat elevated between
10 to 20 mph out of the northwest with an occasional gust up to 30
mph. Below normal temperatures are anticipated through the period
thanks to those northwesterly winds. Middle 40s to lower 50s are on
deck tonight before warming into the upper 60s to lower 70s Thursday
afternoon.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday night through Friday night)
Issued at 405 PM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024
Upper ridging is expected to build in with the exit
of a large upper trough off the east coast. At the surface, high
pressure will build in over the Gulf of Mexico setting the stage for
benign conditions across the forecast area through the duration of
the short term forecast period. The main focus of the short term
will be gusty winds across the forecast area as the aforementioned
surface high pressure builds in, tightening the pressure gradient
over our area as a surface low meanders off the Northeastern US
coast. Winds will calm down in the overnight hours as the boundary
layer decouples closer to the surface.
Overnight lows going into Friday will range from the mid 40s to low
50s, perhaps remaining in the low 40s in our typical cold spots in
portions of our northernmost SW GA counties. Temperatures will then
warm into the upper 60s across our northernmost SE AL and SW GA
counties to mid 70s across our FL counties during the afternoon on
Friday.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 405 PM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024
High pressure and benign conditions will hang on
before the arrival of our next upper trough around the middle of
next week. Some small chances of showers exist across our SE AL
counties as weak forcing aloft overspreads the region ahead of a
slow moving cold front. Chances for rain increase on Wednesday as
the cold front begins trekking toward the forecast area as the
aforementioned upper trough begins ejecting east with an active
subtropical jet influence. Severe threat appears low at this time,
though it is subject to change given how far away it is in this
forecast package.
Daily highs will begin in the mid to upper 70s with a warming trend
expected to kick off the work week bringing low 80s to our area
Monday and beyond. Low temperatures will also see a warming trend
kicking off Saturday morning in the 40s, warming to the 60s by
Wednesday morning.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1049 PM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024
3Z Update: added LLWS at all terminals during the overnight hrs
based on VWPs showing westerly winds of 30-35 kts at 2kft with
some obs reporting lgt winds, and the latest HRRR wind trends.
6Z Discussion: VFR conditions will prevail through this TAF
period. Gusts will continue subsiding across all sites this
evening, though breezy sustained winds will continue especially
across KDHN and KABY. Stronger winds and gusts will resume across
all sites beginning 14-15z tomorrow and last through the evening
once again.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 405 PM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024
With the passage of a cold front this afternoon, advisory
conditions are expected to persist as a tight pressure gradient is
left in its wake. Fresh to occasionally strong breezes are expected
to persist through late Thursday to early Friday morning with wave
heights 5-7ft. Favorable boating conditions are expected to return
this weekend as high pressure builds in and brings benign conditions
to our waters.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 405 PM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024
Fire weather conditions are not anticipated the next several days.
However, dry air arriving this afternoon will stick around through
the end of the week with minimum RH values dropping to between 25 to
35 percent Thursday and Friday. Mixing heights over 5k feet are
anticipated the next couple of days along with breezy northwesterly
transport winds. This will lead to high dispersions through the work
week and into the weekend.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 405 PM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024
Currently, a few rivers in our Ochlockonee and Suwannee
basins remain in action stage, though they are expected to continue
falling. No meaningful rainfall is forecast through the remainder of
the forecast period leading to no hydrologic concerns at this time.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 49 71 48 74 / 0 0 0 0
Panama City 54 69 51 72 / 0 0 0 0
Dothan 46 68 43 71 / 0 0 0 0
Albany 46 67 43 68 / 0 0 0 0
Valdosta 49 69 46 71 / 0 0 0 0
Cross City 51 70 49 73 / 10 0 0 0
Apalachicola 55 67 53 70 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 5 AM EDT /4 AM CDT/ Thursday for
FLZ108-112-114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT /10 PM CDT/ Thursday for
GMZ730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...Reese
SHORT TERM...Worster
LONG TERM....Worster
AVIATION...Worster/IG3
MARINE...Worster
FIRE WEATHER...Reese
HYDROLOGY...Worster