Forecast Discussions mentioning any of
"HRRR" "RAP" "RUC13" "RUC" "RR" received at GSD on 11/17/22
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
941 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
LATEST UPDATE...
Update
.UPDATE...
Issued at 925 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
Low level troughing continues to focus the main bands of snow
closer to Lake MI especially towards Van Buren County. Earlier the
heavier snow showers around Mt Pleasant generated some hazardous
travel for a short period of time. Those impactful snow showers
moved off to the east of that area. Surface temperatures have
fallen into the 30 to 32 degree range so some icing may develop
overnight especially for bridges and overpasses. The 00z GRB
sounding captured the steeper low level lapse rates which helped
to generated the stronger snow showers. This setup does not
change much overnight. Impressive lake effect setup for Thu
especially in the afternoon as deep cyclonic flow and moisture
coupled with cold air advection supports increasing bands of lake
effect snow. Impacts will likely expand during that time. Thus we
will not make any changes to the headlines.
&&
.DISCUSSION...(This evening through next Wednesday)
Issued at 316 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
Forecast concerns deal with the approaching snowy period and
subsequent headlines needed to describe the hazard and impacts.
Essentially, the Winter Storm Watch was upgraded to a Winter Storm
Warning and a Winter Weather Advisory was issued everywhere else.
The lake shore will see those headlines begin this evening for
reasons noted below.
The short range models have a pretty good handle on the evolving
weather pattern. We`re following the HRRR during the next 24-36 hrs.
Regional radar shows lake effect snow developing over the northern
part of Lake Michigan and this snow has a connection to Lake
Superior. These snow showers will continue south tonight and the
HRRR shows them moving a bit inland during the evening and
overnight. We`re likely to see visibilities fall to 3 to 5 miles
west of US-131 and roads will become slick. Although road
temperatures are in the lower 40s, once air temperatures fall below
freezing, we`ll see some icy spots develop.
A strong short wave rotating around the deep upper low will create
substantial boundary layer lift beginning tomorrow. H8 temps fall
from -8c to -12c by 18z, -14z by 06z Friday and -16z by the weekend.
The first short wave moves in Thursday and the second potent wave
moves through Saturday. Thus, we`re looking at a prolonged period of
lake effect (mixed with synoptic) snow. Boundary layer winds will be
from a westerly direction which favors areas bounded by I-94/I-96.
We have the Winter Storm Warning in this area. Total snow through
Friday night could be in the one foot range with areas in the
northeast cwa seeing only a couple of inches.
Bufkit omega profiles show a brief spike in upward motion through
the DGZ around 06z tonight. Other bullseyes were noted but generally
below the DGZ until Saturday afternoon, when the omega bullseye is
square in the DGZ. This also coincides with the next push of arctic
air.
The upper trough finally moves out Sunday and h8 temps quickly rise
to -6c by 00z Monday. This will spell the end of the lake effect
snow with dry weather expected early next week.
Saturday and Sunday will be the warmest days as highs will only be
in the mid 20s. Once the trough moves east, highs will climb back
toward 40 by the middle of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 642 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
Lake effect snow showers...some of them producing sub IFR
conditions were tracking through portions of Southwest Lower MI to
start the period. In general the inland TAF sites will see the
activity persist for a few hours this evening then diminish for a
period later this evening into tonight. However that will not last
as the southwest flow picks up and colder air advects in late
tonight into Thursday morning. This will strengthen and expand
the snow activity...which will likely persist through much of the
remainder of the day. IFR and lower impacts are predicted through
the day on Wednesday. Being lake effect...conditions will be
highly variable and will change rather quickly at times.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 316 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
No changes to the marine headlines. Wind will be mainly
northwesterly tonight and keep the larger waves farther out in the
lake. However, when winds become more westerly Thursday, waves will
increase in the nearshore waters. Colder air plowing into the region
will cause waves to rise quite a bit and so our current headlines
extend through Sunday and may have to eventually be extended into
next week.
&&
.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Saturday for MIZ037-043-
050.
Winter Weather Advisory from 7 AM Thursday to 7 AM EST Saturday
for MIZ038>040-044>046-051-052-059-067-074.
Winter Storm Warning until 7 AM EST Saturday for MIZ056-064-071.
Winter Storm Warning from 7 AM Thursday to 7 AM EST Saturday for
MIZ057-058-065-066-072-073.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Sunday for LMZ844>849.
&&
$$
UPDATE...MJS
DISCUSSION...04
AVIATION...MJS
MARINE...04
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Gray ME
933 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure exits to the east tonight. Upslope snow showers
develop in the mountains and continue into Thursday, but the
rest of the area will be dry with partly to mostly sunny
conditions Thursday. Several rounds of snow showers will be
chances for snow showers in the mountains are possible through
the weekend while southern areas remain mostly dry and
temperatures running slightly below normal.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
Update...Temps and dewpoints have been slow to fall tonight as
low level inversion keeps mechanical mixing to a minimum.
Eventually CAA will win out...but I have delayed the concerted
cooling until very late tonight/early Thu. Otherwise no
significant changes to the forecast.
Previous discussion...The latest RAP13 surface analysis and
surface observations indicate that the center of low pressure is
now located just offshore of the Maine coastline at this hour.
Radar shows the steadiest of the precipitation has now moved
northeast of the region with just some lingering light
rain/drizzle south of the mountains and light snow further to
the north. Current temperatures range from near 50 degrees along
the NH Seacoast to the lower 30s in interior sections of
western ME and NH.
Low pressure will continue to pull away from New England tonight
before moving over the Bay of Fundy by early Thursday morning.
In doing so it will begin to pull down drier air from the north,
bringing an end to precipitation south of the mountains by late
this evening along with gradually clearing skies. Given the
plethora of moisture on area roadways and walkways, locally icy
conditions on untreated surfaces are possible overnight through
early Thursday morning as temperatures bottom out into the 20s.
As a result, drivers should be prepared for areas of ice and use
caution if traveling.
Across the mountains and point north, increasing CAA from the
north will allow for upslope snow showers to develop with light
accumulations possible.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Clouds will gradually increase some during the day on Thursday
as a shortwave trough swings through northern New England. This
wave will provide some lift and given some sunshine and surface
warming, weak low-level CAPE and increasing low to mid-level
lapse rates will provide an opportunity for a few scattered snow
showers and perhaps even a snow squall. The latest NAM continues
to show snow squall parameters in the 3-5 range developing
during the afternoon, mainly across western NH. The latest few
CAM runs including the HRRR show some heavy snow showers/squalls
approaching the CT River Valley between 12-2 pm before
dissipating during the late afternoon/early evening. This will
therefore need to be watched given the potential localized
impacts to the evening commute. Across the north and mountains
more persistent upslope snow showers/clouds will prevail with
additional light snow accumulation. High temperatures will range
from the lower 30s across the north and mountains to the lower
40s in southern areas. It will feel colder though as northwest
winds will frequently gust between 20-25 mph.
Winds will subside on Thursday evening as we lose daytime
heating and this combined mostly clear skies south of the
mountains will allow lows to fall into the lower 20s. Across the
north and mountains, more in the way of cloud cover will linger
along with scattered snow showers.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Current, fairly stable, +PNA pattern at 500 MB starts to break
down after this weekend, and become less amplified. Through the
weekend we should stay under the influence of general weak
cyclonic flow, with seasonably cool temps and perhaps a few
threats of SHSNRA, mostly in the mtns, but nothing in the way of
significant precip. Flow becomes less amplified and more zonal
early to middle of next week, with generally dry conds and a
possible warming trend. Some signs late next week for possible
storm system, but confidence this far out is low.
Friday will be another cool and breezy day with a wave passing
to our N and a threat of SHSN in the mtns late Friday and Friday
night, followed by a dry and mainly sunny day Sat. A broad
trough quickly moves through on Sunday and could see more clouds
and a threat of SHRASN again. Highs through the weekend will
generally range from the low 30s in the N to the low 40s in the
S. Monday and Tuesday look mainly dry, sunny and warmer with
highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
&&
.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Short Term...IFR/LIFR restrictions will gradually improve from
south to north this evening with any remaining RA/SN ending
except across northern TAF sites including KHIE. Mostly VFR is
then expected tonight through Thursday night except at KHIE
where continued MVFR restrictions are likely due to SHSN and
lower ceilings. Northwest winds will gust up to between 20-25
kts across all TAF sites during the day on Thursday.
Long Term...Mainly VFR Friday through the weekend. Only
exception is KHIE, which could see periods of MVFR cigs and
SHSN.
&&
.MARINE...
Short Term...Winds will become offshore tonight through Thursday
night with frequent gusts of 25-30 kts and a few gusts up to 35
kts possible. Also, seas will remain elevated at 4-7 ft.
Long Term...SCA winds are likely to persist Friday into Sat,
before diminishing somewhat Sunday and Monday.
&&
.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for ANZ150>154.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...Legro
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
956 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
.Forecast Update...
Issued at 950 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
Shortwave embedded in the upper-level trough continues to work
across the Ohio Valley this evening. With steep low-level lapse
rates and help from a LLJ of 25-30kts we`ve seen snow showers over
the northern half of our CWA. Current observation and KLVX WSR-88D
radar imagery has a swath of light to moderate snow showers moving
through the Bluegrass with the heaviest bursts of snow located
across Washington, Mercer, Boyle and Jessamine counties northward
towards Cincinnati, OH. These snow showers should continue to
quickly move off to the east and exit out of the area between 04-
05z. Most locations have seen a quick dusting on cars and elevated
surfaces.
Snow will taper off but low stratus behind the trough located over
central/northern IL will move in over southern IN/northern KY.
Because of the clouds decided to increase overnight lows in southern
IN/norther KY up a few degrees.
Issued at 550 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
Monitoring area WSR-88D returns, observations and traffic cameras
from both Indiana and Kentucky decided to up our PoPs to around 20
percent for some scattered light snow and flurries through this
evening. Impacts remain minimal but a brief burst of snow in an
isolated band, especially across southern IN and norther KY along
the Ohio River is possible. SPC Meso-analysis shows a 25kt 850mb LLJ
over northern KY and southern IN this evening with the RAP
suggesting we could see areas up to 30kts adding to slight enhance
lift. Model soundings and cloud tops support areas of saturation in
the DGZ along with some steep low-level lapse rates where we had
sunshine close to 6 C/km. While there is support for light snow we
have dry a dry layer below 3K ft keep most of the snow showers light
to just flurries. Temperatures will also remain slightly above to
just near freezing during the time of highest PoPs and ground
temperatures as well as road temperatures remain above freezing.
&&
.Short Term...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 315 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
After some sunshine filtering through this afternoon as drier air
set in, we will see low level clouds move over central KY from the
west. Breezy westerly winds will eventually die down by this evening
as daytime mixing diminishes, but west winds should remain between 5-
10 mph overnight. We are currently located underneath broad upper
troughing, with another subtle shortwave expected to pass through
the Ohio Valley tonight. Several hi-res CAMs have been hinting at a
quick moving wave of wintry precip this evening as a vort lobe
swings through. Model soundings show a shallow layer of moisture
tapping into the DGZ this evening, with steep low level lapse rates
but a decent dry layer at the sfc will likely limit most precip
chances. No accumulations are currently expected, though should we
be able to tap into more moisture, the steep lapse rates will result
in brief snow showers that could result in very light accumulations.
Not entirely confident on this, but given the broad ascent over the
area it is possible. Will blend hi-res guidance to highlight an area
of sprinkles/flurries for a short period mainly across central KY
tonight. Lows for tonight will drop down into the low to mid 20s.
For tomorrow, the upper flow flattens into a more zonal pattern. A
dry forecast is expected for tomorrow, with the greatest cloud
coverage expected along and north of I-64. With this in mind, cooler
high temps are expected across southern IN, with mid 30s possible.
Temps closer to 40 are expected to the south across Kentucky.
.Long Term...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 300 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
Thursday Night - Sunday...
A cold front will bring a reinforcing shot of cold air to the region
for the weekend. Expect unseasonably cold temps with highs in the
30s to low 40s and low temperatures in the teens and low 20s Fri-
Sat-Sun.
In addition to the cold air, the front could also bring a few
flurries/sprinkles to the area late Thu night into Fri morning but
feel the majority of the model soundings are too dry to mention any
precipitation in the forecast attm. Sat-Sun look dry with sfc high
pressure moving in from the west.
Monday - Wednesday...
By Monday, return flow should commence as the high pressure moves
eastward out of our area. This will result in a warming trend
through mid week. High temps will moderate into the 40s for Mon
with 50s for highs by Tue/Wed.
12Z long range models indicate an upper level shortwave could bring
a slight chance for precip to the area Tues. However, the best
chance for the return of rain should come Wed-Thu ahead of a potent
low pressure system over the central U.S.
&&
.Aviation...(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 640 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
Local WSR-88D, observations as well as traffic cameras across
southern IN and northern KY have shown pockets of light snow and
flurries this evening but with dry air below 3000ft, it has been a
challenge for any of this precipitation to reach the ground. Given
this trend and upstream reports, decided to go with vicinity showers
for snow and flurries through the first part of the forecast cycle.
Winds were also breezy out of the west up to 10kts. Winds will die
down some overnight and our mid-level cloud deck should break up a
bit later tonight into early tomorrow morning with mostly clear
skies. Models suggest a slight increase in clouds just before dawn
tomorrow morning with CIG between 2500-3000 which would put them
into MVFR categories. Confidence right now is low on this so went
with the mention of SCT clouds at this level. The overall thought
for this TAF cycle is VFR conditions with moderate to high
confidence. Will have to monitor through the first few hours for the
forecast for possible light snow showers, then tomorrow morning for
more BKN/OVC MVFR CIG.
&&
.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
Update...BTN
Short Term...CJP
Long Term...AMS
Aviation...BTN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
702 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
...New UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 657 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
As is often the case, the cold front is taking it`s time crossing
South Florida this evening. It will continue it`s slow NW to SE
overnight likely not fully clearing SE FL until the early morning
hours tomorrow. Latest HRRR run still shows the potential for some
isolated showers along the east coast metro this evening, but most
of the activity should remain over the Atlantic waters. Made some
minor tweaks to wind and sky cover based on the latest obs, but
overall the forecast remains on track.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 222 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
Originating in the FL Panhandle this morning, a cold front is making
progress across the Peninsula today. As the front continues south-
southeastward, it is expected to move through South Florida tonight.
With the diurnal heating and sea breezes, there will be an
opportunity for light showers and isolated thunderstorms in the late
afternoon and evenings across the southeast. 12Z soundings confirm
the opportunity for weak to moderate convection as previously
forecasted - with CAPE values reaching 1500 J/kg and lapse rates
supporting a conditionally unstable atmosphere. PWATs are not
showing much moisture, with model indication the best chance for
showers will be over the Atlantic Ocean.
Tomorrow will be drier with an uptick in breezy wind speeds. There
is a chance for light showers, but most will remain over the Gulf
Stream waters. Conditions will be mostly cloudy with winds gusting
up to 20KT especially along the east coast.
Afternoon highs are expected to be the last day of above normal
temperatures as they reach the mid-to-upper 80s across most of south
Florida. There may be some interior locations pushing 90 degrees.
There will be numerous daily records in jeopardy today! Following
the warm day, the cold front will usher much cooler air into the
region with overnight lows cooling to near seasonal temperatures.
Lows in the interior will be in the low to mid 60s with the
eastern metro areas falling into the upper 60s. There will be
quite a spread in temperatures tomorrow. Highs near Lake
Okeechobee will struggle to reach 70 while Broward/Miami-
Dade/Monroe Counties will have no problem reaching upper 70s to
80.&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 222 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
The front will stall just to our south over the Straits of
Florida on Friday and Saturday, as a CONUS longwave trough remains
in place, and the mid/upper level wind flow parallels the frontal
boundary. As a result, clouds and scattered showers look to
linger over east coast metro areas on Friday, then over most of
the area on Saturday as low-level NE winds transport Atlantic
moisture over the southern peninsula in the vicinity of the
boundary.
Models for the past couple of days have been hinting at
perturbations in the mid/upper level SW flow moving from the Gulf
of Mexico across South Florida late this weekend, overriding the
moist NE-E winds near the front. This would result in the second
half of the weekend being quite gloomy and wet. PoPs for Sunday
and Monday will lean slightly on the higher side, ranging from
30% around the Gulf Coast to 50% on the East Coast. Locally heavy
rainfall is a possibility with this setup.
As we move into the early and middle part of Thanksgiving week,
models continue to show the front draped across the area with
plenty of moisture in the low and mid-levels riding over the
front. A continuation of the rather wet pattern therefore looks to
be in store.
Temperatures on Friday morning are forecast to drop into the 50s
around Lake Okeechobee and most of SW Florida, with 60s elsewhere.
This will be the coolest morning as clouds and moisture increase
over the weekend and keep lows in the 60s to around 70F. Highs
will be mainly in the 70s through the long term period, held down
primarily by clouds and precipitation as we get later into the
weekend and early next week.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 222 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
The front will stall just to our south over the Straits of
Florida on Friday and Saturday, as a CONUS longwave trough remains
in place, and the mid/upper level wind flow parallels the frontal
boundary. As a result, clouds and scattered showers look to
linger over east coast metro areas on Friday, then over most of
the area on Saturday as low-level NE winds transport Atlantic
moisture over the southern peninsula in the vicinity of the
boundary.
Models for the past couple of days have been hinting at
perturbations in the mid/upper level SW flow moving from the Gulf
of Mexico across South Florida late this weekend, overriding the
moist NE-E winds near the front. This would result in the second
half of the weekend being quite gloomy and wet. PoPs for Sunday
and Monday will lean slightly on the higher side, ranging from
30% around the Gulf Coast to 50% on the East Coast. Locally heavy
rainfall is a possibility with this setup.
As we move into the early and middle part of Thanksgiving week,
models continue to show the front draped across the area with
plenty of moisture in the low and mid-levels riding over the
front. A continuation of the rather wet pattern therefore looks to
be in store.
Temperatures on Friday morning are forecast to drop into the 50s
around Lake Okeechobee and most of SW Florida, with 60s elsewhere.
This will be the coolest morning as clouds and moisture increase
over the weekend and keep lows in the 60s to around 70F. Highs
will be mainly in the 70s through the long term period, held down
primarily by clouds and precipitation as we get later into the
weekend and early next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 610 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
VFR through the 00Z TAF period. A cold front is crossing the area
this evening, with winds behind the front initially becoming NW
overnight and then N/NE on Thursday, with speeds of 10-15 kts by
the afternoon. An isolated shower can`t be ruled out over the east
coast metro overnight into early Thursday, but chances are too low
for mention at any specific terminal.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 222 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
North-northeast winds will increase tonight after the frontal
passage. Small craft caution conditions are possible for most of the
forecast period as winds are expected to be in the 15-20 knot range
and seas 4-6 ft on Thursday and Friday. The winds are expected to
gradually become easterly on Saturday and Sunday and remain in the
15-20 knot range with seas 4-6 ft. Showers over the Atlantic waters
Thursday and Friday will increase in coverage over all waters as we
head into the upcoming weekend. A few thunderstorms may also develop
over the Atlantic waters by the weekend.
&&
.BEACHES...
Issued at 222 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2022
Lingering northerly swell will keep a moderate risk of rip currents
at the beaches of Palm Beach County today. The rip current risk
should begin to increase at all Atlantic beaches Thursday and
continue through the upcoming weekend due to stronger northeast-east
winds.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami 72 83 67 80 / 10 10 20 20
West Kendall 69 83 65 80 / 10 10 20 20
Opa-Locka 69 82 66 79 / 10 10 20 20
Homestead 69 83 66 79 / 10 10 30 20
Fort Lauderdale 71 81 67 79 / 10 10 20 20
N Ft Lauderdale 71 80 67 78 / 20 10 20 20
Pembroke Pines 69 81 66 79 / 10 10 20 20
West Palm Beach 69 78 66 78 / 20 10 20 20
Boca Raton 70 80 66 79 / 20 10 20 20
Naples 64 77 59 75 / 10 0 0 0
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Simmons
LONG TERM....Culver
AVIATION...CMF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
930 PM CST Wed Nov 16 2022
...New UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 914 PM CST Wed Nov 16 2022
Only minor changes needed to the forecast this evening as
temperatures have remained a few degrees warmer in portions of
Middle TN where clouds are moving overhead. Adjusted hourly
temperatures to reflect this, but left overnight lows alone as
temps should fall quickly once clouds clear. Any chance for
flurries looks limited to the upper Cumberland Plateau before
midnight, but ground temperatures remain warm enough to keep any
accumulation worries at a minimum.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday Night)
Issued at 213 PM CST Wed Nov 16 2022
Snow flurries are being reported across portions of central and
southern MO this afternoon. The GFS still brings a narrow slug of
850mb moisture across the mid state this evening. This is further
supported by the Hrrr and namnst as well. Remainder of models
lean toward a totally dry scenario. However, Middle TN is within
the brief favorable pva window with sub 800 ft freezing levels in
alignment. So I will go ahead and put just a slight chance of
flurries across our north this evening. sat imagery does depict
the lower cloudiness moving this way. At any rate, nothing to be
alarmed about.
Moving on, thermal trough amplification will relax but heights will
remain quite low. 850 mb temps of -4C to -6C will prevail throughout
the short term period. Reinforcement of the cold air will occur
Thursday night as, what looks to be, a dry cold front moves
through. 12Z w-e surface ridging looks strongest Saturday morning
but there could be a few added clouds. Thus, the next 3 overnights
look rather cold with lower to mid 20s for lows.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 213 PM CST Wed Nov 16 2022
In the extended forecast, another dry cold front expected Saturday
afternoon. The surface high will reach our area by Sunday sunrise.
At that time, the upper flow will become more zonal with 850 mb
temps finally going north of 0C. This will equate to dry and warmer
conditions. Upper pattern attempts to split with some southern
energy toward mid week. Thats the next chance of substantial
rainfall but that might hold off until the 7-10 day period.
Again, temperatures for the beginning of the extended will be cold
through the weekend. Then a marked warming trend into mid week.
Maybe, just maybe, we could see lower to mid 60s by Wednesday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 526 PM CST Wed Nov 16 2022
VFR conditions expected through the TAF period as high pressure
builds overhead. A few light snow flurries may be possible along
the TN/KY state line through 06Z. The flurries will be so light
have not included in any of the TAF sites...however CKV would be
the only one in question. Winds will be westerly 10 kts or less
and possible becoming a bit gusty after 18Z.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville 25 44 25 43 / 0 0 0 0
Clarksville 23 43 25 42 / 10 0 0 0
Crossville 21 38 22 41 / 0 0 0 0
Columbia 23 45 24 45 / 0 0 0 0
Cookeville 22 40 23 41 / 0 0 0 0
Jamestown 21 37 23 39 / 0 0 0 0
Lawrenceburg 24 45 24 45 / 0 0 0 0
Murfreesboro 22 45 21 44 / 0 0 0 0
Waverly 22 43 24 42 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
UPDATE.......Whitehead
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION.....12