Forecast Discussions mentioning any of "HRRR" "RAP" "RUC13" "RUC" "RR" received at GSD on 11/10/22

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
807 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 .UPDATE... Issued at 803 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 Latest HRRR and radar trends continue to indicate that forecast of potentially sig ice is still likely, so forecast remains on track and no big changes are expected this evening. && .SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday Night) Issued at 218 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 Soundings very supportive of freezing drizzle across the region this afternoon, and we continue to see that in areas, especially along and west of the James River where temps are the coldest. Winter Weather Advisory for this threat remains in place until 00Z this evening. Models still hitting the icing potential pretty hard tonight, from the northern Coteau area southwest to around Pierre, with amounts up to, or over one-quarter inch. Decided to upgrade to an Ice Storm Warning, taking an impact-based approach as overall snow totals continue to decline within the area of highest potential ice totals. Have some doubts though on the southwest CWA ice totals, with a little more variability shown in models on icing amounts down there. Very good signal from Hand/Hyde/Faulk region northeast into the northern Coteau for highest totals. Blizzard Warning will remain in place for north central SD as snow totals continue to be fairly high in the forecast, generally around 6 inches or perhaps higher. Again, still some differences in just how quickly the storm exits on Thursday, but trending for things to rapidly improve by afternoon, so we may end up being on some of the lower end of the forecast totals for snow/ice. Most of it (especially ice) will depend on longevity and intensity of the initial slug of moisture as it moves through during the overnight hours, mainly between 03Z and 12Z. Any blowing snow impacts still look to affect mainly north central SD, where snow amounts continue to look the highest. Any wrap-around snow lingers longest in this area as well. Overall, not the highest confidence forecast due to the complexity with differing precip types, and toughness in determining just how long precip lingers into the day Thursday. .LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 218 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 Tail end of the system is just departing the CWA to open the extended. High pressure moves overhead Friday night for what will likely be the coldest night of the period, and while that high pressure system lingers into Saturday night, a lee low develops to the south resulting in increased southeast low level flow for Sunday. Some evidence in guidance for a period of snowfall to the north of this lee low as it ejects into the central plains Sunday night/Monday associated with a shortwave pivoting around the broad upper low over the northeast CONUS and a mid level baroclinic zone. The upper flow develops into a semi-permanent southwest to northeast oriented trough later in the period. Low level temperatures fail to recover much late in the period thanks to this northerly steering flow. 850mb temperatures are a standard deviations below climo starting Friday and that trend will persist through the entirety of the forecast, and as such it looks more like climo for January than mid November. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening) Issued at 532 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG FZRA/SN along with IFR cigs/vsbys are expected to spread across the region overnight. && .ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST Thursday for SDZ008- 019>023. Blizzard Warning until midnight CST Thursday night for SDZ003- 004-009-015. Ice Storm Warning until 6 AM CST Thursday for SDZ005-010-016-017- 033>037-045-048-051. Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM to 6 PM CST Thursday for SDZ005-010-016-017-033>037-045-048-051. Ice Storm Warning until 9 AM CST Thursday for SDZ006-007-011-018. Winter Weather Advisory from 9 AM to 6 PM CST Thursday for SDZ006-007-011-018. MN...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST Thursday for MNZ039-046. && $$ UPDATE...TDK SHORT TERM...TMT LONG TERM...Connelly AVIATION...TDK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston SC
1026 PM EST Wed Nov 9 2022 .SYNOPSIS... Tropical Cyclone Nicole is expected to impact the area Thursday into Friday. A cold front will sweep across the region this weekend, with high pressure building in its wake. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/... As of 1020 PM, KCLX detected a few light returns across the coastal waters, tracking rapidly to the SW. The returns were decreasing as they approach the radar, indicating that lower dry air remains across the region. Latest run of the HRRR, indicates that deeper moisture and more cellular returns will develop around midnight. The forecast will indicate CHC PoPs over the waters late this evening, approaching the coast late tonight. In addition, temperatures this evening have been running a bit warmer than forecast, hourly temps will be updated to align with the latest observations. Tonight: Tropical Storm Nicole is forecast to make landfall along the southeast Florida coast in the early morning hours as Nicole heads west underneath the mid-level ridge. As this occurs, the coastal front will start to collapse with low level overrunning increasing. As this occurs, PWATs will slowly rise to 1.75" - 2" by sunrise Thursday. As the prior dry air is eroded away, this will allow for the coverage of showers to spread onshore such that 60-80 percent rain chances are in place along the coast by late tonight. We could even see an isolated thunderstorm or two, mainly further south along the Georgia coast. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/... Thursday: The National Hurricane Center`s latest forecast has Tropical Storm Nicole making landfall along the southeastern Florida coastline late Wednesday night/early Thursday morning. Nicole will then move northwestward across Florida. An upper level ridge is forecast to break down across the eastern U.S. and a trough will swing eastward, along with a surface cold front. Nicole will get captured by the trough, driving it to the northeast as it merges with the cold front at the surface late Thursday night. As Nicole moves northeastward it is forecast to undergo Extratropical Transition (ET). While the center of low pressure will likely pass inland of our forecast area, we will not miss out on the impacts from the storm. Once Nicole moves over inland Florida after making landfall, dry air is forecast to become entrained on the eastern side of the storm. This does not bode well for the local forecast area, specifically southeastern GA, as the tornado threat will increase if this comes to fruition. The HRRR and NAMNST are both depicting the convective mode over the forecast area to be more along the lines of discrete cells, with favorable convective parameters for tornadogenesis. The NAMNST is more bullish regarding the tornado potential, with a forecast Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) of 2 to 4 across southeastern GA and the southern portion of southeastern SC in the late afternoon/early evening hours. The HRRR and RAP do not have STP values as high as the NAMNST, however they both also pinpoint southeastern GA as an area of interest within the same time frame. ML CAPE values are forecast to be between 800 to 1200 J/kg with shear values on the order of 30 to 40 knots in the late afternoon and into the overnight hours. The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked the entire forecast are in a Slight Risk for severe weather on Thursday to account for the tornado threat. As Nicole passes inland, southeasterly flow will prevail, ushering in a warm, moist tropical airmass. PWAT values are forecast to increase to a whopping 2+ inches in the afternoon hours. Heavy rainfall is possible, with 2 to 3 inches possible over the forecast area with locally higher amounts. See the Hydrology Section for more details. Temperatures Thursday will be several degrees above normal, as the tropical airmass is ushered into the region along with plentiful cloud cover. Perhaps the more interesting temperature forecast will be the Thursday night temperatures. Thick cloud cover, onshore flow, and the tropical airmass will allow temperatures only drop into the upper 60s to near 70 at the coastline. These temperatures are 15-20 degrees above normal. Friday: By Friday Nicole is forecast to be located over the Midlands of SC, rapidly moving northward as it merges with the cold front and swings eastward with the upper level trough. Conditions will likely improve as of Friday afternoon, with wind gusts diminishing along the coastline in the overnight hours. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible in the morning hours across the region, persisting into the afternoon in southeastern SC. Overnight the region will dry out, with a rain-free forecast as clouds clear out. Temperatures Friday will again be a couple degrees above normal, with mid 70s forecast across the region. Overnight lows will also be above normal,with mid to upper 50s forecast. Saturday: At the surface a strong cold front will pass through the region, with broad troughing aloft. High pressure will be quick to build in behind the cold front at the surface. A sunny and rain-free forecast in store for Saturday, with temperatures in the mid 70s. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... After the aforementioned cold front clears the forecast area, dry high pressure will build into the region. A cooler air mass will be ushered into the area, with temperatures Sunday night dropping into the 40s across the coastal areas and into the mid 30s inland. A Freeze Watch may be needed. Otherwise, overnight temperatures will be right around normal for this time of year. High temperatures will be a several degrees below normal, with highs only in the low 60s through most of the period. The region will remain rain-free through the weekend as high pressure builds in. An upper level trough will swing eastward mid week, with a surface cold front sweeping through the region. This will bring the region the first chance of rain in the period. && .AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Prior to the 0Z TAFs, satellite water vapor indicated dry air across the region, yielding VFR conditions this evening. As Nicole tracks toward FL tonight. Deep moisture over the Atlantic will build westward, gradually lowering cloud bases. Ceilings are timed to lower to MVFR around midnight, arriving at KSAV earlier than KJZI/KCHS. In addition, showers should begin to develop over the marine zones and tracking onshore late tonight. The TAFs will feature a mention of VCSH at 7Z, with light showers by 9Z. Overnight, expecting winds to remain from the northeast, with gusts increasing to 25-30 kts by 9Z. During the daylight hours Thursday, Nicole will track across the northern FL, tracking near the Big Bend area. As a result, winds will shift from the east across the terminals by midday into the afternoon hours. The east winds should result in lower LCL as PWs build over 2 inches. Each terminal is expected to develop IFR ceilings during the afternoon with frequent showers, vis restricted to at least MVFR with the tropical showers. Extended Aviation Outlook: Thursday night widespread MVFR/ IFR conditions will prevail with winds gusting to 25kt as Nicole approaches the FL peninsula. Friday, winds will veer around from the south with gusts of 30 to 35 kts. MVFR/ VFR cigs are expected on Friday. A cold front will sweep through the region Saturday afternoon with winds out of the west and mostly VFR conditions. On Sunday, a secondary cold front will cross the terminals with winds turning from the northeast. VFR. && .MARINE... Today through tonight: Dangerous marine conditions are currently ongoing and will continue through tonight. The local waters will continue to be situated within a tight pressure gradient between high pressure inland and the broad circulation associated with Tropical Cyclone Nicole as it moves across the northern Bahamas and eventually makes landfall along the southeast Florida coast later tonight. Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect. Seas are already 6 to 11 ft along the nearshore waters, and 13-16 ft in the outer waters. Thursday through Monday: Dangerous marine conditions are expected through Friday as Tropical Storm Nicole makes landfall in Florida and progresses inland of the local forecast area. Seas are forecast to continue to build Thursday and Friday, with 7 to 14 ft across the nearshore waters and 15 to 19 ft across the offshore GA waters beyond 20 nm. The seas will slowly diminish into the weekend, with 3 to 5 ft forecast by Monday. Tropical Storm Warnings remain in place for all of the coastal waters, including the Charleston Harbor, through Friday. Tropical Storm force gusts will continue through Friday night. Conditions are forecast to improve through the weekend, with westerly winds subsiding to around 10 knots by Saturday night. There is a risk for isolated waterspouts Thursday and Friday as the region will be in a favorable quadrant of Tropical Storm Nicole and convective parameters are favorable. High Surf: Breaking waves of 5 ft or larger are expected to impact the region until Nicole lifts away from the immediate area late this week. In addition, areas of beach erosion will occur, some of which could potentially be significant due to the large waves for an extended period and potential coastal flooding at the times of high tide. A High Surf Advisory remains in effect. && .HYDROLOGY... Rain chances will increase in response to a deepening and strengthening onshore fetch Thursday, the rain intensity and coverage ramps up Thursday afternoon and continues into Friday morning. WPC currently has our coastal counties in a Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall 12z Thursday - 12z Friday period with inland SC counties in a marginal risk. The latest forecast calls for 2-3 inches with locally higher amounts of 5 inches possible. Rainfall has been scarce since Tropical Cyclone Ian, thus river flooding is not expected. On the other hand, we will need to keep an eye on Church Creek in the West Ashley area which responds rapidly to heavy rains. There is a low-end potential for flash flooding where heavier rain bands set up, as well as in Downtown Charleston, especially coincident with the times of high tide. && .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... A Storm Surge Watch remains in effect for the entire coastline, from the Altamaha River northward to the South Santee River. 2 to 4 feet of inundation is forecast with the upcoming high tides, though the peak surge and highest tide values are expected to occur with the Thursday morning high tide. Astronomical tides are running high due to the full moon early Tuesday. Additionally, strong northeasterly flow, resulting from strong high pressure to the north and Tropical Storm Nicole approaching from the south, will increase tidal anamolies even more. With several days of NE and then E winds, water will continue to pile higher into harbors, inlets, tributaries, etc. Even during low tide the water will have a difficult time draining out, so water levels begin higher for the next high tide. The latest indications regarding coastal flooding will be as follows: Wednesday: Minor coastal flooding expected in the Charleston Harbor and possible at Fort Pulaski this evening. Thursday: Major coastal flooding expected with the morning high tide cycle along the Charleston and Colleton county coasts with moderate coastal flooding expected at Fort Pulaski. Friday: Minor coastal flooding expected with the morning high tide along the Charleston and Colleton county coasts. If heavy rains are occurring near or at high tide, the coastal flooding situation would be exacerbated. && .CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...Tropical Storm Warning for GAZ116>119-138>141. High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EST Saturday for GAZ117-119-139- 141. Storm Surge Watch for GAZ117-119-139-141. SC...Tropical Storm Warning for SCZ045-047>052. High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EST Saturday for SCZ048>051. Storm Surge Watch for SCZ048>051. MARINE...Tropical Storm Warning for AMZ330-350-352-354-374. && $$ NEAR TERM...NED/Haines SHORT TERM...CPM LONG TERM...CPM AVIATION...NED/Haines MARINE...CPM/Haines HYDROLOGY... TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
806 PM MST Wed Nov 9 2022 .UPDATE... Issued at 803 PM MST Wed Nov 9 2022 High winds gusting up to 55 mph or above are no longer anticipated allowing for Wednesday`s High Wind Warning to expire. Southerly wind gusts up to around 40 mph are still possible this evening in some locations causing possible localized blowing dust. Winds expect to shift out of the northwest tonight with the passage of a cold front. Due to recent obs, patchy fog has been added to the forecast in northern Yuma county and surrounding areas that expects to dissipate around midnight MST. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday Nights) Issued at 108 PM MST Wed Nov 9 2022 20 UTC water vapor imagery and RAP analysis indicate a strong low circulation in place across the Rockies. At the surface, cold front that had slid as far south as St. Francis was retreating to the north as a warm front, separating temperatures approaching 80 degrees with temperatures in the 30s and 40s. The retreat of this front will be short lived as it will rapidly advance tonight and usher in a period of much colder weather. Main concern through the early evening will be ongoing strong southerly winds and how they evolve through the evening. Currently a few gusts to 60 mph have already occurred in eastern Colorado as critical fire weather conditions continue. Expect to see low level winds rapidly increase around 00z and while normally radiational cooling would limit mixing in the evening, with ongoing large scale winds keeping the boundary layer well mixed think some of these strong winds will make it to the surface in the 23-02z period along and south of Interstate 70. Have increased the area of current High Wind Warning as well as extended it for another hour to account for this. Strong cold front will sweep across the area between 04 and 08 UTC, bringing a sudden shift to northerly winds and much colder temperatures. Strong, in excess of 9 mb/3hr pressure rises expected to accompany it which will likely bring another period of strong and gusty winds and perhaps a bit of blowing dust as it passes. Immediately ahead of this front, mainly east of a McCook to Oakley line, looks like there will be enough conditional instability for a few showers and storms. While instability is weak, the vertical mixing due to these showers may be enough to bring damaging wind gusts as showers pass. Will be a battle between strengthening inversion and these showers so confidence not great at this time, but will need to monitor the 05 to 07 UTC time period closely. Otherwise expect temperatures 30 to 40 degrees cooler tomorrow with breezy north winds. Dry conditions will persist through the day Thursday. With winds diminishing Thursday night and skies clearing, expect lows to fall into the teens across much of the area. .LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 139 PM MST Wed Nov 9 2022 For this long-term forecast period, an active weather pattern looks to continue across the United States. However, latest trends in the models indicate that the weather will unfortunately remain quite dry across the High Plains. The bigger story will be that the coldest temperatures of the Fall will be observed to start next week after a couple frontal passages and a blizzard across the Northern Plains help usher colder air south. To begin with Friday through the weekend, dry weather is anticipated as a surface high pressure system sets up over the Plains. In addition, an upper level ridge should take place in the wake of the departing upper level low moving northeast across the Great Lakes and southeastern Canada, and a new trough of low pressure developing over the western United States. In addition, as we head into Sunday, yet another upper level trough will move into the northwestern United States. With these troughs developing and being slow to arrive, there should be no significant weather impacts through the weekend. As a result, dry weather will persist through Sunday and a warming trend should be expected as low pressure develops in lee of the Rockies, allowing southerly flow and warmer temperatures to return. Going into next week, as the two troughs of low pressure approach the Plains, anticipate the weather to make another large swing towards the cold. In fact, once the cold front moves through Sunday, we will observe the coldest temperatures so far this Fall. Daytime maximums on Monday and Tuesday will be in the 30s areawide. Overnight low temperatures will fall into the teens, resulting in near-zero wind chills on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday mornings. Further, these two systems may bring a chance for some precipitation late Sunday Night, immediately behind the cold front, through Monday. Unfortunately, this looks like a typical split flow set-up, which usually leads to our forecast area missing out on the precipitation. The majority of the precipitation would either occur to the north, over the Dakotas, or to the south across Texas and Oklahoma, perhaps reaching eastern Kansas. Either way, even if it does precipitation, it won`t amount to much...only a few hundredths of an inch. With cold temperatures expected, it is possible that this precipitation comes in the form for snow or a rain/snow mix. Based on the light liquid amounts, this would result in little to no accumulation. Overall, this does not have the appearance of an impactful event in terms of precipitation, or even wind, but cold temperatures will be the main story. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening) Issued at 430 PM MST Wed Nov 9 2022 Synopsis: Strong southerly winds continue at both terminals that look to shift northwesterly overnight with a cold frontal passage. KGLD TAF will be NIL due to the terminal being out of service due to intermittent communications causing an unreliable flow of observations. Techs are troubleshooting and ETR at this time is unknown. KMCK begins with VFR restrictions with southerly winds at 27G36 kts causing blowing dust which may lower visibilities down to 6SM. At 06Z, KMCK sees winds beginning to turn southwesterly with vicinity thunderstorms and some LLWS ahead of the approaching cold front. This cold front looks to pass through KMCK in the middle of the 07Z hour taking the precipitation chances with it and turning the winds northwesterly at 18G28 kts while a broken cloud ceiling at 2 kft causing MVFR conditions. At 10Z, VFR conditions look to return to KMCK with some LLWS that departs around 17Z. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. CO...NONE. NE...NONE. && $$ UPDATE...076 SHORT TERM...JRM LONG TERM...RRH AVIATION...076
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
538 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday) Issued at 257 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 A surface low lee of the Colorado Rockies will maintain a tight pressure gradient through this evening, maintaining breezy south winds. Main concern for this afternoon are the windspeeds, as most areas across western & northern Oklahoma already had gusts up to 35 mph by the start of late morning mixing. Although RAP is slightly weaker with the 850 mb winds, the NAM remains robust with 40-45 mph jet maxima across northwest Oklahoma. However, persisting cloudcover may inhibit sufficient heating to mix to that height keeping wind gusts lower. For now will monitor satellite & surface wind observations through the remainder of the afternoon should any Wind Advisory be needed. Although still breezy this evening, decoupling should diminish the wind gusts. Otherwise, synoptic pattern still setting up the Southern Plains for a storm system to come through on Thursday with very cold air coming in behind it. A large amplitude upper trough will continue to dig across the U.S. Southwest pushing a cold front stretched from just west of the Central Rockies across the Desert Southwest, while north of this Pacific front is very cold Canadian-based air in place across the Northern Rockies through the Great Plains. Still have a sharp dryline stretched across eastern New Mexico with very moist air (lower to mid 60s dewpoints) to the east and across the Southern Plains. Still expecting the cold front to overtake the dryline tonight and push into northwest Oklahoma during the latter half of Thursday morning. Although storms may initiate along the cold front across northwest Oklahoma by late morning, strong cooling above the boundary layer may break the low-level inversion cap just ahead of the front for convective initiation. However, still expecting the strongest forcing for storms along the frontal boundary. Storm POPs really ramp up by Thursday afternoon, with the highest across central Oklahoma. Although models are typically inconsistent with the frontal timings, they do generally have the front stretched just south of I-40 by the early evening hours, with our highest POPs across southeast Oklahoma during the evening into overnight hours. Overall, most of our areas will have a shot for rainfall on Thursday, except for the far western edges of our Oklahoma and north Texas areas. As of now still not expecting any storms on Thursday to become severe, as the severe threat will be closer to the upper low from western Kansas through the Upper Midwest. However, with surface based CAPE values projecting up to lower-end moderate instability along with a marginal deep-layer sheared environment, there is a potential for a few strong storms as well as some locally heavy rainfall under these. Did increase windspeeds along the frontal boundary using the NBM 90th percentile winds. Thursdays MaxT will be a bit challenging with the frontal boundary, so did go overall cooler than NBM using the CONSRAW, then slightly cooler across our northwest using 50% of the CONSHORT guidance. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 336 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 Storm activity will have shifted more across southeast Oklahoma by Thursday evening and perhaps ending there by sunrise Friday. The main focus in the long term will be a quick change of unseasonably cold air and the return of rain on Monday with wintery precipitation possible perhaps early and later that day. Post frontal north winds will start advecting some of that Canadian- based air Thursday night dropping temperatures to subfreezing across the northern one-third of our CWA. Breezy north winds of 20-25 mph Thursday night could produce wind chill values in the upper teens across northern Oklahoma to well in the 20s across the rest of our area. Expecting high temperatures on Friday to not make it out of the 40s across most of our area, to the 50s near and south of the Red River, overall nearly 20 degrees cooler than average for early November. The axis of the upper trough comes through Friday night as high pressure starts building across the Central into Southern Plains causing winds to diminish. Wind chills will be negligible for Friday night/Saturday morning, but strong radiational cooling will plunge our dry bulb temperatures well into the 20s areawide with at least northern Oklahoma getting its first hard freeze for this season. South winds make a return on Sunday and becoming windy. Although winds may keep Sunday nights temperatures slightly warmer (freezing to just above), the wind chill will again be a factor making it feel in the 20s. Zonal upper flow this weekend starts becoming more southwesterly as another upper wave starts approaching the Southern Plains from the west, bringing our next cold front along with another round of cold Canadian air on Monday. With stable air from this system, not expecting any convection but a cold rain on Monday afternoon. However, could see a wintry mix of precipitation Monday morning as well as late in the evening as temperatures drop below freezing. Although southwest Oklahoma through north Texas are unlikely to see any wintry precipitation, still rather early to discriminate wintry precipitation types, but with this frigid air mass snow precipitation is most likely. Upper troughing will maintain our cooling trend through the middle of next week. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 534 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 MVFR cigs are expected to impact most of the terminals close to sunrise Thursday morning. A cold front will result in a wind shift from the west and then northwest throughout the day tomorrow beginning at WWR around 13-15Z. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible generally just behind the front, although some isolated development appears possible along it. Skies will begin to clear behind it late in the forecast period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 64 72 36 45 / 0 70 50 0 Hobart OK 63 74 35 48 / 10 30 20 0 Wichita Falls TX 64 75 41 51 / 10 40 40 10 Gage OK 56 65 27 45 / 10 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 64 73 30 45 / 10 60 30 0 Durant OK 62 75 43 52 / 0 10 90 10 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...68 LONG TERM....68 AVIATION...03