Forecast Discussions mentioning any of
"HRRR" "RAP" "RUC13" "RUC" "RR" received at GSD on 01/10/21
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
906 PM EST Sat Jan 9 2021
.UPDATE...
Issued at 906 PM EST Sat Jan 9 2021
Slow cold advection continues, on wnw 1000-850mb winds. 850mb
temps lower to around -4C by morning. That isn`t actually /cold/
of course (at least for January), but it will gradually make it a
little easier to generate weak lake convection. We are already
doing so on Superior, via MQT radar and very weak returns
occasionally from Montreal Rvr. Obs also back this up, with light
precip at times at the Chippewa Co sites, and 4SM in -SHSN at
Sault Canada. Will continue to boost and expand pops in Chippewa
Co tonight, though nothing more than sct pops, and nothing more
than a dusting of new snow.
Another spot where pops have been added is near Presque Isle Lt,
where the HRRR spits out a bit of precip.
Eventually, a lake effect snow threat will emerge in nw lower MI,
but there is no sign of that yet. Chance for that will probably be
highest very late tonight, perhaps near Ltl Trav Bay. Will reduce
pops a bit in the early tonight period in nw lower MI.
UPDATE Issued at 626 PM EST Sat Jan 9 2021
Sct lake effect snow showers have pushed into eastern upper MI,
per obs from ERY/Kinross/Sault Canada. Forecast updated to reflect
this.
&&
.NEAR TERM...(Through Sunday)
Issued at 332 PM EST Sat Jan 9 2021
...Cloudy skies with some light precip..
High Impact Weather Potential: Minimal. Some fog again tonight
along with light lake induced precip.
Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Split relatively weak upper flow
pattern is across NOAM along with a broad expanse of surface high
pressure across a large portion of the CONUS. Lots of low level
moisture/stratus also spans a large portion of the central CONUS
and Midwest, stuck under a strong subsidence inversion. After
yesterdays sunshine, stratus managed to rotate back into eastern
Upper and a good portion of northern Lower Michigan this morning.
But with heating/mixing, stratus advancement was halted with the
SE counties enjoying sunny conditions.
Northern stream short-wave trough in Ontario this afternoon will
slip down into the northern lakes region tonight through Sunday.
Along with gradual lower level cooling and moistening, modest QG-
forcing for ascent and increasing inversion, high-res CAM
guidance kick of some very modest lake induced precip...spreading
into parts of eastern Upper and NW Lower Michigan tonight into
Sunday. Nothing to dramatic...some flurries, spotty light snow
showers or perhaps a touch of freezing drizzle anticipated for
parts of the forecast area.
Otherwise, after sunset stratus will more than likely spread into
the rest of northern Lower Michigan for tonight, leading us into
another rather cloudy day once again on Sunday. Low temps tonight
may again be tricky across SE counties as there will be a window
of opportunity for temps to tumble before stratus fills in. Given
what occurred last night, I may not be cold enough with tonights
lows across those
&&
.SHORT TERM...(Sunday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 332 PM EST Sat Jan 9 2021
...The Early Part of the Week...
Impact Weather Potential...Minimal.
Pattern Synopsis/Forecast...Continued weak high pressure will little
disturbances through the 48 hour of the short term period gives us
barely slight chances for snow in the NW LES flow, mainly Sunday
night. sfc to 850 mb delta Ts barely get to 12C only for things to
warm and stabilize. A few of the CAMs produced some precipitation
(along with the GFS) so added the pops into the forecast area Sunday
evening. Then things dry out and looks to remain that way until
Wednesday.
.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 332 PM EST Sat Jan 9 2021
High Impact Weather Potential...Lake Effect is possible during the
end of the work week.
Extended (Tuesday night through Saturday)...Tuesday night into
Wednesday, high pressure continues over the region. Thursday, The
models have flipped the timing with the ECMWF more aggressive with
the front moving through Wednesday night, and the GFS on Thursday.
Thursday night, the models show the cold 850 mb air moving in with
the GFS, while the ECMWF being a little slower and less aggressive
with the cold air on Friday. Friday night, the ECMWF does get cold
enough for LES, while the GFS has been there for about a day.
Saturday, LES will continue on both models, until 00z/Sun when the
thermal ridge moves in and begins to warm and dry the low levels,
shutting off the LES.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 626 PM EST Sat Jan 9 2021
MVFR cigs.
Stratus/stratocu covers most of the area, and is not expected to
relent thru the TAF period. MVFR cigs will prevail. Would not rule
out cigs barely and briefly dipping to IFR. Light lake effect snow
showers could form in nw flow, though most of this activity will
remain between TVC and PLN.
Light winds.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 332 PM EST Sat Jan 9 2021
Lighter winds/waves persist tonight through Sunday. However, SW
flow increases Sunday night into Monday with small craft advisory
headlines a good bet for much of the northern Michigan nearshore
areas.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
LS...NONE.
&&
$$
UPDATE...JZ
NEAR TERM...TBA
SHORT TERM...JL
LONG TERM...JL
AVIATION...JZ
MARINE...BA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
918 PM CST Sat Jan 9 2021
.UPDATE...
Issued at 918 PM CST Sat Jan 9 2021
Had thought the dense fog across the Devils Lake region and around
Fergus Falls would bounce up and down like other areas. However it
remains at or less than a quarter of a mile, so stuck out a dense
fog advisory for those areas through tonight. Like the past few
nights, the areas may need to be expanded or cut back, will just
have to keep an eye on current conditions and adjust as needed.
Temperatures are dropping in the clear holes, and the latest
satellite imagery shows some fog/stratus starting to fill back in
some of these areas. So will be watching these areas as well for
rapid drops in visibility.
UPDATE Issued at 638 PM CST Sat Jan 9 2021
Fog and low clouds will be the main challenge tonight. Right now,
the lowest visibilities are from Cando to Langdon, at one quarter
of a mile. Elsewhere, visibilities have improved. There is still a
westerly wind component to the surface winds, which is holding in
the 5 to 10 mph range. This is expected to decrease overnight. In
addition, there are some clear holes across the northern FA. Fog
could form along these clear areas, or it could thicken again in
other areas. So like most of the past 5 nights, there is some
uncertainty yet in regard to the fog and low clouds. Will keep a
close eye on visibilities, and adjust as needed.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 218 PM CST Sat Jan 9 2021
Impacts from fog possible tonight, mainly west central Minnesota.
Satellite has been showing increasing southeast push of clearing
into NE ND and far NW MN. One finger of clearing down to NW of
Grand Forks from Pembina. Overall expected trend tonight into
Sunday will be gradual clearing of the low level moisture
southward...with NAM/HRRR indicate drier air at 925 mb dropping
south thru the Red River valley reaching Fargo by 12z Sun.
Clearing also west thru DVL basin to Valley City and east thru NW
MN to about Bemidji. Unsure how much clearing will despite 925 mb
lower RH moving in, so played it more conservative in the cloud
dept tonight keeping S/E areas of the fcst with clouds all night
and scattered clouds N/NW areas of the fcst area (ROX-GFK-DVL).
With a bit drier air in the low levels moving in and a slowly
increasing wind at 925 mb moving in tonight not expecting as much
dense fog as past nights. HRRR indicates main fog potential is
east of the Red River valley in WC MN. SPS is out and will update
it to mention patchy dense fog tonight in west central MN.
Lows tonight tricky. Guidance has been too cool in low cloud
areas, but when clears temps will drop.
Sunday should see some sunshine over more of the area before
clouds increase Sun night. 925 mb temps cool a tad Sunday but with
sun will see plenty of upper 20s and low 30s.
.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 218 PM CST Sat Jan 9 2021
Warming continues to start the workweek, with impactful weather
being kept to a minimum. An upper level ridge in west will keep the
NW flow in place for the area, and bringing in some warmer
temperatures. We will warm into the upper 30s and possibly even the
low 40s heading into mid-week in the northern plains.
As we begin to slide into the weekend, a system is expected to move
through the Red River Valley early on Thursday, bringing some
precipitation. However, confidence in timing, track, and other finer
details is low. In line with previous guidance, moisture continues
to lack with this possible system, and forecasted temperatures pose
a problem with precipitation type as well. A wintry mix could be
seen in the areas affected, which looks to be southern North Dakota
as of now.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 638 PM CST Sat Jan 9 2021
Generally expect fog and/or stratus to continue overnight, it is
just a matter of how bad and where. Overall, it is unlikely the
thick dense fog that occurred the past few nights will be found
in this area overnight. Visibilities will likely come down at
least into the MVFR range, and the stratus will likely continue
where it is at. Surface winds pick up on Sunday, which should
finally help scour this out.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Sunday for NDZ006-007-014-015-
024-026-054.
MN...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Sunday for MNZ030-040.
$$
UPDATE...Godon
SHORT TERM...Riddle
LONG TERM...AK/Riddle
AVIATION...Godon
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
525 PM CST Sat Jan 9 2021
Updated aviation portion for 00Z TAF issuance
.SHORT TERM...Tonight and Sunday
Issued at 226 PM CST Sat Jan 9 2021
The latest RAP analysis and satellite/radar imagery show high
pressure stretching across much of the northern Plains into the
western Great Lakes early this afternoon. Widespread cloud cover
remains present beneath a stout inversion, though some breaks in
the overcast may yet occur this afternoon since moisture is
relatively shallow. Tough to pinpoint where this will occur, but
northwest flow would favor the downsloping areas of NE WI. Will
show some decrease in the clouds there. Looking upstream, a
shortwave trough is diving south into northern Minnesota. No
precip is occurring near the trough, but skies are clearing over
south-central Canada behind the trough. Like the past several
days, forecast concerns mainly revolve around sky trends and
temps.
Tonight...Should any holes in the overcast occur, expect them to
fill back in by mid to late evening. Mid and upper moisture look
to increase ahead of the shortwave trough, which is forecast to
move across the region late tonight. Looking at forecast
soundings, a large dry wedge continues to exist between 3000 ft to
12000 ft above ground level. As a result, precip chances look
quite low. The only chance of precip would be if shallow boundary
layer moisture can grow deep enough for flurries or freezing
drizzle, but this too doesn`t appear will be sufficient. Will
leave the forecast dry. With the cloud cover, don`t expect temps
to fall much.
Sunday...Ample cloud cover will likely remain present in the
morning. But as winds shift to the north behind the trough, there
is potential for enough dry air to infiltrate the region and bring
clearing skies from late morning through the afternoon. The stout
inversion will remain, however, and the airmass is not very
different from the current one, so not as optimistic as the
numerical and statistical guidance with this possibility. Will
show the clearing trend but slow it down comparatively speaking.
High temperatures ranging from the middle 20s to lower 30s.
.LONG TERM...Sunday Night Through Saturday
Issued at 226 PM CST Sat Jan 9 2021
Periodic small precipitation chances and a return to near-normal
temperatures late next week are the main forecast concerns.
A short wave trough and associated weak cold front will move
through the region Monday night. The GFS is much more vigorous
with the short-wave than the ECMWF, so this will need to be
monitored. Regardless, it appears that moisture will be very
shallow, so will carry a dry forecast for now. If precipitation
occurs, it will most likely be in the form of light freezing
drizzle or flurries, and mainly over northern WI.
Another weak short-wave and cold front are progged to move through
the region Tuesday night into early Wednesday. The ECMWF is a bit
stronger then the GFS with this system, but once again, moisture
issues preclude any mention of measurable precipitation.
Above normal temperatures will remain over the forecast area for
the early to mid part of the week, with high temperatures peaking
in the middle to upper 30s on Wednesday. This will occur as WAA
ramps up in advance of the next frontal system approaching from
the Northern Plains.
The ECMWF is faster than the GFS with the arrival of a cold front
Wednesday night into Thursday, and a stronger secondary cold front
Thursday night into Friday. These frontal systems will likely
produce scattered snow showers or flurries, with the potential for
minor lake-effect in north central WI Friday into Saturday. The
biggest impact will be a return to colder, but still near-normal,
temperatures Friday into Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION...for 00Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 525 PM CST Sat Jan 9 2021
Low clouds continue to plague the area through much of this TAF
issuance along with some patchy fog. Ceilings were dropping into
the 400-800 ft range across central/north-central WI this evening,
impacting the AUW/CWA/RHI TAF sites. The eastern TAF sites are
benefiting from downsloping winds, which has allow clouds to scour
out early this evening. VFR to MVFR conditions can be expected at
ATW/GRB/MTW early in the TAF period before MVFR cloud cover builds
back in late in the evening and overnight. The clouds will then
linger across the area through much of the day Sunday.
&&
.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM.....MPC
LONG TERM......Kieckbusch
AVIATION.......Cooley
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Marquette MI
541 PM EST Sat Jan 9 2021
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 345 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2021
WV imagery and RAP analysis indicated a split flow pattern with an
upstream shortwave trough from northwest Ontario into northern MN.
At the surface, ridging prevailed from the northern Plains into the
Upper Mississippi Valley resulting light northwest flow through the
northern Great Lakes. Abundant low level moisture persisted across
Upper Michigan with low clouds limiting temps to the mid and upper
20s west and lower 30s east. Radar indicated some very light lake
effect pcpn with mainly light flurries and possibly some fzdz.
Tonight, with relatively weak 700-300 qvector conv and little
moisture inflow, little or no pcpn is expected with the approaching
shrtwv. However, it may help to temporarily lift the 3k inversion
and bring a slight boost to the lake effect pcpn for northwest
wind favored locations. With the top of the moist layer only to
around -8C to -9C, ice nuclei may also be lacking but recent
trends/observations suggest that there may still be enough to
support some snow. Any amounts should only amount to a trace to a
hundredth of two. Otherwise, clouds will persist with lows from
the upper teens inland west to the mid 20s near the Great Lakes
and east.
Sunday, as the ridge builds into the southern Great Lakes westerly
low level dry advection should finally bring some clearing and
sunshine into the area by afternoon after another morning with
areas of fog. The sun will help boost temps into the low to mid
30s, warmest near the Great Lakes especially where downslope winds
prevail.
.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 236 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2021
A change in the pattern is on its way, but still have to get through
the first half of next week to get there. Split flow looks to
persist through at least the middle part of this week before
troffing along Alaska weakens as the western CONUS ridge shifts west
towards Alaska. By Thursday night, pattern becomes more amplified
with ridging along the West Coast with troffing and NW flow across
the Great Lakes. With this troffing, the lake-effect snow machines
will dust themselves off and turn back on. In the mean time, expect
limited pcpn and above-normal temperatures through Thursday morning,
trending back towards normal for Friday with several days worth of
pcpn chances.
As the southern stream drops more snow in Texas than Upper Michigan
has seen for 2 weeks, a northern stream shortwave will pass across
Upper Michigan Sunday night into Monday. This brings some
resemblance of winter across the western half of Superior with winds
gusting in excess of 30 knots again, which looks to bring some
gusting winds to the Keweenaw as folks wake up Monday morning. With
some forcing from the shortwave and cooler temps, there is a slight
chance of some brief LES across the west, but have left out of the
fcst right now. NCEP solns appear to keep temps aloft right on the
border of snow potential as GEM/EC fall as low as -9/-10C. Seeing as
snow amts are minimal, felt fine waiting another cycle. GFS remains
an outlier heading into Tuesday night, having 850mb temps fall to -
10C, fcst will remain dry at this time.
WAA Tuesday night increases ahead of another, albeit weaker,
shortwave passes across the UP late Tuesday night. Shouldn`t produce
any pcpn, but Wednesday does look to be the warmest day of the week,
with highs potentially up to 40...but otherwise comfortably in the
mid 30s.
By Thursday, the shift gets into motion as NW flow returns and a sfc
low passes along Lake Superior, with increasing CAA moving over
Upper Michigan. Models still have some details to shake out with
degree of CAA, sfc low pressure, and placement...GEM brings sfc low
across the UP and EC/GFS remains to the north of the lake.
Regardless of how it plays out, all models have 850mb temps cool
enough for LES by Thursday evening. GFS remains the coldest, and
persists the longest. GEM/EC bring in rising heights Saturday night,
which will cut off LES chances, at least briefly, before CAA picks
back up and LES chances begin again Sunday night into Monday.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 541 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2021
Low ceilings will persist at the terminals through tonight. LIFR
conditions expected at IWD and CMX with MVFR conditions at SAW. Look
for improvement Sunday afternoon as drier air moves in with
increasing westerly low level flow.
&&
.MARINE...(For the 4 PM Lake Superior forecast issuance)
Issued at 345 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2021
Light winds are expected across the lake into Sunday. A trough
moving through northern Ontario Sunday night will result in
increasing WSW winds to around 25-30 kts over the west and north-
central, with a few gale force gusts possible at higher platforms.
Winds will subside below 20 kts by Monday afternoon and remain below
20 kts through at least Wednesday. A pattern shift is still looking
likely for the end of next week which would bring a return to colder
weather that is more normal for January.
&&
.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Upper Michigan...
None.
Lake Superior...
None.
Lake Michigan...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...JLB
LONG TERM...JAW
AVIATION...07
MARINE...JLB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Morristown TN
931 PM EST Sat Jan 9 2021
.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Satellite trends continue to show low cloud cover across most of
the area tonight with the exception being southwest North
Carolina. The strength of the low level inversion should keep
cloud cover in place through the rest of the night and into
Sunday. Some guidance is beginning to pick up on this scenario so
adjusted sky grids to show mostly cloudy skies into Sunday
morning. The cloud cover has kept temperatures a touch warmer and
adjusted hourly temperatures and overnight lows accordingly.
Otherwise the forecast is in good shape with no additional updates
planned. Will go ahead and send an updated ZFP shortly.
Diegan
&&
.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.
A stubborn stratus deck continues to keep MVFR flight rules at all
sites this evening. The RAP depicts this moisture well and between
900-950mb. Guidance suggests this stratus should stick around to
around 06Z tonight and will scatter out. However, this is low
confidence and later amendments may be needed if this stratus
persists. Northerly winds will gradually veer toward the northeast
through the period remaining between 5 and 10 knots.
Diegan
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN 27 47 31 46 35 / 0 0 0 60 50
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 24 43 28 44 34 / 0 0 0 50 50
Oak Ridge, TN 25 44 28 44 33 / 0 0 0 50 50
Tri Cities Airport, TN 20 44 25 44 32 / 0 0 0 30 50
&&
.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&
$$
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
815 PM EST Sat Jan 9 2021
.UPDATE...
The low level cloudiness that has been with us since Friday is
expected to gradually diminish overnight. Winds will also subside
and this will allow temps to drop to near or just below the
freezing mark by daybreak along with patchy frost. No changes
were made to the current forecast package.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION [633 PM EST]...
.NEAR TERM [Through Sunday]...
The 12z KTAE sounding revealed a shallow layer of low level moisture
up to around 900 mb that is responsible for the low clouds across
the area. Very dry air exists above 900 mb. This cloud cover will
persist through the afternoon and can tend to persist longer than
guidance indicates. In fact, the HRRR has cloud cover persisting
into the overnight hours. If this were to happen, then overnight
lows would be warmer than most of the guidance currently shows. The
official forecast went above the NBM guidance for low temperatures
given the potential for this thin layer of clouds to persist, which
the NBM appears to scatter out too quickly. Patchy frost remain
possible tonight.
For Sunday, partly cloudy skies are expected with highs generally in
the 50s.
.SHORT TERM [Sunday Night Through Monday Night]...
Weak perturbations ahead of an eastward-moving shortwave trough over
TX should allow for increased cloud cover across our area late Sun
prior to the rainfall arriving. The sky cover combined with moist,
easterly flow will raise Mon morning low temperatures by several
degrees. Meanwhile, a surface low develops near its parent shortwave
and traverses the north Gulf coast. Scattered showers and isolated
storms (mainly over the waters) are expected to develop along and
around this feature and its associated cold front.
Rain chances (up to 50%) return early Mon, beginning in the western
half of the CWA, then shifting east and north through the end of the
period. We are not expecting severe weather, nor much thunder thanks
to low instability, limited return flow, and weakening upper-level
support. If any robust convection develops, it likely occurs over
our waters and along the immediate coast where non-negligible CAPE
and dewpoints reside. Overall, cool and wet conditions are forecast,
with highs in the 50s generally north and west of Tallahassee and
60s to the east and south. Rain looks to clear our entire area
heading into Tues morning under seasonably warm low temperatures
(40s and 50s from northwest to southeast).
.LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday]...
The aforementioned system departs our area on Tues and surface
high pressure builds in the front`s wake. Global models
(particularly the ECMWF) depict a southwesterly mid-to-upper level
jet across the region, with an embedded vorticity anomaly riding
the waveguide, which may force a few isolated showers on Wed, but
PoPs are low (~10%). The bulk of the precipitation stays to the
south and east of us. The GFS keeps an elongated area of vorticity
over the southern states before a shortwave trough digs down,
shunts the energy away and brings a reinforced shot of cool and
dry air. The latter prompted forecast low temperatures to drop
from upper 30s/low 40s on Wed to widespread 30s (but above
freezing) away from the coast on Thurs. Mostly cool and dry
conditions prevail through Thurs ahead of another cold front.
Late next week, a broad longwave trough digs into the eastern US
while bringing an extensive cold front to the CWA. It is too early
to determine with high confidence what the convective potential will
be, with the GFS suggesting an organized line of showers develop
along the frontal boundary while the ECMWF shows more spotty
precipitation. Included a return of rain chances (15%) on Fri into
Sat to account for the possibility.
High temperatures are expected to be mostly in the 50s outside of
east Big Bend and the Suwannee Valley Tues-Wed, before rising to the
60s areawide prior to the cold front. We see low temperatures in the
low 40s on Fri, followed by mid/upper 30s away from the coast and
east Big Bend on Sat after FROPA.
.AVIATION...
[Through 00Z Monday]
MVFR ceilings continue at all but ECP where clouds have scattered
out. All remaining terminals will eventually do the same either by
late tonight or early Sunday morning. Winds will become light and
possibly variable at times through most of the TAF cycle.
.MARINE...
Favorable boating conditions are expected this weekend before
cautionary winds and seas develop ahead of a cold front to start the
work week. Showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms are
forecast on Mon, where occasional gusts in excess of 20 knots will
be possible, especially near any storms. Our western waters may
briefly reach advisory levels that afternoon. Quiet weather follows
after frontal passage, making for more tranquil conditions late Tues
into Thurs.
.FIRE WEATHER...
Red flag conditions are not expected for the next several days.
.HYDROLOGY...
The following rivers remain in minor flood stage:
1) Withlacoochee River near Quitman - forecast to drop into action
stage Sun afternoon
2) Ochlockonee River near Concord - forecast to drop into action
stage tonight
The Ochlockonee River near Havana - dropped into action stage this
afternoon and the levels are forecast to continue dropping.
Other area rivers remain elevated but most have crested and levels
are dropping. Rain chances return on Mon but the forecast low
amounts not expected to cause aggravation. The 7-day QPF are
generally 0.25" or less.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by
calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 33 55 41 61 50 / 0 0 0 20 20
Panama City 36 54 44 62 48 / 0 0 10 40 30
Dothan 31 51 37 53 44 / 0 0 10 40 30
Albany 32 53 38 55 46 / 0 0 0 30 40
Valdosta 34 56 42 63 51 / 0 0 0 10 20
Cross City 35 59 42 69 54 / 0 0 0 10 10
Apalachicola 37 55 47 64 52 / 0 0 0 30 20
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 5 AM EST /4 AM CST/ Sunday for
Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Barry
NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...IG
LONG TERM...IG
AVIATION...Barry
MARINE...IG
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...IG