Forecast Discussions mentioning any of
"HRRR" "RAP" "RUC13" "RUC" "RR" received at GSD on 08/18/20
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
554 PM MDT Mon Aug 17 2020
.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 234 PM MDT Mon Aug 17 2020
High pressure remains in control over the western CONUS today.
This high pressure system is centered over western Utah, placing
eastern Utah and western Colorado in light northerly flow in the
mid and upper-levels. A meager amount of moisture has circled
around this high pressure system, and has encroached on the
Sawatch and Sand Juan mountains this afternoon. RAP mesoanalysis
indicate SBCAPE values in the 500-1000 range, and sure enough a
few showers and thunderstorms have been able to capitalize on this
instability today. Short-term forecast soundings indicate an
extremely dry subcloud layer however, so precipitation amounts
will still remain quite light from any storms that do fire today.
At most, a tenth of an inch or so of rain (and some small hail)
will be about all we can muster in the San Juans this afternoon
and evening. Smoke will continue to be one of the primary weather
stories. General northerly flow will transport smoke plumes
southward from active fires today. Overnight, expect downvalley
drainage winds to generally carry smoke westward along the
Colorado river basin drainage. Areas in eastern Utah may begin to
see lower visibility as this drainage flow carries smoke from the
Pine Gulch Fire westward toward the Grand Flat, Moab, and
Canyonlands.
Tuesday will turn out quite similar to Monday. High pressure is
not expected to move much, if at all, and isolated showers and
thunderstorms will once again be possible in the San Juan range.
Northerly flow will continue to carry smoke southward, then
westward in low-level drainage overnight. The one change on
Tuesday may be a slight increase in high temperatures by a degree
or two, due to a slight upward bump in mid-level temperatures.
Overall forecast confidence remains high throughout the short-term
and minimal adjustments were done in this forecast package.
.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 234 PM MDT Mon Aug 17 2020
The high pressure over the Great Basin will move slightly south over
Arizona on Thursday before and then remain there through the long
term forecast. Long story short, that means not a whole lot of
change should be expected from day-to-day. However, one change
will be the increasing moisture through the period. The high
pressure is expected to slowly drag in moisture from the southwest
CONUS...and wrap in clockwise around the high. Looking at time-
series data, some long-term solutions suggest that GJT will reach
nearly 50F dewpoints next week. That`s a bit hard to believe given
that we rarely see sfc dewpoints that high in the best monsoonal
conditions. But, if this moisture does end up making it`s way 270
degrees around the high like models are suggesting, we will likely
see precipitation chances move down in elevation through the next
7 days. At any rate, the high terrain will continue to see
increased showers and storms thanks to the recycled moisture. How
much rainfall vs wind reaching the ground remains the question
across the board. Confidence remains low in a particular solution
(in other words placement of the high) beyond this weekend...so
opted to follow blended guidance which generally keeps the status
quo.
Temperatures will remain consistently warm...around 10 degrees above
normal for much of the area through the long-term periods.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 549 PM MDT Mon Aug 17 2020
There is an actual thunderstorm with real precipitation that could
impact KDRO through 02Z with gusty winds and possibly some
moderate rainfall. Otherwise smoke in the Eagle and Colorado River
Valleys could bring MVFR conditions at times over the next 24
hours. Away from showers or storms winds will be light.
&&
.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...None.
UT...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...MAC
LONG TERM...SS
AVIATION...TGJT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1024 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
Updated aviation portion for 06Z TAF issuance
.SHORT TERM...Tonight and Tuesday
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
The latest RAP analysis and satellite/radar imagery show a large
trough positioned over the central Great Lakes. The left front
quad of the 115 kt jet streak has shifted east of the region. But
thermal troughing over northern WI has led to more convective
clouds with the heat of the day. A few spotty showers have popped
over northeast WI along the Bay breeze where surface based
instability is 200-300 j/kg, but they fizzled relatively quickly.
Will keep an isolated shower mention along the lakeshore through
the end of the afternoon. Looking upstream, high pressure is
positioned across the Plains where skies are mainly clear.
Forecast concerns include the shower activity and the possibility
of ground fog late tonight.
Tonight...Once any showers diminish late this afternoon or early
this evening, will see clearing skies across the region. Some
cirrus may move overhead at times, but otherwise should have a
good radiational cooling night. Like the past two nights, low
temps should fall a couple degrees below their cross-over temps
across the northwoods. Therefore think more ground fog is likely
to develop late tonight, and will keep a patchy fog mention in the
forecast. Lows ranging from the middle 40s up north to the middle
50s over the Fox Valley.
Tuesday...High pressure will be centered over the region. More
convective clouds will build with the heat of the day, but they
shouldn`t be as beefy as today, and no showers are expected.
Slightly cooler highs in the low to mid 70s.
.LONG TERM...Tuesday Night Through Monday
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
Like the previous forecaster detailed, northwest flow will
continue through the end of the week. Then the upper flow
attempts to turn more zonal this weekend, bringing better chances
for a round or two of showers/storms. The severe weather threat
still looks low through the end of the week. But as warmer and
more muggy air slides closer to the region, the threat of severe
weather will gradually increase through the weekend.
Tuesday night into Thursday...Surface high pressure will initially
be present across the region on Tuesday night. Warmer and more
humid air will be pushing across western Ontario and Lake
Superior through the night, which may be enough to touch off a few
showers or isolated storms over far northern WI late in the
night into Wednesday morning. Will keep a slight chance in the
forecast. Most models show precip chances continuing in the Lake
Superior region on Wednesday night into Thursday, where waves of
warm advection will be occurring. Most if not all of the area will
remain dry during this time, but temperatures will gradually be
trending warmer (low to mid 80s on Thursday).
Rest of the extended...Models insist on shortwave energy
approaching the region during the Friday night into Saturday time
period, which appears to be the next chance of widespread showers
and storms. Though it`s a little far out to get a handle on the
details, winds aloft appear relatively weak, so a severe threat
will likely depend on the timing of the system and how it
coincides with peak heating. Another chance of precip could also
arrive early next week. Temps this weekend will like be above
normal.
&&
.AVIATION...for 06Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 1022 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
Generally good flying conditions are expected for the next 24-36
hours as a weak anticyclone gradually shifts into the region. The
one possible exception is the potential for patchy fog across the
north late tonight. Surface dew point depressions across north-
central Wisconsin have decreased to the point where patchy fog
will probably begin showing up in the next few hours. Spreads
across central Wisconsin were greater, so there is less potential
for fog there.
&&
.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM.....MPC
LONG TERM......MPC
AVIATION.......JS
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
602 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 246 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will still be
possible late this afternoon through this evening as a cold front
passes through the area. Once this moves southeast, dry conditions
are expected through the rest of the week. Temperatures will
become cooler behind the front as high pressure builds into the
area. Overnight lows should be in the middle 50s to middle 60s,
with temperatures rebounding into the lower 80s tomorrow.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 602 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
Forecast was updated to increase PoP`s across the area tonight.
Latest radar mosaics showing a broken line of showers from the
southeast tip of Iowa to north of Peoria to Indianapolis, while a
line of showers also extends south to Jacksonville. HRRR and the
NAM Nest show this settling southward through the evening, with a
gradual weakening as we get to near midnight. The NAM and RAP
show some rejuvenation south of I-70 toward sunrise, but will
monitor this a bit longer and keep PoP`s in that area in the
20-30% range late tonight.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
ISSUED AT 246 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
A cold front is will move through the CWA late this afternoon
through this evening. Though instability will be limited due to
very warm mid level temps, isolated showers and storms are still
possible. Will keep isolated to scattered precip ongoing in the
forecast for this evening. Unfortunately this isolated to
scattered precip will linger in the southeast parts of the CWA
tomorrow morning and then slowly diminish to the southeast during
the afternoon. Otherwise, most of the CWA should be dry and mostly
sunny with cooler temps.
&&
.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
ISSUED AT 246 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
With the cold front past the CWA Tuesday night, dry weather will
return to the area as high pressure builds into the region. Though
one or two of the models may indicate some scattered precip in the
area around the weekend, dry weather is expected through the rest
of the week and through the following weekend. Temps will start as
a tad cooler than normal, but warm back to around or just above
normal by the end of the week and through the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 602 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
Cold front roughly extends from KMQB-KPNT at 22Z and will settle
southward through the evening, shifting winds to the northwest to
north. Numerous showers are lined up near the boundary, but
thunder has been rather sparse so far, and will only mention
VCSH at this point. Shower activity should be south of the TAF
sites by about 06Z. Ceilings will drop as the showers arrive and
should largely stay VFR, though pockets of ceilings below 3,000
feet are possible. Skies clear overnight and VFR conditions
prevail the rest of the forecast period.
&&
.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Geelhart
SYNOPSIS...Auten
SHORT TERM...Auten
LONG TERM...Auten
AVIATION...Geelhart
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
655 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 321 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
A warm front across ern Wyoming will be the focus for isolated
severe thunderstorm development across the Panhandle late this
afternoon and this evening. The forcing is very uncertain as
satellite does not indicate any disturbances moving through WY this
afternoon.
Afternoon heating alone might not be enough of a trigger but the
CAMs suggest an isolated storm or two will form, perhaps along the
Pine Ridge in northwest Nebraska. Winds aloft will be strong and
MLCAPE around 1500-2000J/KG produces Bulk Richardson numbers less
than 50.
The RAP model shows the warm front moving east tonight into ncntl
Nebraska which could continue to be the focus for isolated showers
and thunderstorms. There is little or no elevated CAPE in the NAM or
RAP models so this may turn out to be just showers or sprinkles.
Wind aloft remain strong Tuesday afternoon and the shear actually
increases as the low level inflow winds below 750 mb increase a bit.
The CAMs suggest another isolated severe storm potential. The short
term model blend suggested isolated thunderstorm chances late
Tuesday afternoon and evening across western Nebraska.
The temperature forecast uses the warmest guidance, the GFS MAV, for
highs in the upper 80s to upper 90s Tuesday and the cooler MET
guidance for lows in the 50s to lower 60s tonight and Tuesday night.
This is appropriate for the very dry conditions developing across
western Nebraska where the warmest temperatures will occur.
.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 321 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
The best rain chance develops Thursday with a h700mb disturbance
moving through ncntl Nebraska. This is supported by the NAM, GFS
and it`s ensemble mean for scattered thunderstorm chances. The ECM
is silent on this system. Winds aloft will be strong, near 40 kts
at h500mb, and this could support a severe weather threat but it
is too early to make a call as suggested the by the day4-8 SPC
discussion.
Otherwise, limited forcing and low moisture appear to be limiting
rain chances to isolated. A period of very hot dry weather should
develop Friday through Monday with the possibility of a back door
cold front Sunday or Monday. All of the 850-700mb temperature data
are pointing to an amplification of daytime heating Thursday and
beyond. The only thing holding back the temperature forecast is bias
correction which drops highs several degrees off the deterministic
model blend. The official forecast for highs in the upper 80s to
lower 90s is very conservative given the caliber of the subtropical
ridge across the wrn U.S. and the temperature records which have
fallen over the weekend in that area.
Although the ridge will not migrate into the Plains, temperatures at
h850mb across wrn and ncntl Nebraska will gradually rise several
degrees supporting a warming trend which is not shown in the
temperature forecast. Later forecasts will likely mark
temperatures up at least a few degrees on some days.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 655 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020
VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours at the KLBF and KVTN
terminals. Elevated showers and thunderstorms are expected to
develop after 06Z near or just east of the KLBF and KVTN
terminals. Have not included in the latest TAFS, and will consider
including in the next scheduled issuance if confidence increases.
&&
.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...CDC
LONG TERM...CDC
AVIATION...Roberg
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
319 PM MDT Mon Aug 17 2020
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 319 PM MDT Mon Aug 17 2020
Lackluster convection occuring across the mountains this afternoon
where dew points are in the 20s and 30s. This is a little higher
than the day before for some areas, but beneath the upper high
moisture is not sufficient enough to net more than a few hundred
J/kg of CAPE. Inverted V sounding suggest most storms will produce
gusty winds, and lightning, with only spotty light to moderate
rainfall amounts. Have bumped down pops considering current coverage
and while high res models suggest the possibility of some weak to
moderate intensity thunderstorms through 03z-04z, risk for flash
flooding on burn scars this evening should be much lower than past
several days. Convection should wind down after sundown with low
temperatures similar to last nights. High res hrrr smoke runs
suggest hazy skies will return for most of the western 2/3rds of the
forecast area after some small improvement this afternoon.
Upper high retrogrades westward for Tuesday with sufficient moisture
within the upper high for mainly isolated convection. Best chances
will be across the southwest mountains. Inverted V soundings suggest
gusty winds, lightning and some spotty light to moderate rainfall
amounts will be possible, but most areas should stay fairly dry.
Across the plains, dew points drop off considerably in the afternoon
with a surface trough axis/diffuse dry line taking shape across the
far southeast plains. 12z runs seem to keep axis of higher dew
points in Kansas during the afternoon and will keep a dry forecast
through the afternoon. Have maintained some silent pops out that
way but think any activity will hold off until later in the evening.
As for smoke and haze...after some morning hazy skies for the I-25
corridor and points westward, hrrr suggests some marginal
improvement during the afternoon for the I-25 corridor and as flow
aloft becomes more northerly to even northeasterly. -KT
.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 319 PM MDT Mon Aug 17 2020
Tuesday Night and Wednesday:
Isolated to scattered PoPs have been included over the mountains
through around midnight on Wednesday. There is an band of
instability located over the far eastern plains (Kiowa, Bent,
Prowers, and Baca Counties) that storms are expected to form along.
CAPE values have trended downward over the past few model runs, so
at this point, storms are expected to form but should be sub-severe,
with an emphasis on a gusty winds risk (LCLs around 12kft) during
that time period.
Wednesday afternoon has been trending towards a more substantial
rain event over the eastern mountains on Wednesday afternoon. There
is a shortwave propagating over the region during the mid afternoon
and surface to 700hPa easterly winds forcing air up the eastern
mountains. The NAM, GFS, and ECMWF all have strong easterly winds
being resolved, but the ECMWF has a much drier outcome.
Meteorologically, the NAM and GFS`s outcome make more sense. Those
showers and thunderstorm are expected to spread east over the I-25
corridor during the evening on Wedensday. The expected convection
over the mountains means that there is a better chance for burn scar
flash flooding. The severe thunderstorm risk is low at this time,
since CAPE values will be less than 1000 J/kg over the adjacent
plains, but the northwesterly flow aloft (enhanced wind shear) could
spark a rogue strong to severe thunderstorm during the afternoon.
The easterly flow at the surface and the convection and cloud cover
developing will keep temperatures near average for this time of year
over the plains, with values in the mid 90s, but the mountains and
mountain valleys will continue to be hot as the upper ridge remains
to the west. Values over the mountain valleys will be in the upper
80s to low 90s and the mountains will be in the 60s to 70s.
Thursday:
Dry conditions are expected throughout the morning and the early
afternoon, but a distinct shortwave and trough axis are expected to
propagate over the region during the late afternoon to early
evening. While impacts vary with different models outputs, the
consensus is that convection will begin around 3 to 5 PM over the
mountains, which is later than what the region has been seeing
lately, and will spread over the eastern plains by 6PM lasting
through the overnight. CAPE values are generally below 1000 J/kg, so
severe storms aren`t likely. The coverage is the most uncertain part
of the forecast. The GFS is aggressive with QPF values, which is
normal, the ECMWF has a dry outcome, which doesn`t make much sense
meteorologically, the NAM has the initial development over the
eastern mountains but that is when it reaches 84 hours, and the
Canadian has development primarily over the southern I-25 corridor
and plains.
Friday through Monday:
A tropical system is expected to be near the Baja California
Peninsula on Friday, which could enhance PWAT values over southern
Colorado. The result will be scattered to likely chances of
precipitation over the central mountains, but will bring daily
isolated to scattered chances of showers and thunderstorms over the
rest of the mountains and the lower elevations. The sensible weather
will also be more humid compared to what southern Colorado is used
to, especially over the mountains and mountain valleys. The added
moisture should promote more widespread cloud cover, therefore
temperatures are expected be around average for this time of year.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 319 PM MDT Mon Aug 17 2020
VFR conditions expected at the TAF sites over the next
24 hours. Breezy southeast winds with gusts up to 25 kts at KCOS and
KPUB should abate during the evening with winds becoming light and
diurnally driven overnight. KALS could see outflow from
thunderstorms over the mountains which could cause erratic winds but
given very isolated coverage to thunderstorms have kept mention of
VCTS out of the TAF for now. Any thunderstorms over the mountains
should diminish after sundown. A similar pattern is expected for
Tuesday though winds across the plains will be light and northerly
through the morning before gradually shifting around from the
southeast around 10 kts in the afternoon. -KT
&&
.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...KT
LONG TERM...SKELLY
AVIATION...KT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
233 PM PDT Mon Aug 17 2020
.SYNOPSIS...
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday
will decrease to isolated coverage south of Highway 50 Wednesday.
Dry conditions are expected Thursday into the weekend. Afternoon
temperatures remain hot in the lower valleys although morning lows
should fall mid to late week for some relief from the daytime heat.
Smoke and haze continue in areas with wildfires in the region.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
Forecast highlights:
- Isolated to scattered fast-moving thunderstorms with brief heavy
rain and possible strong outflow winds through Tuesday...much
diminished chances Wednesday north of Hwy 50.
- Increasing winds Wednesday/Thursday...heightened fire concerns.
- Remaining very warm (Sierra valleys) to hot (lower valleys) but
cooling mornings mid-late week for some relief from daytime
heat.
- Areas of smoke and haze from wildfires, mainly for extreme
eastern CA and western/northwestern NV.
A couple upper waves entrained in the remnant moisture plume from
former tropical system Fausto have brought (and continue to bring)
another round of nocturnal and morning thunderstorms with prodigious
lightning and gusty winds in northern California, with one cluster
rolling through Plumas, Lassen, and Modoc counties a bit earlier.
North to northwest winds in the wake of the storms brings concern
for smoke spread from the Loyalton Fire into portions of extreme
eastern CA (including the Lake Tahoe area) and far western Nevada
this afternoon and evening. As a side note, from the office we
have seen some rapidly developing pyrocumulus (once again!) over
the Loyalton Fire...so that is clearly still quite active and
capable of producing copious smoke.
Currently, cumulus have developed over the Sierra south of
Highway 50 and moved quickly off to the northeast into far western
NV. They do not look to be explosively developing, perhaps due to
skinny CAPE profiles and too much wind shear at the present time.
However, a few have developed into weak thunderstorms and, as the
afternoon progresses, instability should increase some over
western and west-central Nevada for more intense convection. Also,
there may be a boundary setting up along the leading edge of the
aforementioned NW-N winds in northwestern NV and extreme northeast
CA which could be a focus for a few thunderstorms later.
As far as the nature of isolated to scattered storms today, some
of the HRRR runs indicate some stout outflow winds between 40-60
mph from its modeled convection. This makes plenty of sense with
hot temperatures and temp/dewpoint spread of 50-60 degrees
expected in western and west-central NV. Otherwise, storms are
likely to bring a brief shot of heavy rainfall along with the
concern for dry strikes and new fires. Similar storm features are
likely on Tuesday.
Late tonight and Tuesday morning, there is yet again a chance for
late night and morning thunderstorms across northeast California
as another wave moves northward in the remnant moisture from
former tropical system Fausto. Low temperatures once again look
mild with cloud cover and moisture. This continues the limited
cooling of late with urbanized areas/areas with sparse greenery
of the most concern (lows 65-75); the heat advisory continues
through Tuesday evening for western/west-central NV.
Wednesday, drier and more stable southwest flow aloft finally
moves into the region as low pressure approaches the Pacific
Northwest. However, a few mid-afternoon to early evening storms
are still possible well south of Highway 50 as residual moisture
and better convergence allow for convective development for one
more day. Winds will increase Wednesday for increased fire
danger...see the fire discussion for more details.
Wednesday night, cooler temperatures than we have seen lately are
expected as drier air and much less cloud cover combine to allow
for better radiational cooling. -Snyder
.LONG TERM...Thursday through next Monday...
Thunderstorms are not expected Thursday through at least Sunday
morning as the drier air and possible warming mid-levels as the
upper ridge expands westward combine to cap off deep convection.
Storms could return Sunday and Monday afternoons as continued
very warm temperatures eventually allow for convection to build up
sufficient instability.
Temperature-wise, above to well above average high temperatures
are likely to continue through the extended. However, overnight
lows should continue to be cooler than recent days so some relief
remains on the table for the overnight/morning hours. -Snyder
&&
.AVIATION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are yet again expected for
this afternoon and evening across much of the region...with the
best chances over western and west-central Nevada. Storms today
will be capably of producing gusts 35-45kts, small hail, and
brief heavy rainfall. The strongest storms could produce gusts to
50 kts along with reduced surface visibility due to blowing dust,
most likely out in the Basin and Range of west-central NV this
evening.
Smoke and haze from the Loyalton Fire may limit visibility (terrain
obscuration), both surface and slant-wise, in extreme eastern CA
north of Lake Tahoe and into portions of western and northwest
Nevada. This could continue for a least the next couple days if
the fire remains active (which it is as of this writing), especially
as afternoon westerly flow increases Tuesday and, more
significantly, Wednesday. -Snyder/Hoon
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Thunderstorms are firing off once again today with the main focus of
the activity in far western portions of fire zone 271 and in the
Eastern Sierra into the western Nevada Sierra Front. These storms
will continue to progress toward the northeast tonight, with showers
possibly lingering into the west central Nevada Basin. There are low
end chances (~15-20%) for thunder overnight into the early morning
hours Tuesday in northeast California. Additional thunderstorms are
possible Tuesday afternoon and evening following the same pattern as
today.
Main thunderstorm threats remain gusty and erratic outflows in
addition to locally heavy rain. There is plenty of moisture available
for the storms to put down rain; however, they are moving fast and
we have already seen rather efficient lightning starts the past
several days. New fire starts are certainly possible outside of
the storm cores.
Moving onto Wednesday, we start to see a drier air mass work into
the region, esp for areas north of US-50 as a trough moves into the
Pacific Northwest. This trough will also bring an increase in wind
speeds, with the strongest winds also north of US-50. Wind gusts
could reach around 35 mph with humidity values dropping to 10-15%;
therefore, we have issued a Fire Weather Watch for fire zones
278/270/458/423/420. Portions of zone 429 may also see critical
conditions, but it looks to be limited to areas north and west of
Fallon, so have left it out of the watch for now. South of US-50
additional thunderstorms will be once again possible on Wednesday
afternoon and early evening.
The driest conditions are likely for Thursday with poor recoveries
for midslopes and ridges Wednesday and Thursday nights. Chances
are looking good for moisture and thunderstorms returning by later
in the weekend. -Dawn
&&
.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...Heat Advisory until 11 PM PDT Tuesday NVZ001-003>005.
CA...Heat Advisory until 11 PM PDT Tuesday CAZ070.
Dense Smoke Advisory until 5 PM PDT this afternoon CAZ071.
&&
$$
For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/reno