Forecast Discussions mentioning any of "HRRR" "RAP" "RUC13" "RUC" "RR" received at GSD on 02/11/20

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
631 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2020 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure briefly builds across the region overnight into Tuesday morning. Low pressure will then track well south of the region Tuesday afternoon and then exits to the east Tuesday evening, followed by high pressure building over the area through Wednesday. Another Low pressure approaches from the southwest Wednesday night, then tracks south of Maine on Thursday. An arctic front pushes through later on Thursday followed by Canadian high pressure building in through Saturday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... 620 PM Update..Sfc trof or weak cold front sliding sewd this evening. Some partial clearing was noted on the latest satl imagery across the northern and western areas, w/more clouds further s and e. Hrly temps were adjusted to match the latest conditons showing a cooldown w/dewpoints dropping off as well, especially across the northern and western areas. The RAP soundings show potential for some drizzle/freezing drizzle this evening w/moisture in the llvls and drying aloft. Decided to carry this wording for portions of the area. MLT had some light freezing drizzle/or fine light snow. Houlton was showing this as well in their latest ob. Radar imagery showed light returns sliding across N Penobscot, SE Aroostook and N Washington Counties. As the airmass above 900 mbs begins to dry out later this evening and light winds, sounding data does show potential for fog given the llvl moisture trapped under an inversion at about 8000-900 ft. Temps dropping below 32F could lead to freezing fog potential. Will take a look at this further w/the next update later in the evening. Previous Discussion... Latest radar ref imagery conts to show diminishing returns of sn and rn shwrs late this aftn. Kept mention of patchy dz across the E Cntrl and Downeast areas where temps are abv frzg for the next 3 hrs, but further N, sfc dwpt dprsns greater than 5 deg F and cld clgs greater than 5 kft are preventing much in the way of patchy fzdz, so we dropped this wx element. Otherwise, we xpct cld cvr to break somewhat ovrngt. The question is how much drying will reach llvls by late tngt. If not enough, there could be patchy to perhaps areas of frzg fog where skies become clear long enough. But not enough confidence attm to mention fog in tngts ptn of the fcst. Low temps will be mild for this tm of season with only lmtd potential of lower temps in normally colder vly lctns. Otherwise, skies will begin ptly cldy Tue morn then become cldy Tue aftn as a weak wv of sfc low pres tracks ewrd off the mid Atlc states well S of the Gulf of ME. Lgt precip with this system will be msly restricted to the SE third of the FA and with hi temps xpctd to be abv frzg here, precip type could be a mix of lgt rn and sn in the mid to late aftn before transitioning to sct sn shwrs Tue eve, so there will be little sn accumulation potential. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... 700-500 hPa shortwaves should support some lingering rain/snow showers over Downeast Maine Tuesday evening. The main northern stream trough axis crosses the area late Tuesday night. Areas along the western border with Canada could see a few snow showers, other than that, maybe some flurries with its passage (not quite confident enough in flurries to reflect in the official forecast at this time). Lows Tuesday night should be around 15 degrees above normal. Northern stream ridging passes over the area on Wednesday, followed by deep layered ridging Wednesday evening. This should keep things dry through at least midnight Wednesday night. Highs on Wednesday should be around 5-10 degrees above normal. There is some question how quickly moisture moves in on the backside of the ridge late Wednesday night ahead of low pressure moving into the mid-Atlantic States. For now limit pops to chance late, and even this might be too aggressive. Lows Wednesday night should be around 15 degrees above normal. A northern stream shortwave passing over New England Thursday should keep coastal low development offshore. Depending on the exact low track and strength, this will determine how far from the coast any mix of rain in with snow will get. For now it appears that it should stay all snow north of a Bangor-Calais line. The heaviest precipitation for now appears it will be along/south of a Bangor/Calais line, so the ultimate mix of rain/snow will determine whether any headlines (most likely advisory) are needed across Bangor/Downeast Maine. Snow amounts likely will stay below advisory level north of this region. Highs on Thursday should be a few degrees above normal. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Snow tapers off Thursday evening as Arctic air pours into the region behind an arctic front. Should see some some snow showers with its passage. A northern stream trough passes on Friday, but with low levels dry, it should pass through with no precipitation. It will be cold and blustery late Thursday night and Friday. Could end up needing a Wind Chill Advisory across most, if not all of the North late Thursday night/Friday morning. Deep layered ridging builds in Friday night and Saturday, with dry weather continuing. The winds should die off Friday night allowing for strong radiational cooling. Lows should be below zero across Northern and Eastern Maine,except maybe right at the immediate coast, with lows across the North generally in the -10 to -20 degree range. A Wind Chill Advisory could be needed for all but the Bangor region/Downeast Maine Friday night/early Saturday morning. Saturday will see a little bit of moderation from Friday, but not quite as cold and with little wind. The models then differ in the handling of northern stream energy early next week, so there is a variety of in the timing of a northern stream trough which should spark some snow showers with its passage. Temperatures recover to near to above normal levels for Sunday and Monday (lows more above normal than the highs). && .AVIATION /23Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... NEAR TERM: Tngt - Tue...Mainly MVFR clgs all TAF sites, but cannot rule pockets of VFR or IFR attms with llvls of the atmos remaining moist. Vsbys reduced late this aftn at some lctns in trailing sn or rn shwrs and again later Tue aftn in lgt rn and sn. Lgt winds. SHORT TERM: Tuesday night: Lingering MVFR/IFR in any snow showers, becoming VFR late. NW winds G20-30KT possible after midnight. Wednesday-Wednesday night: VFR, then MVFR or lower possible late in any snow. W-SW winds G15-25KT possible. Thursday: IFR or lower possible in snow north and snow possibly mixed with rain south. Thursday night-Saturday: VFR. N-NW winds G20-30KT possible Thursday night-Friday evening. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: SCA conditions will cont into this eve, ending first ovr the inner bay/harbor waters late this eve, then ovr the outer waters erly Tue morn. Kept close to blended wv guidance for fcst wv hts. SHORT TERM: Marginal Small Craft Advisory conditions are possible on the coastal ocean waters Tuesday night-Thursday. On the intra-coastal waters marginal SCA conditions are possible Tuesday-night-Wednesday with sub SCA conditons forecast Wednesday night-Thursday. Gales are possible on all waters Thursday night into Friday evening due to strong low level cold air advection. This threat will be highlighted in the HWO. Sub-SCA conditions should return to all waters during the day on Saturday. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ052. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ050-051. && $$ Near Term...Hewitt/VJN Short Term...Maloit Long Term...Maloit Aviation...Hewitt/VJN/Maloit Marine...Hewitt/VJN/Maloit
Please see the 00Z aviation forecast discussion below.

AVIATION... Shower activity continues to decrease across most of the area this afternoon. The exception being well east of the I-35 corridor where some convection is developing along the cold front. Otherwise, we should see MVFR cigs along I-35 through this evening, with cigs dropping into IFR 07-09Z. Rain chances will be favored tomorrow after daybreak and we will keep -SHRA in the forecast through the remainder of the current forecast period. Once rain develops, cigs will likely not budge through tomorrow afternoon and will keep low end IFR or LIFR in the forecast. At DRT, VFR skies will likely continue this evening, then low clouds thicken and MVFR cigs return around 15Z. Rain chances will also pick up tomorrow at DRT, with the afternoon standing the best chance for shower activity. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 213 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020/ SHORT TERM (Tonight through Tuesday Night)... Ongoing showers and thunderstorms continue today as a slow moving cold front moves across the area. Storms are possible behind the front. As the warmer air moves over the stable cooler airmass at the surface, the storms will be elevated and have a low potential to be severe with the main threat being hail. Later tonight, the front reaches the coast and stalls. After a brief lull in activity tonight, the stalled front will continue the unsettled pattern as a low approaches from the west. Enhanced shower activity through Tuesday night will continue where areas could see pockets of locally heavy rain that may impact nighttime commutes or activities. For temperatures, with cooler air in place tonight, lows will be in the 40s and 50s. Tuesday, rain and cloud cover will reduce the diurnal effect and highs for the day will be just a few degrees warmer in the upper 40s and lower 50s. Similar expectations for Tuesday night as the area stays in the 40s. LONG TERM (Wednesday through Monday)... At the beginning of the long-term forecast, the frontal boundary will be pushing into our eastern counties. While the bulk of the rainfall will be along the boundary, some residual post-frontal precip will remain possible for mainly the eastern half through the morning hours. Rainfall totals through Wednesday will average less than an inch in the west to 1-3 inches in the northern CWA. Some minor flooding of low-lying areas will be possible through the event. Clearing conditions are then expected for the afternoon with the sun most likely shining by sunset for the areas along and west of the I35 corridor. North winds are then expected behind the front Wednesday night with lows in the 30s and 40s. Cooler weather will continue Thursday and Friday with highs in the 50s and 60s under mostly clear skies. Moisture is expected to increase once again for the weekend as south/southwesterly flow increases ahead of the next upper trough axis. This will bring low rain chances to the area Saturday through Monday as most of the activity will be driven by warm air advection underneath an inversion. Therefore will keep thunder out of the forecast. Not expecting a washout for everyone each day, but off and on activity will be possible. Temperatures for the weekend and Monday will be back in the 60s and 70s for highs with lows mainly in the 50s. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 44 49 46 59 40 / 50 90 100 70 10 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 44 50 44 60 39 / 50 90 100 80 10 New Braunfels Muni Airport 46 51 46 62 40 / 50 80 100 70 10 Burnet Muni Airport 40 46 41 55 36 / 60 90 100 70 10 Del Rio Intl Airport 51 55 45 67 40 / 40 60 90 20 10 Georgetown Muni Airport 41 47 43 57 38 / 50 90 100 80 10 Hondo Muni Airport 50 53 46 65 40 / 50 70 90 40 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 45 50 45 62 39 / 50 80 100 70 10 La Grange - Fayette Regional 47 54 48 61 41 / 40 90 100 90 10 San Antonio Intl Airport 47 52 48 63 42 / 60 80 90 60 10 Stinson Muni Airport 49 52 48 64 43 / 50 70 90 60 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ Short-Term/Aviation...Platt Long-Term...KCW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
910 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2020 .Forecast Update... Issued at 910 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2020 Seeing some light returns moving in from western KY/southern a zone where latest RAP upper level charts show a couple jet structure providing the enhanced lift. Still expecting the southern jet to move to our north and northeast by daybreak Tuesday, providing support for a solid batch of rain by then. Have adjusted pops and rest of weather grids towards models that are handling the current picture the best, the HRRR/LAV/GLAMP/CONSShort. Updated products out shortly. Issued at 630 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2020 Most of the rains have exited to the east/south of the region, but we still are left with pockets of drizzle and light fog according to area observations. We should see some resurgence of light rain chances late tonight, especially across southern KY. This rain will form as our area briefly is in the right rear quadrant of a departing jet streak. We could see another quarter inch to three quarters of an inch over our Lake Cumberland counties by mid morning Tuesday. Will shoot out updated products shortly with adjustments for latest trends and hi-res model guidance. && .Short Term...(This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 319 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2020 Surface analysis reveals a cold front south of the Ohio River this afternoon. Temperatures behind the front have fallen into the 40s and upper 30s, while temperatures ahead of the front are in the 50s. This front will slowly sink southward through the remainder of the afternoon and evening hours, and eventually push into Tennessee by tomorrow morning. Rain showers will taper off some over the next few hours, but another wave of rain looks to impact mainly southern and eastern KY late tonight into early tomorrow morning. Area creeks, streams, and rivers will see some rises from all of the rain given the saturated soils. Wouldn`t be surprised to get isolated reports of roads along low water crossings having some standing water. All rain should push east of the region by tomorrow afternoon and give way to a brief reprieve from the wet weather. .Long Term...(Tuesday night through Monday) Issued at 300 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2020 The long term period will start with an upper level trough pushing eastward towards the OH Valley. Ahead of the trough, southerly 850 mb flow will begin to pump rich moisture into the area. At the surface, an area of low pressure will develop near the ArkLaTex region and move northeastward through the lower MS Valley and into the OH Valley by Wednesday night. Rain will begin to spread northeast across the area throughout the day Wednesday under a broad area of isentropic lift. Rainfall will increase in intensity throughout the afternoon and into Wednesday evening as a 50-60+ kt LLJ moves through the region with a zone of stronger isentropic lift pushing north towards the OH River. By Wednesday night, the surface low will cross central KY and drag a cold front across the area, with a band of heavier rain pushing eastward across S. IN and KY. Precipitation will begin to exit Thursday morning as the surface low quickly pushes off to the northeast. Overall, expect 1-2 inches of rainfall to fall across the area, with locally higher amounts possible. Uncertainty still exists as to where the heaviest axis of rain will be, but it currently looks to be somewhere across south-central KY. However, the 00Z and 12Z model guidance today has started trending the heavier rain axis more to the northwest. With the heavy rainfall possible Wednesday over already saturated soils, widespread flood issues may arise with this system, especially over eastern KY, where current Flash Flood Guidance shows the lowest values. After collaborating with neighboring offices, have decided to hold off on issuing a Flood Watch as we wait to see where the heaviest axis of precipitation may set up. Will continue to message potential impacts in the ESF and HWO. For the end of the week and into the weekend, expect mostly dry weather as a surface high slides in from the northwest and an upper level ridge axis moves overhead. Temperatures will be much colder by Friday under northerly winds, with morning lows in the mid teens to low 20s and afternoon highs in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Temps will then rebound Saturday as the area of high pressure pushes off to the east and southerly flow returns at the surface, warming temps into the mid to upper 40s. By Sunday, models continue to show significant differences with some models indicating a large swath of precip moving across the region while other models keep us dry until Monday. Will continue to monitor evolution in future forecasts. && .Aviation...(00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 625 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2020 Still dealing with a slow-moving cold front, and its associated drizzle/light rain/low cigs. Conditions should improve slowly over SDF/HNB, likely getting to fuel alternate MVFR before daybreak at SDF, and sooner for HNB. LEX and BWG will take a little longer, being closer to that front, but expect MVFR if not VFR by early that front does push far enough southeast of the region and take that low-level moisture with it. && .Hydrology... Issued at 300 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2020 Rounds of rain throughout the week will result in flooding for mid to late week. Rains look to saturate the area today and tonight with flooding most likely with a second round of rainfall Wed-Thu. Both areal and flash flooding will be possible with mid week rains. See the long term discussion for more details on rainfall amounts and areal/flash flooding potential. Widespread minor river flooding is likely late this week as rains fall on streams with water levels already running above normal. Minor river flooding is expected on the Ohio River at Tell City and Cannelton by Thu/Fri and also possible at McAlpine Upper, McAlpine Lower, and Clifty Creek by the weekend. Other rivers at risk for minor flooding by late week include the Green, Barren, Rolling Fork, Kentucky, and Licking Rivers. && .LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...None. KY...None. && $$ Update...RJS Short Term...DM Long Term...JML Aviation...RJS Hydrology...AMS
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
858 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2020 .DISCUSSION...Was going to try to lower the pops a bit following the departure of today`s main wave, due to some model indication of a break in the action. However, the ruc and hrrr are hinting at some re-development which can be seen across Southeast Tennessee along with another eastward expanding area on the Cumberland Plateau. While the rain may be very light, it could still create a few hundredths of an inch in area rain gauges. Therefore, will stay the course and not micro-manage the pop, so to speak. Rainfall amounts as expected early on in the event were higher across the south with areas picking up around 1-2 inches with the day`s rainfall. Areas farther north and east on the northern portion of the Cumberland Plateau and the valley from around Knoxville through the Tri- Cities, picked up amounts varying from around half an inch to close to one inch of rainfall. Models continue to advertise the next main wave of precipitation which satellite and radar imagery currently depict building east northeast through the Lower Mississippi Valley toward the forecast area. This secondary area of widespread moderate to sometimes heavy rain will move into the Southern Appalachian region later tonight into Tuesday morning with exit around midday into the afternoon. Thus, will stay the course with the flash flood watch while maintaining the wind advisory for the higher terrain along the North Carolina border for the remainder of the night. Noticed that wind speed was holding nice and steady in the mid to upper 20 kt range with some gusts in the upper 30s to around 40 kts at mid evening. There won`t be much movement in the temperature scheme tonight in the moist environment present across the region. && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for Cherokee-Clay. TN...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for Anderson-Bledsoe- Blount Smoky Mountains-Bradley-Campbell-Claiborne-Cocke Smoky Mountains-East Polk-Grainger-Hamblen-Hamilton-Hancock- Hawkins-Jefferson-Knox-Loudon-Marion-McMinn-Meigs-Morgan- North Sevier-Northwest Blount-Northwest Cocke-Northwest Monroe-Rhea-Roane-Scott-Sequatchie-Sevier Smoky Mountains- Southeast Monroe-Union-West Polk. Wind Advisory until 7 AM EST Tuesday for Blount Smoky Mountains- Cocke Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Southeast Monroe. VA...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for Lee. && $$
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
106 PM MST Mon Feb 10 2020 .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday. We will remain in northwest flow through midweek. Today`s storm continues to push south, taking the snowfall with it. We should be dry by mid evening. The question is will we see any fog or stratus. Confidence is lower than normal, but we are expecting some patchy fog and low clouds. We placed it in the forecast from Pocatello northward across the Plain and into the Island Park area. With the quick snow we had and melting, it is possible we could see it across some other valleys in the eastern and southeast highlands. We will definitely be watching to see what develops tonight. For Wednesday and Thursday, some moisture streams around the ridge and into eastern Idaho. There will be a limited chance of light snow from Island Park south across the eastern/southeast highlands. We are also expecting some light snow tomorrow across the higher elevations of the South Hills and Albion Mountains. The potential for valley fog and stratus increases as well. It does appear some of the light snow across the Upper Plain and Island Park may indeed be "seeder feeder" snow under the stratus deck. We should see temperatures warming a bit, with getting above freezing along and south of the 84/86 corridor. By late Thursday afternoon, the overall chance of precipitation increases across the mountains ahead of the next low. Keyes .LONG TERM...Thursday Night through next Monday. The next low drops south into Idaho Thursday night and Friday. We are expecting snow for the most, although temperatures will likely be warm enough for a mix across portions of the Magic Valley, Lower Snake Plain, and southern highlands valleys. It does appear to be mostly an event for the mountains in terms of appreciable snowfall. Winds do pick up a bit so some blowing and drifting is expected in the mountains. For the start of next week, it appears the "train" is back on the tracks for more continuous snowfall across the mountains in west to southwest flow. The low coming in for Sunday looks to potentially be a very wet storm, including possible rain and measurable snow at lower elevations. Winds really pick up as well, so it will be interesting to see if the snow is wet enough to mitigate blowing and drifting in the mountains. Keyes && .AVIATION...While we are still struggling with some low post-snow clouds at KPIH, KIDA, and KDIJ early this afternoon, we expect these to break up and lift rather progressively over the next couple hours, leaving skies mostly clear for the major terminals as high pressure builds across the region. It`s hard to completely rule out some low stratus development in the Snake Plain late tonight/Tues AM (and light winds might favor stratus or even fog too), but the general consensus of NAM time-height plots, MOS guidance, and the 12z and 14z HRRR cig/vsby products all lean dry enough at the low levels to preclude issues. For now, have leaned into a SCT009 at KIDA, but otherwise VFR conditions are currently expected everywhere. - KSmith && .PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
831 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020 .UPDATE... Minor update to drop overnight low temperatures to account for observations and diurnal trends. /44/ && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 549 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020/ AVIATION... Miserable flying conditions across the Four-States region over the next 24 hours. The majority of sites will fluctuate between IFR and LIFR, except for KLFK and KMLU which are MVFR now, but will drop into IFR past 11/03z. Both ceiling and visibility will be hindered by the curtains of precipitation expected over the course of the next two days. As such, SHRA, TSRA, VCTS, and even +SHRA are being carried at all sites over the next 24 hours. In the event a site does sneak into a higher flight category, that activity will be very temporary, as weather conditions and ceilings will fluctuate greatly during this TAF period. /44/ PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 357 PM CST Mon Feb 10 2020/ SHORT TERM.../Tonight through Tuesday Night/ The afternoon sfc analysis indicates hasn`t moved much farther SE than what was depicted this morning, and now extends from a DKR, to OCH, to just W of a SHV, to just N of an ELD and S of a LLQ line as of 2130Z. Much of the ongoing convection has now shifted just N of the front this afternoon, with the heavy rainfall threat easing somewhat but not before widespread 1-3+ inches of rain has been observed across portions of Lower E TX, N LA, and extreme Srn AR across the existing Flash Flood Watch area, where quite a few reports of flooding have been observed. However, the warm sector S of the front has destabilized considerably, with 1500-2000 J/Kg of SBCape observed from the Lower Toledo Bend Country across the Srn sections of Ncntrl LA. Already seeing scattered convection developing and spreading NNE into Cntrl LA attm, with the short term progs and latest HRRR depicting a weak sfc wave developing along the frontal zone early this evening which will ride the front NE across N LA. This could focus at least an isolated severe threat given the existing instability and ample bulk shear of 60-70kts, and could also focus a localized heavy rain/flood threat as well. Did not mention the severe threat in the forecast given the low confidence in organized large scale forcing and diminishing instability this evening, with the front expected to begin drifting back S late tonight, exiting the region into Cntrl LA by daybreak Tuesday. However, the progs do indicate that strong overrunning will commence this evening atop this cool/shallow air mass, with the heavy rain threat diminishing by or shortly after midnight near the H925-850 trough as it drifts ESE into Lower E TX/N LA. The progs indicate additional areas of -SHRA developing along/N of the H850 trough late tonight over Cntrl and N TX, which will advance E across much of the region during the day Tuesday. Have again increased pops to high end categorical, but fortunately, rain rates should not be high enough to warrant a significant flood threat despite the already saturated grounds across much of E TX/SW AR/N LA. Thus, have left the Flash Flood Watch area as is for now, although the flood threat should begin to increase farther N Tuesday night across NE TX/SW AR as overrunning again increases ahead of a strong shortwave trough that will exit the Srn Rockies Tuesday night before entering the Srn Plains Wednesday. Given the 1-2 inch rains that fell across a large part of NE TX/SW AR N of the existing Flash Flood Watch last night/early this morning, later shifts will likely need to expand the Watch farther N to include the remainder of NE TX and much of SW AR for Tuesday night and Wednesday, as rain rates will increase ahead of the trough. Still expecting additional rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches with isolated 5 inch totals over the region, before the convection diminishes from W to E during the day Wednesday. 15 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 52 54 47 55 / 100 100 100 100 MLU 52 54 47 67 / 100 100 100 100 DEQ 44 47 41 49 / 80 90 100 100 TXK 47 49 43 49 / 100 100 100 100 ELD 47 49 43 51 / 100 100 100 100 TYR 46 50 46 53 / 80 100 100 100 GGG 48 52 46 54 / 90 100 100 100 LFK 54 57 52 62 / 80 80 90 100 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for ARZ072-073. LA...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for LAZ001>006- 010>014-017>022. OK...None. TX...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for TXZ125-126- 136>138-149>153-165>167. && $$ 15/44