Forecast Discussions mentioning any of "HRRR" "RAP" "RUC13" "RUC" "RR" received at GSD on 10/30/19

National Weather Service Albany NY
1115 PM EDT Tue Oct 29 2019 .SYNOPSIS... Mild conditions through Thursday. Showers will overspread the area Thursday with a widespread soaking rainfall Thursday night. It will become windy Friday and turn much cooler for the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/... 11pm update - Adjusted temperatures to reflect the mild air still in place under the stratocumulus deck. NYS mesonet and ASOS stations show many sites still in the low to mid 50s and newest guidance shows temperatures remaining steady overnight. As a result, we also adjusted temperatures to better match the 12z ECMWF MOS guidance which is handling the temperature trends the best. Morning low temperatures are expected to be in the upper 40s to low 50s which is 15-20 degrees warmer than normal for late October and is better fit for daytime highs than early A.M lows. Other than, reduced POPs in Litchfield County, CT and the Berkshires from low end chance to slight chance tonight given low confidence on light rain/drizzle coverage. Previous discussion: As of 7:45PM, GOES16 nighttime fog channel showing stratocumulus clouds becoming more widespread through the region as southerly flow around high pressure positioned off the New England coast continues to advect in moisture off the Atlantic. Cloud ceilings expected to lower through the night as moisture continues to stream inland and become trapped underneath the inversion, similar to last night. Clouds should become the lowest in the Berkshires, Litchfield Hills and mid- Hudson Valley. HRRR shows potential for very light rain and/or drizzle possible mainly for NW CT and the Berkshire where the onshore flow should have the most influence. Also a few showers are possible into the southern Adirondacks as a cold front approaches from the Great Lakes Region. Temperatures tonight will stay rather mild thanks to the cloud coverage and weak warm air advection. Lows are forecast to range from the mid 40s to lower 50s which is about 15 degrees above normal for late October. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... A potent low pressure system with impact the region Thursday into Friday with a widespread moderate to heavy rainfall and strong and gusty winds. Wednesday the surface ridge dissipates across the area and an inverted surface trough develops offshore which should extend inland. Also a cold front will be gradually approaching from the west. Thus expecting cloudy conditions with the threat for some showers to the south and east of the Capital District. The approaching front stalls as cyclogenesis commences Wednesday night across the lower Mississippi Valley as an upper low cuts off. It then becomes negatively tilted as it moves across the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes Region Thursday and Thursday night. The low level jet will increase markedly east of the low center. The GEFS and SREF indicate the following anomalies: +5-6SD for 850 moisture flux, +3-4SD PWAT, +3-4SD 850 winds and +1- 2SD 850T ahead of the system`s aggressive cold front which is forecast to sweep across the local area Thursday night. Guidance continues to indicate a very strong 850 mb jet of 55 to 75 knots ahead of the cold front. It will not take much to mix strong wind to the surface and a cold frontal rainband is possible. Showalter values are forecast to drop to around zero. There continues to be uncertainty with respect to the exact track of the storm, but generally looking at the Ohio Valley across the Great Lakes Region into eastern Canada. Mild day Thursday with increasing chances for showers in the morning with widespread showers for the afternoon. Rain will come down heavy at times Thursday night with the bulk of the QPF occurring. Storm total rainfall of 1 to 3 inches expected, however there are still uncertainties expected QPF. The Weather Prediction Center has an excessive rainfall outlook for the area for Day 3. Please refer to the hydrology section for the flooding threat. Southerly flow will increase Thursday night and will become gusty with the flow shifting more to the southwest as the cold front moves in. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Main hazard for the long term period will be potentially strong winds on Friday as a vertically stacked closed low exits the region and strong winds develop in its wake. Winds could reach wind advisory criteria, especially in the Mohawk Valley, Adirondacks and Berkshires. Read on for details. We start the long term off 12z Friday with an occluded/mature ~990hPa low tracking up the Saint Lawrence River Valley and its potent cold front quickly sweeping through the region. Strong pressure rises are noted behind the cold front with the GFS showing 6-hourly pressure rises ranging 8-11hPa through 18z Friday. Since the low is occluded, the system`s dry slot should reach into the ALY CWA Friday morning behind the front and provide an opportunity for strong winds aloft to mix down to the surface. Given this set-up plus the fact that the winds are expected to be from the west, we have enhanced the wind gusts down the Mohawk Valley, Adirondacks and the Berkshires which traditionally experience the strongest winds under these flow and synoptic regimes. For now, we have peak wind gusts up to 35-45mph in the latest forecast which would meet wind advisory criteria. We will continue to monitor model trends in the coming days and issue any wind products as necessary. Besides the winds, rain Friday morning should quickly exit from west to east behind the departing cold front and temperatures through the day should actually drop. In fact, we have placed the high temperature for the day at 12z Friday and show temperatures staying steady in the upper 40s to low 50s before falling into the 40s through the afternoon due to strong cold air advection. Surface high pressure builds from the mid-Atlantic northward into the Northeast Friday night into Saturday which should allow winds to decrease. Ridging builds aloft which should keep skies mostly clear but the breeze should impede temperatures from becoming too chilly. Right now, expecting lows Fri night to only fall into the upper 20s to mid 30s. High pressure remains in control Saturday leading to a pleasant start to the weekend and final day of Daylight Savings Time. Temperatures should remain seasonable in the upper 40s to low 50s under mostly sunny skies. However, a potent trough looks to swing through the region and become negatively tilted. Its associated surface cold front looks to move through Saturday night and although the front is rather moisture starved with limited moisture at 700hPA, it should usher a much cooler air mass into the Northeast. 850hPa isotherms on Sunday decrease through the day due to strong cold air advection and with 850hPa isotherms between -6C and -8C moving over the warm ~11C Lake Ontario waters (according to GLERL), guidance is in good agreement that the critical 13C threshold should be surpassed leading to lake effect showers for the Adirondacks. Temperatures initially in the Adirondacks look to be mild enough during the day to support mainly rain but after 18z, temperatures above 2kft may support a rain/snow mix before becoming mainly wet snow showers by sunset. Elsewhere should be dry and chillier than normal on Sunday. The window of opportunity for lake effect snow showers looks to be limited though as high pressure and ridging build into the region Sunday night which should "shut off" the lake effect showers. Overnight lows should turn chilly as skies clear and winds decrease, leading to the first night with widespread freezing temperatures. Temperatures by Monday morning should fall into the upper 20s to near 32 throughout eastern NY and western New England. Monday should be dry as high pressure takes back control but chilly as most areas likely remain near or below 50F. The next chance for rain looks to arrive Tuesday. && .AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... GOES16 nighttime fog channel showing stratocumulus clouds becoming more widespread through the region as southerly flow keeps onshore flow in place. Ceiling heights have responded at POU and especially PSF which have remained steadily MVFR with PSF varying between IFR and MVFR ceilings. ALB and GFL have remained VFR and should so through 04z/30. Ceiling heights are expected to lower towards 04z/30 - 06z/30 leading to more persistent IFR ceilings at PSF and POU and MVFR at GFL and ALB. Occasional drizzle is possible at PSF and POU but omitted it at this time given uncertainty. For now, only reduced visibility to MVFR levels due to BR. As mixing improves Wednesday morning, expected IFR ceilings to become MVFR at PSF and POU and VFR at ALB and GFL by 15z/30. However, we expect MVFR ceilings to persist through 00z Thursday. Winds will be light and variable through the entire TAF period. Outlook... Wednesday Night: High Operational Impact. Likely SHRA. Thursday: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Definite SHRA. Thursday Night: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Definite SHRA. Friday: Moderate Operational Impact. Windy. Chance of SHRA. Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. && .FIRE WEATHER... Coverage of showers will increase Thursday, with a widespread soaking rainfall through Thursday night.&& && .HYDROLOGY... A storm system will bring rainfall to the region late Wednesday night through Thursday night. The heaviest rainfall will occur Thursday evening into Thursday night. Storm total rainfall amounts will be 1 to 3 inches, with the heaviest totals across the Adirondacks and into southern Vermont. The rainfall will result in rises on area waterways, with river flooding a possibility. The greatest threat for river flooding will be for areas north of Interstate 90. Some minor flooding of urban and poor drainage areas is also possible. There is a marginal to slight risk for flash flooding, especially within urban areas. A Flood Watch will likely be needed. For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website. && .CLIMATE... October rainfall through the 28th: Albany NY: 6.71 inches (+3.38 inches). Wettest on record 13.49 inches 1869 and 2nd wettest 9.00 inches 2005. We need to get another 0.19 inches this month to make it into the top 10 so looks like October 2019 will make into the record books. Glens Falls NY: 6.27 inches (+3.10 inches). Wettest on record 8.49 inches 2005. So far October 2019 is the 7th wettest on record with more rain on the way. Poughkeepsie NY: 4.57 inches (+0.50 inches). Wettest on record 17.59 inches 2005. We need to get another 1.03 inches this month to make it into the top 10 so it`s possible. Bennington VT: 5.82 inches (+2.42 inches) Pittsfield MA: 7.75 inches (+3.34 inches) For more climate data/records go to our climate page: && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...IAA NEAR TERM...Speciale SHORT TERM...IAA LONG TERM...Speciale AVIATION...JPV/Speciale FIRE WEATHER...IAA HYDROLOGY...Frugis CLIMATE...
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
906 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2019 .UPDATE... Issued at 906 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2019 Made some adjustments to POPs and sky cover, increasing both through tonight for parts of north-central Minnesota. Moist and cool low levels advecting across warm inland lakes is leading to some light snow down-wind of Red Lake, and additional snowfall is possible downwind (to the east-northeast of) other larger inland lakes like Leech Lake tonight into Wednesday. Little snowfall accumulation is anticipated, less than an inch, and any accumulations are likely to be very localized. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 335 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2019 The forecast focus in the short term will be on cloud cover and its affect on temperatures. An upper level trough axis will move over the Northland tonight and remain there through Wednesday night. There were clouds over far northwest portions of the area and there are questions how far east they will make it tonight as the trough axis moves further east. The RAP has a decent handle on the clouds, although it may be a bit fast. It suggests an increase in clouds to the east late tonight over much of far northern Minnesota. There will be flurries possible under any of the thicker clouds tonight with a chance for light lake effect snow east of the larger inland lakes, especially Red Lake. We have higher POPs east of Red Lake with some light snow accumulation. 850MB temperatures will be from -10C to -14C tonight creating favorable delta-T values but the lack of deeper moisture will be a limiting factor. We lowered temperatures in spots tonight and have lower teens to around 20 across the area. If the Iron Range and Arrowhead remain cloud free through most of the night, lows could be even lower. Clouds will increase on Wednesday but there will still be breaks, especially over far eastern Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin. Highs will remain well below normal and only reach the 30 to 36. Clouds are expected to decrease Wednesday night as low level ridging develops and it will again be cold with lows in the teens with some of the traditionally colder areas possibly reaching the single digits. .LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 335 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2019 Dry Thursday then a chance of rain and snow showers by Friday afternoon which will linger through Saturday. A more active period is expected Sunday through early next week with frequent precipitation chances. Daytime temperatures will be below normal through the long-term with overnight lows near normal. A ridge of high pressure over the region will keep conditions quiet on Thursday. Winds will veer southerly during the day as the ridge axis slides to the east. A shortwave trough will move out of the Dakotas and into Minnesota Thursday night continue eastward through Friday night as a cool front moves through Minnesota, Wisconsin, and northwest Ontario. Low-level convergence and falling heights aloft should support rain and snow showers over the Northland Friday. A second shortwave trough will move through the region Friday night and will keep a chance of snow showers in the picture Friday night and Saturday. Lake effect snow is possible for the Bayfield Peninsula and portions of Ashland and Iron counties. Have raised POPs in these areas due to the northwesterly flow over the lake, warm lake temperatures, and cool 850 mb temperatures around -10 to -12 degrees C. By Saturday, the surface trough and cool front will push east out of the region. Cool cyclonic flow will will keep a potential for rain and snow showers in play through Saturday. A brief period of surface ridging will develop by Saturday afternoon and early evening, which will provide a few hours of dry conditions before the next wave moves into the area on Sunday. Another shortwave trough will pass over the Northland Sunday into Monday and should provide enough lift for scattered rain and snow showers. An Alberta Clipper may pass through the region Monday night into Tuesday. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening) Issued at 635 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2019 VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period at all sites. A mix of clear skies and mid-level VFR clouds through the forecast period with west winds 5 to 10 knots. There is some inland lake lake-effect snow showers going on downwind of some of the larger lakes in northern Minnesota like Red Lake, but snow bands from these inland lakes are not anticipated to impact any of the forecast terminals. && .MARINE... Issued at 906 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2019 As forecast, southwest winds around 18-22 knots are occurring across the south shore leading to building waves and dangerous conditions for small craft. These winds will weaken late tonight into Wednesday morning, with a west wind around 10 to 15 knots persisting through Wednesday across western Lake Superior. Winds then become weaker Wednesday night through Thursday, around 5 knots or less. Stronger northwest winds late-week into the weekend may lead to larger waves along the south shore. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DLH 17 34 18 35 / 0 0 0 0 INL 19 31 13 35 / 20 10 0 0 BRD 16 33 16 36 / 0 10 0 0 HYR 13 35 15 35 / 0 0 0 0 ASX 14 36 18 36 / 0 0 0 0 && .DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...None. MN...None. LS...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM CDT Wednesday for LSZ145-146. && $$ UPDATE...JJM SHORT TERM...Melde LONG TERM...Huyck AVIATION...JJM MARINE...JJM
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
742 PM MDT Tue Oct 29 2019 .UPDATE... Issued at 734 PM MDT Tue Oct 29 2019 Just completed an update. Complicated and slowly evolving scenario occurring but overall the forecast is progressing as expected. Mid level trough is in the process of getting organized and will consolidate near/just east of our area. At the same time right rear quadrant will be on top of this setting up deep lift. First change was to add some brief freezing rain to the forecast for the southeast third of the area ahead of the organizing trough. Earlier there was some brief freezing further north along Interstate 70. 00z DDC showed no ice in the column and supports this area of freezing rain this evening. For the rest of the night, snow should increase in area and intensity, mainly over the northwest half, beginning this evening and then should move and redevelop over the southeast third after midnight. So kept the snowfall the same in the northwest half, decreased it a little in the south central, and raised amounts a little in the southeast per the above reasoning. Also adjusted overnight temperatures and winds per latest trends. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 143 PM MDT Tue Oct 29 2019 Water vapor imagery and RAP 500mb analysis showed a closed low moving from southern Idaho to northern Utah this morning and early afternoon. The trough associated with this system extended across much of the western CONUS, placing the tri-state region under southwest flow aloft. Ahead of this disturbance, cloud cover increased across the region through the day as light snow developed in eastern Colorado and southwest Nebraska. Northeast winds were observed at 10 to 20 mph. At 1 PM MDT, temperatures ranged in the 20s to low 30s. For tonight, the closed low should make its eastward turn and track from Utah into Colorado. Moderate to heavy snowfall is expected during this time, along with hazardous travel conditions. Am planning to keep the Winter Storm Warning and Winter Weather Advisory in place as is. Have not made any major changes to snowfall totals at this time and the overall forecast appears to be on track. Temperatures mainly fall into the single digits and teens overnight. Snow chances linger into Wednesday as the storm tracks from Colorado to Kansas. Snow chances then exit the region from west to east through the afternoon. With northerly winds at 15 to 25 mph, blowing snow may become a concern, particularly south of Interstate 70 where winds could gust 25 to 35 mph. Cold temperatures prevail, with highs only reaching into the upper teens to upper 20s. Dry conditions are forecast Wednesday night, with low temperatures ranging from the single digits below zero to the single digits above zero (with the coldest temperatures in eastern Colorado). To make matters worse, wind chill values range in the teens below zero to the single digits below zero. Will need to monitor this temperature forecast in the coming day to see if even colder temperatures will be possible due to snow cover. .LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 125 PM MDT Tue Oct 29 2019 A warming and dry trend is on tap for the region during the extended period. With the passage of the shortwave from the midweek system, models build an amplified upper ridge over most of the western portion of the country, extending into the west-central Rockies. The upper ridge remains in place during this time, allowing for a persistent WNW upper flow. There will be a couple weak shortwaves the will traverse the east side of the upper ridge, but will stay north of the CWA. Surface high pressure will shift over the area during this time as well...keeping low level moisture at a minimum. At most, the area will see increased cloud cover, especially along/north of Highway 36. There will be some lingering low wind chill readings in the minus 10 to minus 15 range for western portions of the CWA before daytime heating takes over. This is covered well by the current Wind Chill Advisory. As the surface ridge shifts east of the CWA, some WAA on southerly return flow will aid the downslope WNW upper flow to provide a gradual warming trend, as compared with the expected highs from this Thursday into next Tuesday. For temps...daytime highs Thursday will range from the upper 30s the lower 40s east. By Friday, upper 30s to mid 40s. Going into the upcoming weekend, mainly 40s on Saturday, 50s on Sunday, then mainly 50s for next Monday/Tuesday. Some upper 40s west possible on Monday. Overnight lows will have mainly teens Thursday/Friday nights under clear skies. By the weekend, mainly 20s, which will extend to most locales going into next week. The only caveat to the above numbers in the first couple of days will be any lingering snowpack, which could lower temps by a few degrees, especially at night. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening) Issued at 544 PM MDT Tue Oct 29 2019 For Kgld, ifr conditions will become mvfr at 03z and this will continue until 22z. Then vfr conditions will return at 22z. Northeast winds near 13 knots will shift to the north at 14 knots at 16z. At 20z the winds will shift to the northwest 15 knots with gusts to 23 knots through the afternoon. For Kmck, mvfr conditions are expected 20z when vfr conditions return. Northeast winds near 12 knots will shift to the north at 12z at near 12 knots will continue until 20z. At 20z the winds will shift to the northwest near 12 knots. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...Winter Weather Advisory until noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ Wednesday for KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042. CO...Winter Weather Advisory until noon MDT Wednesday for COZ092. Winter Storm Warning until noon MDT Wednesday for COZ090-091. Wind Chill Advisory from 9 PM Wednesday to 7 AM MDT Thursday for COZ090>092. NE...Winter Weather Advisory until noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ Wednesday for NEZ079>081. && $$ UPDATE...BULLER SHORT TERM...JBH LONG TERM...JN AVIATION...BULLER
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
940 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2019 .UPDATE... Widespread showers with embedded thunderstorms streaming northeast across much of north Texas this evening. Convection to gradually shift east throughout the overnight hours with a frontal boundary that extends from Lufkin to Texarkana. Isentropic lift combined with ripples in the mean overall southwest flow aloft to be the main catalyst for convection. At the surface, fog will become prevalant across much of the region, especially across areas east of the frontal boundary. At this time, went ahead and added patchy fog wording areawide. Otherwise, forecast remains on track. /05/ && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 639 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2019/ AVIATION... A cold front across the ArkLaTex will contribute to widespread showers overnight through much of the day Wednesday. Isolated thunderstorms may be possible after 30/18Z. Otherwise, ceilings and vsbys to deteriorate to IFR/LIFR overnight with only gradual improvement to MVFR/IFR on Wednesday. Otherwise, light east winds overnight to become northwest, increasing to 10 to 15 knots and gusty across east Texas, on Wednesday as high pressure builds behind the cold front. /05/ PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 405 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2019/ SHORT TERM.../Tonight through Wednesday Night/ The latest mid-level analysis indicates east Texas, northern Louisiana, southwestern Arkansas, and southeastern Oklahoma in a southwesterly 500mb flow well in advance of a closed low and its associated trough digging into the Intermountain West. Isentropic lift at 300K is providing forcing for showers and thunderstorms upstream in Deep East Texas with scattered showers beginning to develop in northwestern Louisiana and southwestern Arkansas. At the surface, a cold front extends from the northeast from the Missouri Valley and into our area across the ArkLaTex. Right now, the front is best defined by a northerly to northeasterly wind shift with broad thermal/isodrosothermal gradients along the front. This evening, the chance of showers will increase as the temp/dew point gradients begin to tighten along a frontal boundary that will be slow to make any further southeastward progression. Isentropic lift shifting into the area along with weak vort energy with ripples in the mid-level flow will contribute to forcing for showers. The RAP indicates that a wedge of weak surface-based instability will work its way into Deep East Texas this afternoon. With 1000-1500 J/KG SBCAPE in this area, anticipate the best chance for thunderstorms in this area as isentropic lift moves into the area. A lesser chance is anticipated in East Texas and southeastern Oklahoma with weak elevated instability in these locations. The latest HRRR simulated radar solution indicates scattered showers continuing to move northeastward across northwestern Louisiana and southwestern Arkansas through the overnight hours. For tomorrow and tomorrow night, frontogenesis will continue as the thermal gradient tightens with cold air advecting in behind a slow moving frontal boundary and some warm air advection ahead of this feature. Models are indicating moderate shear along with weak elevated instability across the area with surface-based instability along and southeast of the front extending from a line from Lufkin to Shreveport to El Dorado. With this in mind, there is a marginal risk for severe weather Thursday afternoon with peak heating, with the best chance for Deep East Texas and central Louisiana. This will be highly dependent on the positioning of the front, which currently looks to remain straddled over the region. For temps, lows tonight will range from the upper 40s in McCurtain County to the mid 60s in Deep East Texas and central Louisiana. The thermal gradient along the front will be most noticeable on Wednesday along the front with highs range from the upper 50s northwest of the I-30 corridor to near 80 in central Louisiana. The cold front will make it southeastward progression on Wednesday night, allowing for a potential freeze for locations northwest of I-30 with low ranging from near freezing there to the mid 40s in central Louisiana. /04-Woodrum/ LONG TERM.../Thursday through Monday Night/ Deep upper trof axis to be traversing the Southern Plains/Lower MS River Valley Thursday morning. Associated cold front will be well ahead of the trof axis and well e of our region by this time. Lingering shwrs may still be ongoing across the far ern and sern areas of our CWA, but these will quickly come to an end prior to midday. Strong CAA will continue to usher in a very cold airmass, and with lingering clouds, temps on Thursday will struggle to reach 50 degrees. Sfc high pressure to settle in over the region by Thursday night, allowing temps to plummet into the mid 20s to mid 30s areawide. Much of the region will be in danger of seeing temps falling to near freezing, with portions of far NE TX/SW AR/SE OK dipping into the 20s. Temperatures well below normal are fcst to continue through the weekend, as another trof and dry, reinforcing shot of cold air come Saturday. Temps will begin a gradual warming trend, although still remaining below-normal, into early next work week ahead of our next storm system. /12/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 61 72 39 51 / 80 90 90 10 MLU 61 76 45 54 / 60 80 90 50 DEQ 55 62 34 50 / 90 90 80 10 TXK 58 62 37 49 / 90 90 90 10 ELD 57 67 39 52 / 80 90 90 20 TYR 56 60 34 50 / 80 90 80 10 GGG 60 66 36 50 / 80 90 90 10 LFK 63 73 39 52 / 60 90 80 10 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ 05/04