Forecast Discussions mentioning any of
"HRRR" "RAP" "RUC13" "RUC" "RR" received at GSD on 12/23/18
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
850 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
Gusty winds and scattered snow showers or flurries continue
tonight. Fairly quiet weather is expected Sunday, but a weak
system will likely bring light snow to the region Sunday night
through Monday night.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
852 PM update...
Very light lake effect snow continues east-southeast of Lake
Ontario tonight. With a shallow boundary layer, ice crystal
formation will be a challenge at times overnight. Spotty light
freezing drizzle is possible, but coverage will be low.
Thick clouds are holding up temperatures this evening, and the
latest HRRR guidance is quite a bit warmer than the original
forecast. We ran a blend of the previous forecast with the new
HRRR to raise minimums slightly Sunday morning.
3 pm update...
Main concerns in the near term remain focused on the gusty nw winds
and lingering light snow showers/flurries today and tonight...and
then the onset of light snow Sunday evening, continuing through
Sunday night.
Upper level short wave trailing the main synoptic trough that
impacted the region yesterday is exiting NY to the east this
afternoon. The flow behind the wave continues out of the w/nw with
plenty of cold air...850mb temps around -10 to -12C...advecting in
and capable of keeping the potential for light lake effect snow
showers/flurries into central NY through tonight. The depth of the
moisture/boundary layer is only 3-4k ft deep...and barely tapping
into the -12 to -18C layer at the top...so there are times when ice
crystals are seeding from the top and creating snow, and times when
they are not and light freezing drizzle drops out. The dominant
precip type will likely be snow through tonight...and be tapering
off and lifting to the north as the wind field backs to the w/sw by
Sunday morning.
The most favorable area for light accumulating snow...around a
couple inches...will be Onondaga county into Madison and srn
Oneida. Otherwise, most locations will see just a dusting of
snow through Sunday morning.
Weak ridging aloft combined with dry air and a narrow ridge of high
pressure at the surface sliding through the region Sunday will allow
for mostly quiet weather during the day. A mid level short wave
rotating around a larger synoptic trough will move ewd through the
mid Atlantic region and trigger a broad area of light snow through
most of central NY and ne PA. As of this afternoon, it looks like
another broad area of 1 to 2 inches of snow through early Monday
morning.
Temperatures will remain steady with highs in the 30s and lows in
the 20s tonight through Sunday night.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Surface low develops over the Great Lakes and along an inverted
trough that stretches out to the Atlantic. Low slides east and
fills on Monday but is still the focus for some light snow into
early Tuesday. Amounts and rate of fall will be light, but the
temperatures will support a light accumulation.
Surface ridge builds on Tuesday but the upper westerly flow
continues so expect clouds and a few flurries possible on
Christmas Day.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Weakening arctic front drops in from the north on Wednesday
bring scattered snow showers. However, by early Thursday, high
in over New England a a southerly return flow has already
dvlpd as an upper ridge builds over the Great Lakes. Ridge is
in response to a low bombing over the mid Mississippi valley.
Low moves due north bringing building heights over the forecast
area and strong warm advection.
By early Friday, column has moistened enough for rain to break
out from west to east. It may be cold enough at the surface for
some freezing rain or even a bit of snow, but strong warm
advection continues on Friday bringing another rain event to the
area. Heavy rain is possible later on Friday.
&&
.AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MVFR and fuel alternate required ceiling restrictions will
persist across the region through tonight...with conditions at
KAVP going VFR by 12Z. NY terminals will slowly improve to MVFR
then VFR by 18-20Z Sunday. Quiet weather through the afternoon
Sunday. Winds will remain gusty...west- northwest 11-14 knots
with gusts 20-25 knots through this evening, before gradually
diminishing overnight. Winds diminish to less than 10 kt after
12Z Sunday and remain light and variable through the day.
Outlook...
Late Sunday through Monday night...Restrictions likely in a
period of light snow, especially Sunday night, as system passes
followed by lake effect snow showers for mainly NY terminals.
Tuesday through Thursday...Mainly VFR.
&&
.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BJT
NEAR TERM...BJT/DJP
SHORT TERM...DGM
LONG TERM...DGM
AVIATION...BJT/MDP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
804 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018
LATEST UPDATE...
Update
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 245 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018
- Light snow showers overnight and Sunday
- Clipper brings light snow Tuesday
- Mixed precip early Thursday changing to rain
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 802 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018
Have added a risk of light freezing drizzle to the fcst for
overnight and Sunday morning since the DGZ is mostly unsaturated
as scattered precip breaks out ahead/along of the approaching
sfc trough. Had a report of freezing drizzle recently at Rockford
IL and the latest HRRR is showing a mixture of light snow and
light freezing rain/drizzle developing after 03-04Z.
&&
.DISCUSSION...(This evening through next Saturday)
Issued at 245 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018
No big storms this period. Any snow showers tonight should be
light as moisture is shallow and DGZ largely unsaturated. Next
chance for any potential impact is Sunday night into Monday
morning as weak shortwave trough/clipper could bring an inch or
two across the forecast area. Expect light synoptic snows across
the northern half of the forecast area Sunday night with lake-
enhanced snow showers elsewhere, persisting into Monday morning.
This is followed by another period of light snow on Tuesday with
a weak shortwave trough damping out as it comes through, along
with sfc cold front providing some low level convergence.
A more significant precip event could be in the offing for late
week as Plains cyclogenesis occurs further west than what we have
seen in the past several weeks with the sfc low tracking across
central or northern Lower Michigan.
Trends are for a later onset of precip...which given the cold and
dry sfc high just off to the east...could start off as snow or
freezing rain before sfc temps go above freezing Thursday morning.
Still plenty of time for this scenario to change before we have a
more definite idea on timing and type of precip.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 708 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018
Widespread MVFR cigs of 1500-2000 ft will continue tonight and
Sunday. Freezing drizzle was recently reported at Rockford IL in
the vicinity of a sfc trough and that trough comes through MI late
tonight and Sunday morning. Have put some freezing drizzle in
several of the TAFs as this feature comes through - mainly south
and east of GRR. A period of IFR cigs are also expected across
this area from roughly 09Z to 15Z Sunday. Light/calm sfc winds
will become westerly near 10kts on Sunday after the sfc trough
passes through. At that time the light icing threat should end.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 245 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018
Winds and waves may approach Small Craft Advisory on Sunday night
into Monday.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 1255 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018
No hydro concerns are present as rivers remain near to above normal
and steady. No significant precipitation is expected through at
least the middle of the week allowing for rivers to remain steady if
not fall for the next several days. Ice development along rivers
also remains minimal as high temperatures stay near and above
freezing.
&&
.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
LM...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Meade
SYNOPSIS...Ostuno
DISCUSSION...Ostuno
AVIATION...Meade
HYDROLOGY...Ostuno
MARINE...Ostuno
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
834 PM CST Sat Dec 22 2018
.UPDATE...
Issued at 834 PM CST Sat Dec 22 2018
Stratus deck continues to spread across the northwest half of the
forecast area this evening, though there are plenty of mid/high
clouds south of that as well. Latest HRRR guidance is not very
favorable for any substantial clearing, with most areas remaining
mostly cloudy through the night. Shortwave moving into northwest
Iowa this evening will pass to our north early Sunday, but
shouldn`t provide much more than a subtle morning wind shift.
Temperatures have not been especially quick to fall, and needed
some minor adjustments over the next few hours. However, the
overall lows still look reasonable.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
ISSUED AT 330 PM CST Sat Dec 22 2018
21Z/3 pm surface map shows weak 1013 mb low pressure over central
WI with a cold front extending to 1012 mb low pressure along the
IA/IL border. The cold front then slices thru central MO to 1010
mb low pressure over the Ozarks in nw AR. Breezy SSW winds with
gusts in the 20s at times east of the IL river brought milder low
to mid 40s over central and southeast IL this afternoon. Temps had
slipped a degree or two to around 40F behind a cold front over
Galesburg and Macomb at 3 pm. Clouds had spread into central IL
at mid afternoon with MVFR clouds north/nw of Peoria.
The weak cold front to press southeast across CWA during tonight,
reaching the Wabash river late tonight with SSW winds shifting nw
with its passage. The front should pass thru dry with mostly
cloudy to cloudy skies pushing into southeast IL into early
evening. Very light pcpn passes ne of CWA during this evening and
then over southern/sw IL late tonight into Sunday morning as
southern stream wx system expands pcpn mainly se of IL on Sunday.
More flurries possible just north of CWA on Sunday afternoon with
clouds lingering longer from I-74 northeast on Sunday, while
clouds decrease sw of I-74 by Sunday afternoon. WNW winds bring a
bit cooler air on Sunday. Lows tonight in the upper 20s and lower
30s, mildest in southeast IL. Highs Sunday in the upper 30s and
lower 40s, coolest from I-74 ne where clouds linger longer.
.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 330 PM CST Sat Dec 22 2018
Quiet and seasonably cool weather expected over IL from Sunday
night thru Mon evening as a chunk of high pressure over the
central Rockies drifts into the mid MS river valley by midnight
Sunday night, and into eastern KY/TN by sunset Monday. Mostly
clear skies Sunday night with lows ranging from the lower 20s
from the IL river nw, to the upper 20s in southeast IL. Partly to
mostly sunny skies on Monday with highs ranging from around 40F
from I-74 ne to the mid 40s over sw CWA and south of I-70.
The 12Z forecast models continue to show a weak short wave trof
moving quickly eastward into the mid MS river valley by dawn Tue
and exiting east of IL Tue afternoon. Brunt of models show some
light qpf spreading eastward over IL overnight Mon night into Tue
morning, then mostly east/ne of CWA Tue afternoon. Chance of light
snow overnight Mon night, with a light mix possible over sw CWA.
Then the light mix pcpn transitions into light rain chances from
sw to ne during Tue morning, with little snow accumulations from a
dusting to less than a half inch from I-55 nw. Lows Mon night
mostly in the lower 30s. Highs Tue in the low to mid 40s, coolest
from I-74 ne.
Dry weather expected Tue night into Wed morning with IL between wx
systems. Some light rain chances spread ne over area on Wed
afternoon and possible a light mix over sw CWA if it moves in as
early as early to mid Wed morning. ECMWF keeps CWA dry Wed morning
and like this slower trend. A strong storms systems evolves over
the southern Rockies by Wed morning and lifts ne into central KS
by noon Thu, and into WI/upper MS river valley Fri morning. Have
chances of rain showers Wed afternoon/evening with highs Wed in
the 40s. More widespread and heavier rain showers arrive later
Wed night thru Thu evening. Continued isolated thunderstorms in
southeast IL Thu afternoon into early Thu evening. Mild highs in
the 50s on Thursday. Rain chances diminish from west to east
overnight Thu night as a dry slot moves in from the sw. Rainfall
amounts average 0.75 to 1.25 inches over area from Wed night thru
Thu night. Strong storm system moves into the Great Lakes during
Fri, with our area getting dry and starting to cool. Highs Fri
range from lower 40s nw of the IL river, to the lower 50s in
southeast IL and near the IN border. Strong Canadian high pressure
nosing sse into the Midwest next Saturday to bring dry and
seasonably chilly temps. Highs next Saturday ranging from around
30F over the northern CWA to mid to upper 30s in southeast IL.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 528 PM CST Sat Dec 22 2018
MVFR cloud deck is across the northwest third of Illinois early
this evening, scraping the KPIA area. Am expecting this to edge
southward to KBMI by mid evening, but conditions should improve in
both areas by late night. Further south, mainly looking at VFR
conditions through the period.
&&
.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Geelhart
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM...07
AVIATION...Geelhart
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
825 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018
...COLD AND FROSTY TONIGHT...
.UPDATE...
Sfc high pressure at 1023 mb was over the northeast Gulf of Mexico
this evening and will translate slowly east tonight setting up
ideal radiational cooling for the forecast area. Only thin cirrus
possible tonight and should have little to no affect on minimum
temps. Given light/calm winds and clear skies, temps likely to
drop to lower end of guidance. Frost advisory looks good and only
made minor tweaks to lower temps a bit for portions of the area.
Only pockets of brief freeze inland, thus a freeze warning is not
warranted. In addition, model soundings show good potential for
fog formation and HRRR suggests patches dense fog near and just
west of I-75 so will maintain fog in the going forecast.
&&
.AVIATION...
Patchy fog will be possible at VQQ late tonight and may be near
GNV but otherwise prevailing VFR through next 24 hrs.
&&
.MARINE...
With high pressure to the west, a northerly wind near 10 kt will
continue tonight and become variable to light offshore on Sunday.
Current forecast on track.
Rip Currents: Low risk through Sunday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 33 64 44 61 / 0 0 10 10
SSI 39 61 47 61 / 0 0 10 10
JAX 34 65 46 64 / 0 0 0 10
SGJ 39 64 47 64 / 0 0 0 10
GNV 34 66 43 67 / 0 0 0 10
OCF 35 66 43 69 / 0 0 0 10
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM EST Sunday for Alachua-Baker-
Bradford-Clay-Columbia-Gilchrist-Hamilton-Inland Duval-
Inland Flagler-Inland Nassau-Inland St. Johns-Marion-Putnam-
Suwannee-Union.
GA...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM EST Sunday for Appling-Atkinson-
Bacon-Brantley-Charlton-Clinch-Coffee-Echols-Inland Camden-
Inland Glynn-Jeff Davis-Pierce-Ware-Wayne.
AM...None.
&&
$$
Shashy/Wolf
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
835 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure over the southeastern United States will build
northward over the region overnight. An upper level disturbance
along with a weak cold front will cross the area late Sunday
and Sunday night. High pressure will return on Monday with
another weak upper level disturbance passing to our north on
Tuesday. High pressure will then return through Thursday before
low pressure approaches the area late in the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
High pressure on the doorstep this evening. Winds have
diminished with sunset for most of the area. However, the
pressure gradient still clipping northeast Maryland; believe we
will have the last gasp of gusty winds through 02Z or perhaps
03Z.
Cyclonic flow holding on with regard to cloudcover as well.
Night time satellite curves depict solid clouds across the
Potomac Highlands and fairly extensive clouds northeast of
Baltimore as well. In between, south to about Washington DC,
clouds a bit more scattered and showing a hint of breaking
apart. This layer depicted in the 00Z LWX RAOB near 850 mb.
RAP BUFKIT soundings show that layer breaking apart near
04-05Z, but also show a mid deck approaching overnight between
500-600 mb. So, believe that clear skies across Maryland/eastern
West Virginia/northern Virginia may be a bit optimistic. Will be
adjusting to be cloudier, however result may still average out
to partly cloudy.
Temperature forecasts generally on track. If some clouds do hold
that will assist in capping radiational cooling overnight.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Mostly clear and dry conditions the first half of Sunday will
transition to increasing cloudiness Sunday afternoon as an upper
trough over the TN/OH river valley`s approaches the area. Good
PVA and weak low pressure developing along the Appalachians will
deliver light precipitation over the Highlands late Sunday
afternoon, spreading north and east Sunday night. Models not
pegging much QPF east of the Blue Ridge, and what does reach
this far east would be of the liquid variety. Rain and snow
showers will be possible over the upslope areas and across
northern/western MD Sunday night. Minor snow accumulations will
possible along the Allegheny Front into early Monday morning.
This system will exit stage right Monday morning as high
pressure over the TN Valley builds into the region. Gusty west
northwest winds will return in the wake of the frontal passage,
along with dry conditions. Under decent cold air advection,
temperatures Monday and Monday night will return to slightly
below normal levels for the latter half of December.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
High pressure remains centered over the region on Tuesday. So,
expecting dry and seasonably cool conditions with highs in the low
to mid 40s. A weak upper-level shortwave will move across
northwestern portions of the CWA late Tuesday, but looks to lack any
substantial moisture source. If any precipitation occurs, the best
chance would be along the Allegheny Front and northern Maryland.
High pressure remains centered over the region on Wednesday and
Wednesday night, so expecting dry and seasonably cool weather to
continue. This will likely continue into most of Thursday, before a
pattern change Thursday night into Friday.
High pressure begins to shift offshore late Thursday into Friday,
ahead of an approaching surface low pressure system. Warm and moist
Gulf of Mexico air will overrun the surface cold air that will be
retreating with the high pressure system, bringing the potential for
rain again across the region. Will have to watch for possible wintry
precipitation at the onset, depending on how much cold air is in
place when precipitation arrives. Confidence is low at this time,
but given the track of the low and the retreating high, it would
appear that the best chance for any wintry precipitation will be
well off to the north and west (closer to the Allegheny Highlands).
&&
.AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR conditions will prevail at the terminals through tonight as
gusty northwest winds subside this evening. An upper level
disturbance will near the terminals late Sunday and into Sunday
night, bringing in light precipitation and lowering CIGs. MRB
would serve to see the best chance of sub VFR conditions in a
potential rain/snow mix. Further east, confidence decreases in
potential for restrictions. High pressure returns over the
terminals on Monday with westerly breezes gusting up to 25
knots.
High pressure will reside over the terminals Tuesday through
Wednesday, with VFR conditions expected. A weak upper level
disturbance will pass just north of the area late Tuesday and
Tuesday night. A period of light snow or light rain/snow is
possible, but confidence is low due to limited moisture.
&&
.MARINE...
Have the last gasp of gusty winds at this time as pressure
gradient looses control over area. Am hopeful we`ll be able to
cancel Small Craft Advisory in the next hour or so (9-10 pm) vs
riding it out through 11 pm.
A weak pressure gradient will reside over the waters on Sunday
as a weak upper level disturbance nears from the west. In the
wake of this system, the gradient will increase and SCA
conditions likely return to the waters Monday.
High pressure returns over the waters on Tuesday and persists
through Wednesday with light winds and sub SCA conditions.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
With northwest flow tides cresting under flood stages this
evening...although in DC high tide is under the threshold by a
mere inch or two. With freshwater coming down river, will need
to monitor the DC sites for a potential Advisory through Sunday
evening. No other issues anticipated.
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...None.
MD...None.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EST this evening for
ANZ530>534-537>541-543.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BKF/HTS
NEAR TERM...HTS
SHORT TERM...BKF
LONG TERM...CJL
AVIATION...BKF/CJL
MARINE...HTS/BKF/CJL
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...HTS
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
820 PM EST Sat Dec 22 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
Deepening low pressure will continue to depart to the northeast
across eastern Canada, while high pressure builds in late
tonight into Sunday. Weak low pressure will move across Sunday
night, followed by a weak Alberta clipper low on Monday. High
pressure will then return for Tuesday through Thursday. Another
low will approach for the late week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
On the heels of a departing upper trough, a fast-moving upper
flow will send a ridge eastward through Sunday morning with
surface high pressure building in from the west. At the same
time, deepening low pressure pulls away across eastern Canada.
Gusty west winds will gradually diminish through this evening
with some gusts up to 30 mph along the coast early.
Some adjustments made to sky this eve with stratocu advancing
back into NYC. RAP does hold on to these BKN cigs for a few
hours before they dissipate so have reflected that in the grids.
Further east skies are clearing as expected.
Overnight lows will be in the upper 20s to lower 30s, a few
degrees above normal.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure quickly retreats offshore on Sunday as a clipper
low over the Great Lakes drops southeast while a weak southern
branch low approaches from the southwest. Models have trended
toward enough amplification to draw the southern feature
northward for a light precipitation event Sunday night. Before
then though, Sunday will feature mostly sunny skies to start
with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s.
Mid and high level clouds increase in the afternoon with some
light warm advection precipitation breaking out late in the
evening through the early morning hours. Primarily rain is
forecast at the coast with a transition to all snow across the
interior. The upper end of the snowfall forecast would be around
an inch across far northern portions of the Lower Hudson Valley
and interior SW CT, with lesser amounts to the south. A little
wet snow may mix in at the coast toward daybreak. Overnight
lows will be in the low to mid 30s Sunday night with a few
locations inland near freezing. At this time, hazards are likely
to be limited in scope.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Upper level shortwave trough passes through the Northeast on
Monday bringing light pcpn with it. There could be a brief
period of a wintry mix at the coast early in the morning,
however temps rising into the upper 30s and lower 40s will
result in a changeover to plain rain. Further inland, it should
be cold enough for snow before the sun rises, warming temps
through the morning will gradually result in a changeover as
well. There could be a few tenths of an inch of snow
accumulation before the pcpn ends/changes over.
This clipper system shifts east by evening with strong high
pressure building in at the sfc, quasi zonal flow aloft across
the eastern half of the US, through Tue night. An amplified
pattern will then develop across the country for the second half
of the week as a digging eastern Pacific trough moves onshore,
and closes off over the desert southwest by Wed. This will
result in rising heights to the east, and dry and seasonable
weather through Thu. Models have trended slower with the next
system for the end of the week and have reflected that by
keeping Thu dry. Cloud cover and chances for pcpn then increase
Thu night and continue through Fri as a frontal system over the
Mid west lifts through the Great Lakes and Northeast. Pcpn could
start as a wintry mix, eventually changing over to plain rain
with an increasing southerly flow, however it is too far out in
time to determine these details.
&&
.AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Behind the cold front, there will be high pressure slowly
building west of the region. VFR conditions expected through the
TAF period with gusty WNW flow subsiding tonight into Sunday.
WNW winds of near 20kt gusting to near 30 kt into the early
evening decrease to 15-20 kt mid to late this evening with some
gusts to 25 kt, before gusts diminish altogether overnight into
Sunday. Winds on Sunday will be west near 10 kt.
.OUTLOOK FOR 00Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
.Sunday night...MVFR conds possible with any rain or snow that
falls. Brief IFR possible with snow.
.Monday...MVFR possible in any rain or snow. Brief IFR possible with
snow. NW wind G20-25KT, mainly in the afternoon.
.Monday night...NW winds G15-20KT.
.Tuesday through Thursday...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
Converted gale warning to SCA on the ocean with wind gusts
mostly below 35 kt. There could be a few ocnl gusts to 35 kt
this evening, especially out east ocean waters. Otherwise, SCA
conditions will subside through the night as high pressure
builds in from the west and low pressure departs across eastern
Canada. SCA seas will likely linger on the ocean waters into
Sunday aftn, especially east.
The combination of a tightening pressure gradient and CAA is
expected to bring a return to SCA conditions on the water
Monday/Monday night. Winds and seas may linger on the ocean
waters into Tue. Then a prolonged period of tranquil conds are
expected as high pres builds into the area through Thu.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
No significant precipitation is forecast today through the
middle of next week.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
NYC Central Park winds are out of service until further notice.
Loss of data is due to a severed cable. Parts are on order.
NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) will remain off
the air for an extended period of time.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Sunday for ANZ330-335-338-
340-345.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST Sunday for ANZ350-353.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Sunday for ANZ355.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...24/DW
NEAR TERM...DW
SHORT TERM...DW
LONG TERM...24
AVIATION...Goodman
MARINE...24/DW
HYDROLOGY...24/DW
EQUIPMENT...